Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 151228
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for REGA Swim Pool Cattails Rx...DCNR Bureau of State Parks
National Weather Service State College PA
Issued by National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
828 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 15.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are expected today with a northwest flow and
increasing sunshine. The minimum relative humidty is most likely
to drop to around 35 to 40 percent.

Any patchy fog will burn off by 9 AM and the mixing layer will
be highest this afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
Min Humidity.........37%
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing Height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 13 mph shifting to the west 13
                    to 16 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 to 47.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  46  44  42  40  39  37  35  31  26  22
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  56  59  61  64  65  67  68  69  69  68
RH................  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   7   7   8   9   10  11  12  12  12
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  10  11  12  14  16  17  18  17  18
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.5 1.3 1.9 3.1 4.0 4.5 4.6 5.2 4.5 4.5
Transp Wind Dir...  N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  9   9   9   10  13  13  14  15  14  16
LVORI.............  4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  10  25  25  25  41  41  41  47  47  47
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 42.
Max Humidity........72%
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph becoming light.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North 7 to 16 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 6 mph early in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 22.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  18  13  9   9   8   7   7   6   6   8   10  12
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  67  64  59  57  54  52  50  46  45  46  44  43
RH................  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  12  11  7   8   7   6   6   5   3   4   3   3
20 FT Wind Gust...  17  14  11  12  10  10  10  6   5   5   4   4
Mix Hgt (kft).....  2.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  16  16  15  16  15  14  12  9   7   7   7   6
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  22  22  22  11  11  11  8   8   8   3   3   3
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 68.
Min Humidity........30%
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 to 35.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  14  16  18  21  25  28  31  35  38  41  45  48
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  44  43  47  50  54  58  60  62  65  65  66  67
RH................  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  3   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   6   5   5   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  4   4   4   4   5   6   6   7   8   7   7   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.3 0.4 1.6 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.1
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  6   6   6   6   9   9   10  10  12  10  9   8
LVORI.............  3   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2
ADI...............  4   4   4   27  27  27  35  35  35  32  32  32
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...WFO-CTP
Requested by...Shon Robbins
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410549.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shorobbins@pa.gov


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