Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS
FXUS63 KGLD 240931
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
231 AM MST Fri Feb 24 2017
.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 231 AM MST Fri Feb 24 2017
Across the forecast area this morning...skies remain cloudy as the
region continues to remain under the influence of the wrap-around
circulation from the exiting low affecting the region yesterday.
Temperatures are ranging in the upper teens thru the 20s with a
steady northerly wind...gusting to 20 to 30mph at times.
Local/regional radar still showing light snow working south into
western portions of the CWA. For at least the morning hours...will
continue to highlight higher pops for light snow mainly for locales
north of Interstate 70...but transitioning from west to east before
lifting out of the area going into the afternoon hrs. Some light
accum can not be ruled out in the aforementioned areas...but less
than an inch. South of the Interstate...going for a slight chance of
snow showers tapering off to the south to nothing. Expecting cloudy
conditions to persist thru the day despite snowfall ending. CAA will
persist over the region thru the day...and will be looking for
daytime highs to only top off in the upper 20s north down to the mid
30s across southern zones.
Going into tonight...expect skies to begin to clear out along with
winds to slacken as surface ridging builds over the region. Went
close to model guidance with lows in the lower teens to near
10F...but this will have to be monitored for next shift as it may
not be cold enough. Some guidance showing single numbers above zero.
Wind chill readings will be in a zero to 10 above range.
For the upcoming weekend...continuing model trend of dry across the
region as H5 ridging/zonal flow becomes prominent. Weak shortwave
does work thru the flow Saturday night but comes thru dry. Highs
over the weekend will range in the upper 30s thru the mid
40s...coldest over NW zones. Overnight lows will be in the teens to
lower 20s. Wind chill readings for many locales over the weekend
will be in the single numbers above zero.
.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 220 AM MST Fri Feb 24 2017
The extended period will be mostly dry with the exception of
Tuesday... where the extreme southeastern portion of our forecast
area may see a slight chance of precipitation. This is due to a
possible system developing over the Texas panhandle and moving
northeast over the eastern High Plains.
Temperatures will hold steady through Thursday with highs reaching
the middle 40s to middle 50s and the overnight lows dropping into
the middle teens to the middle 20s. Friday... the highs look to
reach the lower 60s.
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1035 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017
For Kgld...north winds near 19 knots with gusts in the 27 to 30
knot range are expected until 23z. Mvfr conditions are expected
until 19z when conditions will become vfr. Vfr conditions will
then continue through the end of the period. At 23z the gusts will
end and the light north winds will become light and variable.
For Kmck...vfr conditions are expected until 09z when conditions
become mvfr. Then from 13z until 19z will be ifr with occasional
mvfr conditions expected. Then prevailing mvfr conditions will
occur from 19z until 22z when vfr conditions return. Vfr
conditions are expected through the rest of the period. North
winds of 16 to 20 knots with gusts to near 30 knots are expected
until 23z. At that time the winds will decrease dramatically and
then become light and variable.