Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FNUS73 KGLD 161831
FWSGLD

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ATWOOD_DSS...EMERGENCY MANAGMENT/NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1231 PM MDT SAT MAY 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL INCREASE FOR THE ATWOOD AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AS STORMS DEVELOP ALONG A DRYLINE FROM CULBERTSON TO TRIBUNE.

THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BEFORE 330 PM CDT APPEARS LIKELY AND WITH ATWOOD
BEING RIGHT ON DRYLINE EXPECT THIS AREA TO BE UNDER THREAT AS STORMS INITIATE.
SHOULD SEE A SLIGHT EASTWARD DRIFT WITH STORMS IN THE EVENING BUT WITH STRONG
SYSTEM MOVING OVERHEAD...THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 81.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 20 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 22 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........59  71  74  78
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC LKY LKY
TEMP............77  77  75  73
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..20  20  21  20
20 FT WIND GUST.30  30  30  30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    EARLY MORNING.
CWR.................70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........81  93  89  86  75  65  54  50  46  42  36  31
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............70  68  65  62  60  58  56  55  54  53  52  51
20 FT WIND DIR..S   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..18  16  14  10  9   9   10  10  12  13  14  15
20 FT WIND GUST.30  25  20  15  10  10  15  15  15  15  20  20

$$
FORECASTER...WFO GLD
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY MARTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150516.ATWOO.01/GLD



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