River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 051436
RVFCMU
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:35am EST Thursday, March 5, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Baxter - Cumberland River (Poor Fork) - JKL
: Zero Datum 1147.26 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Harlan County, KY
: Record River Stage     34.2 ft
: Major River Stage      20.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   18.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      16.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /   4.4E
:     Mar 04   /   4.5E/   5.2E/  13.4E/  16.1E
:     Mar 05   /  19.0E/  20.0E/  16.1E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER BXTK2 20150305 Z DC201503051435/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  11.0
.E2 : Mar 06 : /   6.3 /   5.5 /   5.0 /   4.7
.E3 : Mar 07 : /   4.4 /   4.1 /   3.9 /   3.6
.E4 : Mar 08 : /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E5 : Mar 09 : /   3.4 /   3.6 /   3.9 /   4.0
.E6 : Mar 10 : /   4.0 /   4.0 /   4.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.02 /  0.07 /  0.30 /  0.19
:     Mar 05   /  0.66 /  0.50 /  0.48
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.40
:     Mar 06   /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -0.2
:     Mar 03   /   4.0 /  -0.5 /   2.5 /   4.3
:     Mar 04   /   7.8 /   7.3 /   8.3 /   4.3
:     Mar 05   /   4.5 /   2.2 /  -1.1 /  -5.2
:     Mar 06   /  -6.7 / -11.3 / -15.2 / -11.2
:     Mar 07   /  -2.3 /  -5.1 /  -8.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Pineville - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 970.0 ft (Sandy Hook)
: Bell County, KY
: Record River Stage   1021.8 ft
: Major River Stage    1019.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage 1010.0 ft
: Flood River Stage    1002.0 ft
: Action River Stage    995.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR PVLK2 20150305 Z DC201503051435/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest: 1016.1
: Crest near 1016.1 ft around 1PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 6AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           / 983.5
:     Mar 04   / 983.5 / 985.1 / 988.7 / 994.6
:     Mar 05   /1001.6 /1012.5 /1015.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 1015.9 ft at 830am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER PVLK2 20150305 Z DC201503051435/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /1016.1
.E2 : Mar 06 : /1015.5 /1008.6 /1000.6 / 995.7
.E3 : Mar 07 : / 991.5 / 988.1 / 986.1 / 984.9
.E4 : Mar 08 : / 983.9 / 982.9 / 982.2 / 982.0
.E5 : Mar 09 : / 982.0 / 982.2 / 982.5 / 983.0
.E6 : Mar 10 : / 983.6 / 984.0 / 984.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.05 /  0.04 /  0.22 /  0.19
:     Mar 05   /  0.79 /  0.54 /  0.41
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.39
:     Mar 06   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /   1.3
:     Mar 03   /   5.5 /   0.6 /   3.1 /   5.5
:     Mar 04   /   8.6 /   8.6 /   9.9 /   6.7
:     Mar 05   /   6.6 /   3.2 /   0.3 /  -5.0
:     Mar 06   /  -5.6 /  -9.8 / -14.0 / -10.4
:     Mar 07   /  -1.9 /  -5.1 /  -8.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Barbourville - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 942.97 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Knox County, KY
: Record River Stage     45.9 ft
: Major River Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   33.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      27.0 ft
: Action River Stage     21.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR BBVK2 20150306 Z DC201503051435/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   37.2
: Crest near   37.2 ft around 7PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 12PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  15.1
:     Mar 04   /  14.6 /  14.6 /  16.2 /  19.2
:     Mar 05   /  22.9 /  27.2 /  30.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 31.4 ft at 830am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER BBVK2 20150305 Z DC201503051435/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  36.4
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  37.2 /  36.0 /  32.0 /  25.8
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  19.8 /  15.9 /  12.6 /  11.1
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  10.3 /   9.5 /   9.0 /   8.7
.E5 : Mar 09 : /   8.3 /   8.2 /   8.3 /   8.5
.E6 : Mar 10 : /   8.6 /   8.9 /   9.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.01 /  0.14 /  0.38 /  0.20
:     Mar 05   /  0.94 /  0.56 /  0.37
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.39
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /   1.9
:     Mar 03   /   7.0 /   1.0 /   1.9 /   7.6
:     Mar 04   /  13.2 /  12.1 /  13.2 /   9.8
:     Mar 05   /   9.4 /   3.8 /   0.1 /  -5.7
:     Mar 06   /  -5.4 /  -9.4 / -14.2 / -10.5
:     Mar 07   /  -1.4 /  -4.8 /  -8.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Williamsburg - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 891.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Whitley County, KY
: Record River Stage     35.0 ft
: Major River Stage      32.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   27.5 ft
: Flood River Stage      21.0 ft
: Action River Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR WLBK2 20150307 Z DC201503051435/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   29.6
: Crest near   29.6 ft around 1AM EST on Sat, Mar 7
: Fall below flood level around 8AM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  13.8
:     Mar 04   /  14.2 /  14.4 /  14.8 /  15.6
:     Mar 05   /  18.4 /  22.5 /  24.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 24.9 ft at 900am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER WLBK2 20150305 Z DC201503051435/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  27.1
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  27.7 /  28.0 /  28.2 /  28.6
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  29.2 /  29.6 /  29.4 /  28.4
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  25.9 /  23.6 /  21.1 /  18.7
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  16.2 /  13.8 /  12.2 /  11.7
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  11.6 /  11.6 /  11.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.02 /  0.13 /  0.34 /  0.16
:     Mar 05   /  0.90 /  0.51 /  0.42
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.40
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /   1.8
:     Mar 03   /   6.5 /   0.6 /   2.1 /   8.1
:     Mar 04   /  13.8 /  12.8 /  14.1 /  11.1
:     Mar 05   /   9.7 /   3.6 /  -0.2 /  -5.3
:     Mar 06   /  -5.2 /  -9.9 / -14.2 / -10.1
:     Mar 07   /  -0.7 /  -4.4 /  -8.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Celina - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 489.0 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Clay County, TN
: Record River Stage     59.2 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  14.9
:     Mar 04   /  14.1 /  14.3 /  15.2 /  16.5
:     Mar 05   /  18.7 /  21.0 /  21.2
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 21.3 ft at 830am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER CLAT1 20150305 Z DC201503051435/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  22.4
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  19.1 /  17.6 /  15.9 /  15.1
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  14.5 /  13.2 /  16.7 /  15.6
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  14.8 /  14.2 /  14.9 /  16.1
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  17.2 /  17.1 /  16.9 /  17.1
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  17.4 /  17.9 /  18.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.06 /  0.50 /  0.19 /  0.46
:     Mar 05   /  0.68 /  0.06 /  0.21
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.23
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /   1.5
:     Mar 03   /   6.0 /   1.5 /   2.9 /   9.4
:     Mar 04   /  16.2 /  15.7 /  13.3 /   9.6
:     Mar 05   /   5.9 /   1.1 /  -3.1 /  -6.8
:     Mar 06   /  -6.3 / -10.8 / -13.4 /  -8.7
:     Mar 07   /  -1.7 /  -6.7 /  -8.7
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Trent Schade
:...END of MESSAGE...




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