Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
504
FNUS76 KSTO 041600
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH DIVIDE UNDERBURN...CA-TNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
900 AM PDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0845 PDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT RADAR SHOWS SHOWERS MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE BURN SITE
THIS MORNING...AND THIS SHOULD BE TREND TODAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS EAST OF THE BURN SITE. HIGH RESOLUTION COMPUTER MODELS
INDICATE THAT HEAVIER SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY
DEVELOPING THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OFF THE COAST WILL MOVE INLAND AND
PASS SOUTH OF THE AREA LATER THIS WEEK. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE FORECAST FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...ALONG WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND RISING HUMIDITY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL VARY DUE TO
INTENSITY OF SHOWERS/STORMS. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL.

NOTE: GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 12 TO 22 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4500 TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH THIS MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2 IN THE EVENING THEN 1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST TO WEST
                    4 TO 7 MPH LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE MORNING...SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JM
REQUESTED BY...MARISSA MACDONALD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.NORTH.01/STO



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.