River Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FGUS53 KKRF 261901
RVFGRA

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1900Z Thu May 26 2016
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS GRAND

:                ***    AFTERNOON FORECAST    ***

:     **********************************************************
:     *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF  ***
:     **********************************************************


: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
GRAND RIVER
  PATTONSBURG MO 2S      25.0    6.0   CREST NEAR 29.6 FT 05/28 AM
  GALLATIN MO            26.0    7.3   CREST NEAR 26.0 FT 05/28 PM
  CHILLICOTHE MO 3S      24.0    8.2   CREST NEAR 24.1 FT 05/29 PM
  SUMNER MO 2SW          26.0   13.4   CREST NEAR 28.2 FT 05/29 PM
  BRUNSWICK MO 1W        19.0   11.1E  CREST NEAR 19.1 FT 05/30 PM

:__________________________________________________________________

:PATTONSBURG MO 2S - GRAND RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 23.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 32.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.0 FT AT 1830Z ON 0526

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0526   /   7.2 /   6.6 /   6.1 /   6.0

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/27/2016 AROUND 19Z
.AR : CREST : PATM7 20160528 Z DC201605261900/DH06/HGIFFX 29.6
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/28/2016 AROUND 16Z
.ER PATM7 20160527 Z DC201605261900/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0527:/   5.8 /   8.8 /  15.7 /  24.6
.E2  :0528:/  28.4 /  29.6 /  27.7 /  23.1
.E3  :0529:/  17.5 /  14.7 /  13.4 /  12.1
.E4  :0530:/  11.1 /  10.3 /   9.6 /   9.1
.E5  :0531:/   8.6 /   8.2 /   7.8 /   7.5


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0526  /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 26:   0.04  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527  /  0.48 /  0.83 /  0.25 /  0.19
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 27:   1.75  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:GALLATIN MO - GRAND RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 39.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.3 FT AT 1845Z ON 0526

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0526   /   9.1 /   8.4 /   7.8 /   7.3

.AR : CREST : GAZM7 20160529 Z DC201605261900/DH00/HGIFFX 26.0
.ER GAZM7 20160527 Z DC201605261900/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0527:/   6.9 /   6.5 /   6.3 /   9.1
.E2  :0528:/  16.5 /  20.5 /  23.0 /  24.6
.E3  :0529:/  26.0 /  24.9 /  22.0 /  18.1
.E4  :0530:/  14.4 /  13.1 /  12.1 /  11.3
.E5  :0531:/  10.6 /  10.0 /   9.5 /   9.1


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0526  /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.08 /  0.02
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 26:   0.10  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527  /  0.41 /  0.72 /  0.20 /  0.21
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 27:   1.55  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:CHILLICOTHE MO 3S - GRAND RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 22.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.2 FT AT 1845Z ON 0526

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0526   /  10.0 /   9.3 /   8.8 /   8.3

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/29/2016 AROUND 15Z
.AR : CREST : CHZM7 20160529 Z DC201605261900/DH18/HGIFFX 24.1
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/29/2016 AROUND 19Z
.ER CHZM7 20160527 Z DC201605261900/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0527:/   8.3 /   7.8 /   7.4 /   7.0
.E2  :0528:/   6.7 /   8.8 /  16.2 /  19.6
.E3  :0529:/  21.5 /  22.8 /  23.9 /  24.1
.E4  :0530:/  23.0 /  20.7 /  18.2 /  16.4
.E5  :0531:/  15.0 /  14.1 /  13.1 /  12.2


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0526  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.04
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 26:   0.11  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527  /  0.35 /  0.51 /  0.17 /  0.22
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 27:   1.25  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:SUMNER MO 2SW - GRAND RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 40.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 13.4 FT AT 1845Z ON 0526

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0526   /  15.6 /  14.9 /  14.1 /  13.5

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/29/2016 AROUND 12Z
.AR : CREST : SNZM7 20160530 Z DC201605261900/DH00/HGIFFX 28.2
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/30/2016 AROUND 14Z
.ER SNZM7 20160527 Z DC201605261900/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0527:/  12.9 /  12.3 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E2  :0528:/  12.6 /  13.7 /  15.5 /  19.2
.E3  :0529:/  22.3 /  24.4 /  26.1 /  27.4
.E4  :0530:/  28.2 /  28.2 /  26.9 /  24.3
.E5  :0531:/  21.5 /  19.1 /  17.5 /  16.4


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0526  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.11 /  0.06
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 26:   0.17  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527  /  0.33 /  0.39 /  0.12 /  0.21
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 27:   1.05  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:BRUNSWICK MO 1W - GRAND RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 17.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST ESTIMATED RIVER STAGE 11.1 FT AT 1800Z ON 0526

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0526   /    M  /    M  /    M  /    M

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 05/30/2016 AROUND 11Z
.AR : CREST : BRNM7 20160530 Z DC201605261900/DH18/HGIFFX 19.1
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/31/2016 AROUND 00Z
.AR  BRNM7 20160526 DH1800/HGIPX 11.10E
.ER BRNM7 20160527 Z DC201605261900/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0527:/  10.8 /  10.6 /  10.5 /  10.5
.E2  :0528:/  10.9 /  11.4 /  12.1 /  13.2
.E3  :0529:/  14.5 /  16.2 /  17.1 /  17.8
.E4  :0530:/  18.5 /  18.8 /  19.0 /  19.1
.E5  :0531:/  19.0 /  18.6 /  17.7 /  16.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0526  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.22 /  0.04
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 26:   0.26  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527  /  0.31 /  0.46 /  0.20 /  0.23
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 27:   1.21  inches

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:DMX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Des Moines, Iowa
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: bpl
:...END of MESSAGE...



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