Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 260816
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
416 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

...Warmer Weather and Rain On The Way...

.DISCUSSION...
A deep southerly flow of air will be on the way over the next few
days. In fact, southerly winds will be in place from today through
Monday. High temperatures Saturday through Monday will push well into
the 70s with summer like dew points rising into the 60s. Periods of
showers and storms are expected from tonight through Monday. Rainfall
amounts will be highest over Central Lower Michigan where totals will
likely exceed an inch by Tuesday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-262030-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
416 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) until 5 PM, then mostly
                    cloudy (75-85 percent). Areas of frost until 9
                    AM.
Max temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....820-1010 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 11 PM, then rain showers. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....260-380 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.31-0.51 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......41 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to around
                    34 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2700-3200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....850-1090 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-262030-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
416 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) until 5 PM, then partly
                    sunny (65-75 percent). Areas of frost until 9
                    AM.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....780-940 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 11 PM, then rain showers. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....170-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.24-0.40 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 5 PM, then partly
                    sunny (65-75 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....820-1080 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-262030-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
416 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) until 2 PM, then mostly
                    cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent late in the day.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....780-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......22 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....230-260 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.47 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 5 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 17 to 22 mph with gusts to around
                    33 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4000-4500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1170-1530 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-262030-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
416 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) until 5 PM, then mostly
                    cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of frost until 9
                    AM.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....740-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 11 PM, then rain showers. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......22 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.37 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to
                    around 32 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1160-1490 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-262030-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
416 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) until 5 PM, then mostly
                    cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....710-880 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 PM, then rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....170-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to
                    around 33 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1220-1490 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.11 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. South winds 12 to 17 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 16 to 21 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
70s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 50.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s.

$$
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