Public Information Statement
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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NOUS43 KGLD 110237
PNSGLD

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND
835 PM MDT FRI OCT 10 2014

TO:        FAMILY OF SERVICES /FOS/ SUBSCRIBERS...
           NOAA WEATHER WIRE SERVICE /NWWS/ SUBSCRIBERS...
           EMERGENCY MANAGERS WEATHER INFORMATION NETWORK
           /EMWIN/ SUBSCRIBERS...NOAAPORT SUBSCRIBERS...
           OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE /NWS/CUSTOMERS
           AND PARTNERS...AND NWS EMPLOYEES

FROM:      MARK BULLER
           HYDROLOGIC FOCAL POINT

SUBJECT:   ADJUSTMENT TO SERVICES PROVIDED TO THE GOODLAND
           HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA.

...NEW PROBABILISTIC RIVER OUTLOOK AVAILABLE...

BEGINNING 21 OCTOBER 2014...WFO GOODLAND WILL IMPLEMENT THE
ISSUANCE OF NON-EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES AS PART OF THE CURRENT
SUITE OF AHPS PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS FOR ALL CURRENTLY ESTABLISHED
PROBABILISTIC FORECAST POINTS. THE NON-EXCEEDANCE OUTLOOKS WILL INDICATE
THE PROBABILITY OF FALLING TO LISTED STAGE LEVELS DURING THE THREE MONTH
LONG VALID TIME PERIOD. THIS PRODUCT IS AIMED AT HELPING DECISION
MAKERS DETERMINE THE LONG RANGE POSSIBILITY OF LOW WATER.

ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE OR AHPS IS THE MODERNIZATION OF
HYDROLOGIC SERVICES TO IMPROVE FLOOD FORECASTS AND WATER RESOURCES
INFORMATION. GRAPHICAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ UNDER THE WATER TAB. (THE WEB ADDRESS IS IN
ALL LOWER CASE AND ONCE ON THE WEB PAGE YOU CAN ZOOM INTO YOUR
RESPECTIVE COUNTY). TO FIND THE NON-EXEEDANCE PROBABILITY
GRAPHS...SELECT YOUR RIVER OF INTEREST AND GO TO THE HYDROGRAPH
PAGE FOR THAT RIVER. SCROLL TO THE BOTTOM OF THE HYDROGRAPH PAGE
AND UNDER THE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION TAB...SELECT THE LINK
TITLED: "HOW LOW COULD THE RIVER GET?".

INFORMATION ON THE INTERNET FOR THESE PROBABILISTIC AHPS SITES
CAN INCLUDE:
     - GRAPHS SHOWING CURRENT AND FORECAST STAGE/RESERVOIR POOL HEIGHTS
     - GRAPHS SHOWING CHANCES OR PROBABILITIES OF
       EXCEEDING CERTAIN STAGE/RESERVOIR POOL HEIGHTS
     - GRAPHS SHOWING CHANCES OR PROBABILITIES OF FALLING TO CERTAIN
       STAGE/RESERVOIR POOL INFLOWS
     - A MAP SHOWING THE LOCATION OF THE GAUGES AND FEMA NATIONAL
       FLOOD HAZARD LEVELS

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WELCOMES PUBLIC FEEDBACK. IF YOU HAVE
ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ON THIS CHANGEPLEASE CONTACT:

                     MARK BULLER
                     HYDROLOGIC FOCAL POINT
                     NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
                     920 ARMORY ROAD
                     GOODLAND, KS 67735-9273
                     PHONE: 785-899-7119
                     E-MAIL: MARK.BULLER@NOAA.GOV

$$

BULLER



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