Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 290845
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
245 AM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 241 AM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE PLAINS EAST OF THE ROCKIES
AS A RIDGE PERSISTS OVER CENTRAL UTAH.  BY WEDNESDAY THE RIDGE
RETROGRESSES TO NEVADA. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE HIGH WILL BE REPLACED BY WEAK LOW
PRESSURE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST
ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PLAN ON CHANCE AND SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF
THE FA TODAY AND INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.  THE NAM AND THE HRRR HAVE
A GOOD HANDLE ON STORMS DEVELOPING EARLY THIS MORNING. THE MODELS
ARE ALSO INDICATING STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. DYNAMICS SHOULD SLOWLY
MOVE TO THE SOUTHWEST FA EARLY THIS EVENING WITH POPS DECREASING TO
NIL VALUES. POPS WILL REMAIN NIL OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY. A SHORTWAVE
MOVES THROUGH THE FLOW LATE TUESDAY EVENING.  SLIGHT CHANCE LOOKS ON
TRACK FOR THAT TIME PERIOD SINCE MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED. STORMS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY OVER EASTERN COLORADO. ONCE AGAIN MOISTURE IS LIMITED SO
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SHOULD BE APPROPRIATE.

MAX TEMPERATURES TODAY AND WEDNESDAY SHOULD RISE INTO THE LOWER
90S IN THE WESTERN FA AND THE UPPER 90S (SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY) IN
THE EAST. 850 TEMPERATURES WILL SUPPORT SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR
100 DEGREES TUESDAY. APPARENT TEMPERATURES ARE NOT AT HEAT
ADVISORY LEVELS BUT THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED. MIN
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RANGE FROM 65 TO 70 WITH COOLEST READINGS IN
EASTERN COLORADO.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 AM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

THE BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE AT THE START OF THE PERIOD ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS OUT OVER THE AREA.
MEANWHILE...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS
WILL CONTINUE TO BREAK DOWN. DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY AND PROGRESS SOUTH.
DRY CONDITIONS LOOK TO PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE HIGH PLAINS FOR THE
WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SOMEWHAT REBOUNDS ALTHOUGH SOME
WEAK DISTURBANCES COULD GENERATE PRECIP CHANCES FOR PARTS OF THE
AREA.

HIGHS ON THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 80S...COOLING A COUPLE
DEGREES ON FRIDAY BEFORE REBOUNDING INTO THE MID 80S TO MID 90S FOR
THE WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS. LOWS ARE FORECAST IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES FOR
SATURDAY NIGHT LOOK TO BE SLIGHTLY WARMER AND IN THE 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1116 PM MDT SUN JUN 28 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE PERIOD AS WELL.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JBH
AVIATION...BULLER


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