Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXUS01 KWBC 280706
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
305 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

VALID 12Z SAT MAY 28 2016 - 12Z MON MAY 30 2016

...HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT FOR EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
CAROLINAS...

...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE LOWER GREAT LAKES,
MID-ATLANTIC, AND NORTHEAST...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO IS FORECAST BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM TODAY AS IT HEADS WEST
NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COASTLINE. THE SYSTEM WILL
BEGIN TO SPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE CAROLINAS BY LATE TODAY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO LINGER
ALONG THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS INTO MONDAY. MOISTURE STREAMING
NORTH ALONG WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEAST BY SUNDAY. HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE
FOR SOME AREAS FROM SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

A SLOW-MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE UPPER
MIDWEST TODAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES ON SUNDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE
SOUTHERN END OF THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS,
KEEPING AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS A DAILY OCCURRENCE IN
THAT AREA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE ROCKIES THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES
SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE REGION AND WEAKENS. ANOTHER PACIFIC COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHWESTERN U.S. BRINGING SHOWERS TODAY.
THIS FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE INTERIOR WEST SUNDAY INTO MONDAY,
BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE MID AND UPPER-LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES IN PLACE FROM THE GREAT
LAKES TO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST TODAY. AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE 10 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR
MANY AREAS.

RYAN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_WBG.PHP
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