000
FXUS63 KGLD 202001
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
201 PM MDT MON MAY 20 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM MDT MON MAY 20 2013

AN UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE OVER EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND A RIDGE
MOVING INTO THE ROCKIES WILL KEEP NORTHWEST FLOW OVER WESTERN
KANSAS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

A SHORTWAVE WILL SWING AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF THE LOW INTO
NORTHWEST KANSAS TONIGHT. CHANCE POPS SHOULD BE APPROPRIATE IN THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE FA SINCE MOST SHOWERS WILL HAVE VERY LIGHT
AMOUNTS OF RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WILL BE USED OVER THE EASTERN
HALF. SUBSIDENCE WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE EXITING SHORTWAVE TUESDAY.
HOWEVER SOME DYNAMICS WILL LINGER OVER THE NORTHERN FA TUESDAY
MORNING. BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON NIL POPS WILL COVER THE ENTIRE FA AS
THE UPPER LOW LIFTS FURTHER NORTHEAST AWAY FROM NORTHWEST KANSAS.

SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY OVERNIGHT AND THEN INCREASE AGAIN
TO NEAR WIND ADVISORY LEVELS TUESDAY. CONFIDENCE IS NOT ADEQUATE FOR
AN ADVISORY AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE MARGINAL WIND SPEEDS.

LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE 40S. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TUESDAY WILL RISE INTO THE MID 60S NORTH TO THE LOWER 70S SOUTH.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 106 PM MDT MON MAY 20 2013

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...UPPER RIDGE AXIS MAKES ITS WAY
ACROSS THE AREA WITH LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS TO THE EAST AND NORTHWEST.
DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN PERHAPS A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS
FROM WEST TO EAST. ON THURSDAY LOOKS LIKE A MONSOONAL TYPE FLOW
DEVELOPS WITH MOISTURE MOVING NORTH. PRECIPITATION AGAIN POSSIBLE.
HIGHS WEDNESDAY IN THE 70S...COOLING THURSDAY INTO THE MID 60S TO
LOW 70S AS COOLER AIR MOVES IN AND CLOUDS INCREASE.

FRIDAY-MONDAY...LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS DAYS DISCUSSIONS.
FORECAST AREA CAUGHT IN BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WITH
MONSOONAL TYPE MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD
LEADING TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURN TO
ABOVE NORMAL READINGS IN THE 80S TO AROUND 90 WITH LOWS IN THE 50S
AND 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1109 AM MDT MON MAY 20 2013

SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA SHOW INCREASING TREND FOR SHOWERS THAT
WILL LIKELY IMPACT BOTH KGLD AND KMCK FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL
EARLY THIS EVENING. EVEN WITH SHOWERS EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO
LAST AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS LOWER CLOUDS CLEAR OUT. WIND WILL
DECREASE SOME OVERNIGHT AND THEN PICK UP AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...FS