Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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FNUS73 KUNR 161701
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Matias Fire...US FOREST SERVICE
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1101 AM MDT Fri Jun 16 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1100 MDT on June 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms will develop over the Black Hills
this afternoon, then showers will increase overnight as an upper level
system crosses the area. Northwest winds will increase this afternoon.
Relative humidity will recover into the 70s by early Saturday
morning. Temperatures will be cooler Saturday with gusty northwest
winds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8200 to 8700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Scattered rain showers through the
                    night.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........74-79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 10 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
CWR.................25 percent.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400 to 900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30
                    mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7800 to 8300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 40 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.

$$
Forecaster...SS
Requested by...Elk Mountain LO
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1711161.1/UNR
.EMAIL lillianhufmann@fs.fed.us


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