River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 201503
RVFOHL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
10:02am EST Friday, January 20, 2017

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Markland Dam - Ohio River - ILN
: Zero Datum 408.0 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Gallatin County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     76.1 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      74.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   62.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      51.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     49.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 18                           /  39.9
:     Jan 19   /  39.1 /  39.5 /  39.3 /  38.8
:     Jan 20   /  38.1 /  37.9 /  37.7
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 37.9 ft at 945am EST on Fri, Jan 20
:
.ER MKLK2 20170120 Z DC201701201502/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 20 :                         /  37.9
.E2 : Jan 21 : /  37.8 /  37.7 /  37.5 /  37.3
.E3 : Jan 22 : /  37.0 /  36.5 /  35.9 /  35.3
.E4 : Jan 23 : /  34.7 /  34.1 /  33.7 /  33.2
.E5 : Jan 24 : /  32.8 /  32.3 /  31.7 /  30.9
.E6 : Jan 25 : /  29.7 /  28.5 /  27.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 17                           /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 20   /  0.04 /  0.34 /  0.42
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 20                           /  0.02
:     Jan 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 22   /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.05
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 17                           /  14.6
:     Jan 18   /  11.4 /   7.2 /   4.5 /   3.5
:     Jan 19   /   4.8 /   4.0 /   3.4 /   4.7
:     Jan 20   /   8.7 /   7.8 /   9.3 /  11.9
:     Jan 21   /  13.3 /  12.1 /  12.3 /  13.7
:     Jan 22   /  14.8 /  12.1 /  10.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Upper - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 407.18 ft (NAVD 88)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     52.2 ft
: Major Pool Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   30.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     21.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 18                           /  17.6
:     Jan 19   /  17.6 /  17.5 /  17.5 /  17.4
:     Jan 20   /  17.3 /  17.2 /  17.2
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 17.2 ft at 900am EST on Fri, Jan 20
:
.ER MLUK2 20170120 Z DC201701201502/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 20 :                         /  17.1
.E2 : Jan 21 : /  17.1 /  17.1 /  17.1 /  17.1
.E3 : Jan 22 : /  17.1 /  17.0 /  16.9 /  16.8
.E4 : Jan 23 : /  16.5 /  16.3 /  16.1 /  15.6
.E5 : Jan 24 : /  15.2 /  14.7 /  14.2 /  13.8
.E6 : Jan 25 : /  13.4 /  13.1 /  12.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 17                           /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 20   /  0.12 /  0.77 /  0.28
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 20                           /  0.01
:     Jan 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 22   /  0.00 /  0.04 /  0.03
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 17                           /  15.4
:     Jan 18   /  11.9 /   7.4 /   5.5 /   4.8
:     Jan 19   /   5.7 /   3.7 /   3.0 /   6.1
:     Jan 20   /  10.3 /   9.3 /  10.9 /  13.0
:     Jan 21   /  14.2 /  13.0 /  12.8 /  14.3
:     Jan 22   /  15.4 /  12.4 /  10.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Lower - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.18 ft (NGVD29)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     85.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      73.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   65.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      55.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     53.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 18                           /  44.3
:     Jan 19   /  44.5 /  44.3 /  44.2 /  44.1
:     Jan 20   /  43.8 /  43.5 /  43.6
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 43.6 ft at 900am EST on Fri, Jan 20
:
.ER MLPK2 20170120 Z DC201701201502/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 20 :                         /  43.6
.E2 : Jan 21 : /  43.4 /  43.2 /  43.2 /  43.2
.E3 : Jan 22 : /  43.2 /  43.0 /  42.6 /  42.0
.E4 : Jan 23 : /  41.2 /  40.3 /  39.5 /  38.7
.E5 : Jan 24 : /  37.9 /  37.0 /  36.1 /  35.3
.E6 : Jan 25 : /  34.5 /  33.6 /  32.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 17                           /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 20   /  0.12 /  0.77 /  0.28
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 20                           /  0.01
:     Jan 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 22   /  0.00 /  0.04 /  0.03
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 17                           /  15.4
:     Jan 18   /  11.9 /   7.4 /   5.5 /   4.8
:     Jan 19   /   5.7 /   3.7 /   3.0 /   6.1
:     Jan 20   /  10.3 /   9.3 /  10.9 /  13.0
:     Jan 21   /  14.2 /  13.0 /  12.8 /  14.3
:     Jan 22   /  15.4 /  12.4 /  10.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cannelton Dam - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 348.0 ft (Ohio River)
: Perry County, IN
: Record Tailwater Stage     60.8 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   46.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      42.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     40.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 18                           /  35.2
:     Jan 19   /  35.5 /  35.7 /  35.9 /  36.1
:     Jan 20   /  36.1 /  36.2 /  36.5
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 36.5 ft at 900am EST on Fri, Jan 20
:
.ER CNNI3 20170120 Z DC201701201502/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 20 :                         /  36.8
.E2 : Jan 21 : /  37.0 /  37.1 /  37.0 /  37.0
.E3 : Jan 22 : /  37.0 /  36.9 /  36.8 /  36.6
.E4 : Jan 23 : /  36.3 /  35.9 /  35.4 /  34.9
.E5 : Jan 24 : /  34.4 /  33.8 /  32.9 /  31.9
.E6 : Jan 25 : /  31.0 /  30.1 /  29.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 17                           /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 20   /  0.29 /  0.66 /  0.19
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 20                           /  0.00
:     Jan 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 22   /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 17                           /  14.1
:     Jan 18   /  10.3 /   6.4 /   5.2 /   4.7
:     Jan 19   /   5.7 /   2.8 /   3.9 /   7.4
:     Jan 20   /  10.6 /  10.9 /  12.4 /  13.0
:     Jan 21   /  14.2 /  13.2 /  12.8 /  14.1
:     Jan 22   /  15.5 /  12.2 /  10.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Tell City - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 347.62 ft (NGVD 29)
: Perry County, IN
: Record River Stage     57.0 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   44.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      38.0 ft
: Action River Stage     36.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR TELI3 20170121 Z DC201701201502/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   36.5
: Crest near   36.5 ft around 7PM EST on Fri, Jan 20
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 18                           /  34.4E
:     Jan 19   /  34.8E/  35.1E/  35.3 /  35.5E
:     Jan 20   /  35.6E/  35.8E/  36.0
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 36.0 ft at 700am EST on Fri, Jan 20
:
.ER TELI3 20170120 Z DC201701201502/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Jan 20 :                         /  36.3
.E2 : Jan 21 : /  36.5 /  36.5 /  36.4 /  36.3
.E3 : Jan 22 : /  36.2 /  36.0 /  35.8 /  35.5
.E4 : Jan 23 : /  35.2 /  34.7 /  34.3 /  33.8
.E5 : Jan 24 : /  33.2 /  32.5 /  31.7 /  30.8
.E6 : Jan 25 : /  29.8 /  28.9 /  27.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 17                           /  0.00
:     Jan 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 20   /  0.29 /  0.66 /  0.19
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 20                           /  0.00
:     Jan 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Jan 22   /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Jan 17                           /  14.1
:     Jan 18   /  10.3 /   6.4 /   5.2 /   4.7
:     Jan 19   /   5.7 /   2.8 /   3.9 /   7.4
:     Jan 20   /  10.6 /  10.9 /  12.4 /  13.0
:     Jan 21   /  14.2 /  13.2 /  12.8 /  14.1
:     Jan 22   /  15.5 /  12.2 /  10.8
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: Noel
:...END of MESSAGE...




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