Text Products for FWS Issued by EAX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
Versions: 1 2

000
FNUS73 KEAX 241402
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for Mine Creek Rocky Prairie...USFWS
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
902 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather concerns are low today. Light winds out of the east (5-10 MPH)
are anticipated. RH values bottom out in the upper 20 percent range,
but are expected to remain above critical thresholds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  42  22  15  22  17  13  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............62  65  68  69  71  72  72  73
RH..............46  40  34  35  32  31  30  29
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  12  12  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.7 4.4 4.8 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  9   8   7   7   8
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
CWR.................7 percent increasing to 12 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  22  34  55  51  69  64  77  77  73  81  76
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............71  71  67  62  60  59  58  57  57  55  54  54
RH..............31  32  37  44  49  53  55  57  59  64  69  74
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   7   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  12  13  14  14  15  15  16
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 2.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   7   9   10  10  10  12  13  13  12  13
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day. Rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................11 percent increasing to 72 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 10 to 18 mph increasing to 20
                    to 22 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 23 mph increasing to 24 to 28
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  74  73  86  84  89  89  89  89  90  90  91
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
Temp............53  52  54  55  58  59  60  60  61  61  62  62
RH..............77  83  83  83  75  75  76  78  76  77  75  74
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  12  15  16  17  17  17  18  20  21  22  22
20 FT wind gust.15  18  22  24  25  26  28  28  29  31  32  32
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.14  16  18  21  22  23  23  24  25  28  28  26
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Pesel
Requested by...Deon Steinle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412263.0/EAX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL deon_steinle@fws.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
