Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3
000
FNUS74 KTSA 181340
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Tuskahoma Tent City...Choctaw Nation Forestry
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
740 AM CST Thu Jan 18 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on January 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Warming temperatures and increasing southerly winds will
increase fire weather concerns through the remainder of
this week. Low level moisture will begin to increase Saturday
and Sunday ahead of the next upper level trough and cold front
that will bring increasing chances for rain late in the weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Dewpoint............8.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1500 ft AGL increasing to 1100-2200 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 12 mph increasing to 9 to 16 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (900 knot-ft).
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).34 increasing to 42 early in the afternoon.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............29  35  39  43  44  44  42
Dewpoint........9   8   8   9   9   9   9
RH..............42  32  27  24  23  23  25
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  15  16  16  15  13  9
VRate kt-ft/1K..1   5   5   5   5   5   5
1700FT Mix T(F).32  34  37  41  44  43  41

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 23.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south around 5
                    mph after midnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......100-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (100 knot-ft).
Stability class.....6.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).42.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   3   2   2   3   4   5   4   3   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  34  32  31  30  28  27  27  26  25  24  24
RH..............31  38  43  49  53  60  65  65  71  74  77  74
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   5   4   4
20 FT wind gust.10              5   5   5   5   5       5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   5
VRate kt-ft/1K..1   1   1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0
1700FT Mix T(F).40  39  39  40  41  41  42  43  44  45  45  45

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......700-1800 ft AGL increasing to 3300-4600 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph increasing to 16 to 22 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5700-13200 knot-ft).
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).49.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   3   4   11  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............23  23  23  28  34  40  45  49  52  53  53  52
RH..............77  81  88  75  64  52  47  44  41  43  44  46
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   8   7
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5       10  10  10  10  15  15  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.0 0.7 1.2 1.8 3.3 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   9   13  16  20  21  22  21  20
VRate kt-ft/1K..6   6   6   6   6   6   13  13  13  13  13  13
1700FT Mix T(F).45  46  46  46  45  45  45  48  51  53  52  50

$$
Forecaster...S.CORFIDI
Requested by...Sam Mcfarland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800560.0/TSA
.EMAIL smcfarland@choctawnation.com



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.