River Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FGUS53 KKRF 211428
RVFKSR

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1427Z Mon Aug 21 2017
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS KANSAS

:     **********************************************************
:     *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF  ***
:     **********************************************************


: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
STRANGER CREEK
  EASTON KS              17.0    2.8   CREST NEAR 18.5 FT 08/22 PM
  TONGANOXIE KS 4E       23.0    2.3   CREST NEAR 23.5 FT 08/22 PM

:__________________________________________________________________

:CHAPMAN KS 4NNW - CHAPMAN CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 17.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 37.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.7 FT AT 1345Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   4.7
:   0821   /   4.7 /   4.7 /   4.7

.ER CHPK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   4.7
.E2  :0822:/   4.7 /   4.8 /   4.9 /   5.3
.E3  :0823:/   5.6 /   5.7 /   5.5 /   5.2
.E4  :0824:/   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.8 /   4.8
.E5  :0825:/   4.8 /   4.8 /   4.8 /   4.8
.E6  :0826:/   4.8 /   4.8 /   4.8


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.00
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.02
:    0822  /  0.09 /  0.72 /  0.72
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   1.55  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:FT RILEY KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.9 FT AT 1330Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   5.9
:   0821   /   5.9 /   5.9 /   5.9

.ER FTRK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   5.9
.E2  :0822:/   5.9 /   5.9 /   6.1 /   6.2
.E3  :0823:/   6.1 /   6.2 /   6.3 /   6.2
.E4  :0824:/   6.2 /   6.1 /   6.1 /   6.0
.E5  :0825:/   5.9 /   5.9 /   5.9 /   5.8
.E6  :0826:/   5.8 /   5.8 /   5.8


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.00
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.02
:    0822  /  0.08 /  0.88 /  0.93
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   1.91  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:WAMEGO KS NO.2 - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 17.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.1 FT AT 1330Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   4.2
:   0821   /   4.1 /   4.2 /   4.2

.ER WMGK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   4.2
.E2  :0822:/   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.3 /   4.7
.E3  :0823:/   4.9 /   5.2 /   5.2 /   4.9
.E4  :0824:/   4.7 /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.5
.E5  :0825:/   4.4 /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.2
.E6  :0826:/   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.00
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.02
:    0822  /  0.06 /  0.98 /  0.99
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   2.05  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:PAXICO KS 1SW - MILL CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.4 FT AT 1345Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   2.5
:   0821   /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.4

.ER PXCK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   2.4
.E2  :0822:/   2.4 /   2.4 /   5.3 /   5.9
.E3  :0823:/   4.6 /   3.7 /   3.3 /   3.1
.E4  :0824:/   3.0 /   2.9 /   2.7 /   2.6
.E5  :0825:/   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6
.E6  :0826:/   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.00
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.02
:    0822  /  0.05 /  1.04 /  1.15
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   2.26  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:TOPEKA KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 44.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.4 FT AT 1330Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   5.4
:   0821   /   5.4 /   5.4 /   5.4

.ER TPAK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   5.4
.E2  :0822:/   5.4 /   5.4 /   7.3 /   9.0
.E3  :0823:/   8.3 /   7.1 /   6.7 /   6.5
.E4  :0824:/   6.5 /   6.6 /   6.6 /   6.4
.E5  :0825:/   6.2 /   6.1 /   5.9 /   5.8
.E6  :0826:/   5.7 /   5.7 /   5.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.00
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.02
:    0822  /  0.04 /  1.11 /  1.25
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   2.42  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:DELIA KS 3E - SOLDIER CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.3 FT AT 1330Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   6.3
:   0821   /   6.3 /   6.3 /   6.3

.ER DELK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   6.3
.E2  :0822:/   6.3 /   6.3 /   8.0 /   9.1
.E3  :0823:/   8.7 /   7.8 /   7.4 /   7.1
.E4  :0824:/   6.9 /   6.7 /   6.6 /   6.5
.E5  :0825:/   6.5 /   6.5 /   6.5 /   6.5
.E6  :0826:/   6.5 /   6.5 /   6.5


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.00
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.02
:    0822  /  0.05 /  1.10 /  1.16
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   2.33  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:TOPEKA KS 4NW - SOLDIER CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 27.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 34.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 40.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 0.0 FT AT 1400Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   0.0
:   0821   /   0.0 /   0.0 /   0.0

.ER TOPK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   0.0
.E2  :0822:/   0.0 /   0.0 /   2.6 /   6.4
.E3  :0823:/   6.9 /   5.4 /   3.1 /   1.6
.E4  :0824:/   1.0 /   0.5 /   0.3 /   0.2
.E5  :0825:/   0.2 /   0.1 /   0.1 /   0.1
.E6  :0826:/   0.1 /   0.1 /   0.1


