Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD
445 FNUS73 KABR 011116 FWSABR Spot Forecast for Little Bend WSG...State of South Dakota National Weather Service Aberdeen SD 616 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 01. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Southerly winds are forecast to develop across the burn site today. These winds may vary a bit to the southeast at times as well, and local effects from Lake Oahe may play a factor here. That said, the overall general low-level wind flow today across central South Dakota will be south to southeast. Afternoon humidity is forecast to bottom out between 30 and 35 percent early this afternoon, then actually increase through the remainder of the day as clouds increase, along with the arrival of scattered light showers. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of rain showers early in the afternoon. Chance of rain showers late in the afternoon. CWR.................3 percent increasing to 16 percent in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 62. Min humidity........32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 15 mph increasing to around 16 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1200-6100 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph increasing to 18 to 21 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (104200 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 to 6 or (moderate) to (high). TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........66 68 76 83 89 88 87 85 Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 20 30 30 30 30 Temp............53 55 59 62 62 62 62 61 RH..............44 41 36 32 36 41 44 48 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..6 8 10 14 15 15 16 16 20 FT wind gust.10 13 17 20 20 21 23 24 Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 2.3 3.9 5.6 6.1 5.4 4.6 4.4 Smoke Dispersal.PR PR FR GD VGD GD GD GD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain showers early in the evening, then rain showers likely late in the evening. Chance of rain showers late in the evening. CWR.................16 percent decreasing to 6 percent overnight. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 45. Max humidity........89 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph early in the morning. Mixing height.......600-3700 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 25 mph shifting to the south 13 to 15 mph after 3 am. Smoke dispersal.....Good (80300 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (7500 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........3 to 5 or (very low) to (moderate). TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........88 90 92 91 90 88 84 81 79 81 82 84 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 50 60 60 50 40 30 30 30 40 40 Temp............61 58 58 55 52 51 49 49 49 48 45 45 RH..............48 53 57 61 71 74 80 80 80 83 93 93 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..20 20 20 17 18 16 16 15 14 14 13 10 20 FT wind gust.29 30 30 24 29 25 23 24 25 24 22 21 Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 2.1 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 Smoke Dispersal.GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR $$ Forecaster...TMT Requested by...Kevin Hoffmann Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412803.1/ABR .DELDT 05/01/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Kevin.Hoffmann@state.sd.us