Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FXUS63 KDLH 282354
AFDDLH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
654 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

AT 330 PM...SKY COVER VARIED FROM PARTLY CLOUDY ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHERN MINNESOTA...TO MOSTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH.
TEMPERATURES WERE GENERALLY IN THE 50S...BUT IT REMAINED IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR WITH GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS. A
FEW SHOWERS CONTINUED TO SKIRT ALONG THE FAR SOUTH...ALTHOUGH WE
HAVE NOT HAD ANY SURFACE REFLECTION ON OBSERVATIONS AT THIS POINT.

THE FOCUS FOR TONIGHT WILL BE CLOUD COVER...ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT
LOW TEMPERATURES. THINK SKIES WILL REMAIN PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH...AND MOSTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE SOUTH.
THERE COULD BE SOMEWHAT OF AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ACROSS THE NORTH
AND ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. LOWS TONIGHT SHOULD GENERALLY
BE IN THE 30S.

PARTLY SUNNY SKIES SHOULD BE FOUND AREA-WIDE ON FRIDAY...AS A BACK
DOOR COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE ARROWHEAD REGION. HIGHS ON
FRIDAY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN THE 50S...BUT IT WILL REMAIN IN THE
UPPER 30S TO 40S NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR WITH NORTHEAST WINDS.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

LONG TERM CONCERN IS THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND WINDY
CONDITIONS ALONG LAKE SUPERIOR

IT WILL BE A REASONABLY QUIET PERIOD FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD. SKIES
WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH A SLOW
WARMING TREND ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA.  THE ONLY PRECIPITATION THAT
MAY OCCUR WILL BE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY WHEN A CLIPPER
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION BRINGING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TO MOST OF
THE REGION.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATE
FRIDAY AND SLOWLY MOVE EAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY THE END OF
THE WEEKEND. WITH AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED IN ONTARIO
NEAR HUDSON BAY...WINDS WILL BE GUSTY NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR WITH
READINGS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30-40 MPH. THIS MAY CAUSE
SOME SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITION ON LAKE SUPERIOR THIS WEEKEND.
THE EAST- NORTHEAST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH WILL BRING DRIER AIR
INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE MID 20S TO MID 30S ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA AWAY FORM THE LAKE. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS IN THE 40S ALONG THE
LAKE WITH 50S INLAND.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL COME BEHIND THE CLIPPER ON TUESDAY COOLING
THE TEMPS A LITTLE BUT A SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PUSH TEMPS INTO THE
60 INLAND BY MIDWEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 651 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. RAIN SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN TO THE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KBRD TO KHYR
THIS EVENING. HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS OVERNIGHT...GIVING WAY TO
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ON FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  31  51  32  49 /  10   0   0   0
INL  34  57  35  59 /   0   0   0   0
BRD  33  58  36  57 /  10   0   0  10
HYR  32  57  34  57 /  10   0   0   0
ASX  32  51  33  50 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LSZ121-
     141>148.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DAP
LONG TERM...STEWART
AVIATION...GRANING



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