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.00
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.02
:    0822  /  0.04 /  1.14 /  1.29
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   2.49  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:MUSCOTAH KS 2S - DELAWARE RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 25.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.3 FT AT 1345Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   2.4
:   0821   /   2.4 /   2.3 /   2.3

.ER MSCK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   2.3
.E2  :0822:/   2.3 /   3.1 /   8.6 /  12.2
.E3  :0823:/   8.2 /   6.0 /   4.3 /   3.3
.E4  :0824:/   2.8 /   2.6 /   2.5 /   2.5
.E5  :0825:/   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5
.E6  :0826:/   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.00
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.03
:    0822  /  0.04 /  1.01 /  1.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   2.09  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:LECOMPTON KS 1NE - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.8 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.4 FT AT 1330Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   2.4
:   0821   /   2.3 /   2.3 /   2.4

.ER LCPK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   2.4
.E2  :0822:/   2.4 /   2.4 /   5.0 /   8.3
.E3  :0823:/   7.3 /   6.3 /   5.4 /   4.7
.E4  :0824:/   4.1 /   3.8 /   3.6 /   3.5
.E5  :0825:/   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.1 /   3.0
.E6  :0826:/   2.9 /   2.8 /   2.7


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.00
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.02
:    0822  /  0.05 /  1.10 /  1.42
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   2.59  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:EASTON KS - STRANGER CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.8 FT AT 1330Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   2.2
:   0821   /   2.2 /   2.2 /   2.2

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 08/22/2017 AROUND 17Z
.AR : CREST : ESTK1 20170823 Z DC201708211427/DH00/HGIFFX 18.5
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 08/23/2017 AROUND 06Z
.ER ESTK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   3.6
.E2  :0822:/   4.0 /   4.2 /  10.1 /  17.8
.E3  :0823:/  18.5 /  17.4 /  12.1 /   7.7
.E4  :0824:/   5.3 /   3.9 /   3.1 /   2.7
.E5  :0825:/   2.4 /   2.3 /   2.3 /   2.3
.E6  :0826:/   2.2 /   2.2 /   2.2


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.02
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.02  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.04
:    0822  /  0.06 /  1.12 /  1.38
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   2.60  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:TONGANOXIE KS 4E - STRANGER CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.3 FT AT 1330Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   2.4
:   0821   /   2.5 /   2.3 /   2.3

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 08/22/2017 AROUND 21Z
.AR : CREST : TNGK1 20170823 Z DC201708211427/DH00/HGIFFX 23.5
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 08/23/2017 AROUND 01Z
.ER TNGK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   2.2
.E2  :0822:/   2.2 /   2.3 /  12.5 /  22.5
.E3  :0823:/  23.5 /  21.0 /  18.9 /  17.7
.E4  :0824:/  15.6 /  12.5 /   8.6 /   5.5
.E5  :0825:/   4.1 /   3.2 /   2.8 /   2.5
.E6  :0826:/   2.4 /   2.3 /   2.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.00
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.04
:    0822  /  0.06 /  1.06 /  1.50
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   2.66  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:DESOTO KS 1N - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.0 FT AT 1345Z ON 0821

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0820                           /   5.2
:   0821   /   5.2 /   5.1 /   5.1

.ER DSOK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        /   5.1
.E2  :0822:/   5.1 /   5.1 /   6.8 /   9.8
.E3  :0823:/  11.4 /  11.7 /  11.6 /  11.1
.E4  :0824:/  10.3 /   9.5 /   8.7 /   7.9
.E5  :0825:/   7.2 /   6.7 /   6.3 /   6.1
.E6  :0826:/   6.0 /   5.8 /   5.7


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0820                          /  0.00
:    0821  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Aug 21:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0821                          /  0.03
:    0822  /  0.05 /  0.95 /  1.50
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Aug 22:   2.53  inches


:DESOTO KS 1N - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - EAX
:LATEST FLOW 1.8 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0821

.ER DSOK1 20170821 Z DC201708211427/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0821:                        / 1.780
.E2  :0822:/ 1.800 / 1.860 /  5.22 / 14.90
.E3  :0823:/ 21.73 / 23.11 / 22.34 / 20.07
.E4  :0824:/ 16.99 / 13.77 / 10.81 /  8.30
.E5  :0825:/  6.32 / 4.960 / 4.120 / 3.650
.E6  :0826:/ 3.330 / 3.070 / 2.840

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:TOP -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Topeka, Kansas
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: kwl
:...END of MESSAGE...



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