Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 010901
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NCZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/01/14 0901Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-E 0845Z  GG
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LOCATION...COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA...
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ATTN WFOS...AKQ...MHX...ILM...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...TRAINING OF COASTAL DEEP CONVECTION ALONG WARM FRONT
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0900-1500Z...MEDIUM HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...DIURNAL PEAK OF TROPICALLY INDUCED CONVECTION
HAS RAPIDLY EXPANDED ALONG A WARM FRONT PARALLELING THE NC COASTLINE.
15-20KT PERPENDICULAR ONSHORE SFC FLOW PUMPING EXTREMELY MST LOWER
LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH TPWS IN EXCESS OF 2.0" AND 85H TDS NEARING 20C IS
PROVIDING ENOUGH CONVERGENCE FOR INCREASED VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT ALONG
THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF NC AND FAR E SC ATTM.   WITH SOUTHERN STREAM
S/W OVER GA BEGINNING TO VEER MID TO UPPER LEVEL WIND PROFILE TO ALLOW
FOR CELL MOTIONS TO BECOME BETTER ALIGNED WITH THE FRONT AND COASTLINE
FOR A TRAINING/REPEAT CELL ENVIRONMENT.   EVEN THOUGH GROUND CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY SUPPORT THE POTENTIALLY HVY TOTALS... PER FFG VALUES IN THE
AREA... ISOLATED FF THREAT IS POSSIBLE GIVEN THE HIGH EFFICIENCY OF THE
CELLS LIKELY IN THE 2"/HR RANGE.

ADDITIONALLY THE RAINFALL GRADIENT SHOULD BE QUITE TIGHT AND LIMITED
TO THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF NC AND FAR E SC... AS A DRY SLOT IS EVIDENT
IN BLENDED TPW ANALYSIS BEING ADVECTED NEWARD FROM THE NE GULF ACROSS
S AND CENT GA INTO CENT SC/NC...THOUGH ISOLATED LEFT MOVING CONVECTION
COULD AFFECT THIS AREA...RAINFALL WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS THAN ALONG
THE COAST.

AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3649 7589 3572 7487 3296 7690 3351 7853 3537 7756

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