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000
FNUS71 KBTV 241308
FWSBTV

Spot Forecast for Norton Farm Road Rx Fire...USFS - Green Mountain National Forest
National Weather Service Burlington VT
908 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will drop through the region today with scattered to
numerous showers likely through mid afternoon. Winds will be less
than 10 mph from the southwest this morning, but will rapidly
increase behind the front after about the noon hour gusting to 30
mph from the northwest thereafter through the afternoon.
Temperatures will additionally be warmest this morning ahead of
the front in the 40s, and cool into the mid 30s this afternoon.
Clouds and rain diminish by evening with gusty winds abating
towards midnight.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    through the day. Chance of snow showers in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest around 8 mph through noon,then shifting
                    to the northwest at 14 to 17 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 13 mph shifting to the north 14
                    to 23 mph in the afternoon, then shifting to
                    the northwest around 24 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........100    100    99     90     78
Weather cov.....LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).60     80     100    60     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............43     44     44     39     35
RH..............73     79     76     73     72
20 ft wind......SW 9   SW 9   W 8    N 17   N 16
20 ft wind gust.17     15     15     29     28
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   1200   1700   1700   2400
Transport wind..S 13   SW 10  NW 14  N 22   N 23
Haines index....3      3      3      2      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 22.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 18 to 25 mph decreasing to 13 to 15 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........65     40     11     9      2      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............32     31     31     29     26     24
RH..............66     53     45     44     48     52
20 ft wind......N 17   N 15   N 15   N 13   N 9    N 9
20 ft wind gust.25     24     22     18     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....3100   2000   2000   2000   2100   1500
Transport wind..NW 25  N 23   N 21   N 18   N 14   N 14
Haines index....2      3      3      3      4      4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 43.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........3      8      8      6      8      4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      M      M      1      M
Temp............23     26     33     38     41     43
RH..............57     50     38     31     27     28
20 ft wind......N 9    N 9    NW 9   NW 9   NW 9   NW 9
20 ft wind gust.14     14     14     13     13     12
Mix hgt (ft)....800    2200   2900   3600   4500   4200
Transport wind..N 12   N 14   N 15   N 15   N 15   N 14
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
Forecaster...Lahiff
Requested by...LR Silvia
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411768.1/BTV
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lindsay.r.silvia@usda.gov