River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 031650
RVFOHL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
11:50am EST Tuesday, March 3, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Markland Dam - Ohio River - ILN
: Zero Datum 408.0 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Gallatin County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     76.1 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      74.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   62.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      51.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     49.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  18.6
:     Mar 02   /  18.5 /  17.5 /  16.8 /  16.7
:     Mar 03   /  17.3 /  18.0 /  18.3
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 18.7 ft at 1000am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER MKLK2 20150303 Z DC201503031650/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  19.0
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  19.9 /  21.2 /  23.5 /  27.0
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  31.3 /  34.0 /  37.0 /  39.2
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  40.8 /  42.2 /  43.2 /  44.0
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  44.6 /  45.1 /  45.5 /  45.7
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  45.8 /  45.7 /  45.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.08 /  0.11 /  0.08
:     Mar 02   /  0.06 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.10
:     Mar 04   /  0.28 /  0.28 /  0.27 /  0.11
:     Mar 05   /  0.13 /  0.12 /  0.05
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -7.8
:     Mar 01   /  -2.2 /  -3.3 /  -3.5 /  -0.6
:     Mar 02   /   0.9 /   0.0 /  -4.4 /  -3.3
:     Mar 03   /   0.7 /  -2.4 /  -2.7 /   2.2
:     Mar 04   /   6.8 /   7.7 /   3.3 /   0.3
:     Mar 05   /  -2.6 /  -6.3 /  -9.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Upper - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 407.46 ft (NGVD29)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     52.2 ft
: Major Pool Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   30.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     21.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  12.9
:     Mar 02   /  12.9 /  12.5 /  12.6 /  12.3
:     Mar 03   /  12.2 /  12.7 /  12.8
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.7 ft at 1100am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER MLUK2 20150303 Z DC201503031650/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  12.8
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  12.7 /  12.7 /  12.8 /  12.8
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  13.2 /  14.4 /  16.0 /  17.1
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  17.7 /  18.2 /  18.8 /  19.4
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  19.7 /  20.1 /  20.3 /  20.6
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  20.7 /  20.7 /  20.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.04 /  0.08
:     Mar 02   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.10
:     Mar 04   /  0.25 /  0.38 /  0.46 /  0.23
:     Mar 05   /  0.23 /  0.22 /  0.07
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -5.9
:     Mar 01   /   0.1 /  -0.7 /  -1.7 /   0.6
:     Mar 02   /   2.8 /   1.2 /  -2.1 /  -1.9
:     Mar 03   /   2.3 /  -0.6 /  -1.2 /   3.3
:     Mar 04   /   9.4 /   9.6 /   4.5 /   1.0
:     Mar 05   /  -1.5 /  -5.6 /  -8.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Lower - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.18 ft (NGVD29)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     85.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      73.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   65.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      55.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     53.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  16.8
:     Mar 02   /  17.6 /  17.8 /  17.0 /  16.5
:     Mar 03   /  16.2 /  16.1 /  16.9
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 17.4 ft at 1100am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER MLPK2 20150303 Z DC201503031650/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  17.7
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  18.8 /  20.0 /  22.1 /  25.3
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  29.4 /  32.5 /  36.5 /  40.1
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  42.9 /  44.8 /  46.2 /  47.1
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  47.6 /  48.1 /  48.5 /  48.8
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  49.1 /  49.1 /  48.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.04 /  0.08
:     Mar 02   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.10
:     Mar 04   /  0.25 /  0.38 /  0.46 /  0.23
:     Mar 05   /  0.23 /  0.22 /  0.07
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -5.9
:     Mar 01   /   0.1 /  -0.7 /  -1.7 /   0.6
:     Mar 02   /   2.8 /   1.2 /  -2.1 /  -1.9
:     Mar 03   /   2.3 /  -0.6 /  -1.2 /   3.3
:     Mar 04   /   9.4 /   9.6 /   4.5 /   1.0
:     Mar 05   /  -1.5 /  -5.6 /  -8.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cannelton Dam - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 348.0 ft (Ohio River)
: Perry County, IN
: Record Tailwater Stage     60.8 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   46.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      42.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     40.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  14.5
:     Mar 02   /  14.3 /  14.5 /  14.5 /  14.7
:     Mar 03   /  14.7 /  15.0 /  14.8
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 14.8 ft at 1100am EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER CNNI3 20150303 Z DC201503031650/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  15.3
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  16.1 /  17.3 /  18.7 /  20.4
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  23.1 /  25.6 /  28.5 /  31.3
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  33.7 /  35.3 /  36.7 /  37.8
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  38.7 /  39.4 /  39.9 /  40.4
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  40.8 /  41.1 /  41.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.06 /  0.10
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.09
:     Mar 04   /  0.22 /  0.46 /  0.55 /  0.31
:     Mar 05   /  0.27 /  0.24 /  0.05
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -4.8
:     Mar 01   /   1.4 /   0.3 /  -0.7 /   1.4
:     Mar 02   /   3.9 /   0.5 /  -2.6 /  -1.2
:     Mar 03   /   3.5 /   0.0 /   0.3 /   5.4
:     Mar 04   /  11.3 /  10.5 /   4.7 /   0.7
:     Mar 05   /  -1.4 /  -5.7 /  -8.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Tell City - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 347.62 ft (NGVD 29)
: Perry County, IN
: Record River Stage     57.0 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   44.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      38.0 ft
: Action River Stage     36.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 5AM EST on Sat, Mar 7
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  15.3E
:     Mar 02   /  15.3E/  15.2E/  15.1E/  15.0E
:     Mar 03   /  14.9E/  14.9E/  15.1E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER TELI3 20150303 Z DC201503031650/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 03 :                         /  15.3
.E2 : Mar 04 : /  15.7 /  16.4 /  17.6 /  19.6
.E3 : Mar 05 : /  21.7 /  24.4 /  27.2 /  30.5
.E4 : Mar 06 : /  32.6 /  33.8 /  34.7 /  35.7
.E5 : Mar 07 : /  36.6 /  37.5 /  38.2 /  38.9
.E6 : Mar 08 : /  39.6 /  40.1 /  40.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.06 /  0.10
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  0.09
:     Mar 04   /  0.22 /  0.46 /  0.55 /  0.31
:     Mar 05   /  0.27 /  0.24 /  0.05
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  -4.8
:     Mar 01   /   1.4 /   0.3 /  -0.7 /   1.4
:     Mar 02   /   3.9 /   0.5 /  -2.6 /  -1.2
:     Mar 03   /   3.5 /   0.0 /   0.3 /   5.4
:     Mar 04   /  11.3 /  10.5 /   4.7 /   0.7
:     Mar 05   /  -1.4 /  -5.7 /  -8.6
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: JEH
:...END of MESSAGE...




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