Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXUS01 KWBC 312035
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
434 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

VALID 00Z THU SEP 01 2016 - 00Z SAT SEP 03 2016

...HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC...

...HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE EASTERN GULF COAST AND
SOUTHEAST COAST...

A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHEAST TO THE OHIO/MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE EASTWARD OFF
THE NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC COAST WHILE LINGERING OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY FRIDAY.  THE SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE NORTHEAST TO THE
OHIO VALLEY/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THAT
WILL MOVE OFF THE NORTHEAST AND NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.  THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO LINGER OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST THROUGH FRIDAY.  THE BOUNDARY WILL SWEEP T.
D. 8 AWAY FROM THE EAST COAST BY THURSDAY.  CHECK THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER`S LATEST FORECAST FOR THE MOST UP TO DATE STORM
TRACK AND INTENSITY.

MEANWHILE, T. D. 9 OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL STORM AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHEAST BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.  THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN GULF COAST INTO THE SOUTHEAST
COAST THROUGH FRIDAY.  CHECK THE LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE MOST UP TO DATE STORM TRACK AND
INTENSITY.

IN THE MEANTIME, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY OVER THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS WILL DRIFT INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY
FRIDAY.  THE ENERGY WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM OVER THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGH FRIDAY.  IN ADDITION, MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND DAYTIME
HEATING WILL AID IN PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS
OF THE SOUTHWEST/EASTERN GREAT BASIN AND THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
ROCKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO LATE EVENING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.

FURTHERMORE, A DEVELOPING SYSTEM/FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION TO PART OF THE GREAT BASIN WILL LIFT A WARM
FRONT INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA OVERNIGHT THURSDAY WHILE PARTS OF
THE BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN INTO PARTS
OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS BY THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY.
ASSOCIATED ONSHORE FLOW OFF THE PACIFIC WILL PRODUCE RAIN OVER
PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO FRIDAY.  THE STORM WILL ALSO
PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES/NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION INTO PARTS OF THE GREAT
BASIN THAT WILL EXPAND INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY AND INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY.  THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES THROUGH FRIDAY.


ZIEGENFELDER


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_WBG.PHP
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