Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 161902
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
102 PM MDT Sat Mar 16 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Benign weather through early next week.

- Unsettled weather pattern returns mid-week, mainly Wednesday
  into Thursday. Light precipitation (rain) possible. Hazardous
  weather presently not anticipated.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 240 AM MDT Sat Mar 16 2024

Synoptic Overview: A pronounced upper level ridge /omega block/
anchored to the Pacific Coast.. and a cut-off low, trapped
within, over the Desert Southwest.. will persist.

Benign weather, characterized by dry conditions and near average
temperatures, will prevail through the weekend.. in association
with an increasingly subsident /confluent flow aloft/ synoptic
regime over the Central Plains.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 101 PM MDT Sat Mar 16 2024

At the start of the long term period, broad upper level troughing is
stretched across the eastern half of the CONUS and a center of low
pressure is situated near the Four Corners region while upper level
ridging pushes east into the western CONUS. Progression of the low
to our south will draw moisture along with it, allowing parts of the
area to see a few chances (15-20%) for precipitation beginning
during the latter part of the week, with better/more widespread
chances (20-30%) possible late in the work week into the weekend. A
cold front moving through Thursday into Friday may see a transition
to or a mix with snow. Mild temperatures are forecast to persist,
generally above or near to above normal, with highs mainly in the
60s and lows in the 30s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1020 AM MDT Sat Mar 16 2024

KGLD...VFR conditions are expected through the period. Northerly
winds gusting up to 30kts at taf issuance will continue through
this afternoon, subsiding to around 11kts by 00z. Tonight, winds
will be light and variable. Sunday morning, winds re-establish a
northerly direction at speeds generally up to 10kts. They could
exceed 12kts with some gusts around or shortly after 17z.

KMCK...VFR conditions are expected through the period. Northerly
winds gusting up to 30kts at taf issuance will continue through
this afternoon, subsiding to around 12kts at 00z. Winds tonight
generally from the northwest around 6kts. Sunday morning, winds
veer to the north at speeds up to 10kts. They could exceed 12kts
with some gusts around or shortly after 17z.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BV
LONG TERM...CC
AVIATION...99


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