Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
203
FNUS54 KEPZ 041248
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
648 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Near-critical to critical fire conditions expected today through
most of next week as our warm, dry pattern shows little signs of
change. Fire conditions will become critical Sunday across southern
New Mexico zones as winds pick up. Very similar winds each afternoon
Monday through Wednesday (though more evenly distributed over all
zones). Hence Fire Watch has been issued all zones Monday, and may
be needed for Tuesday and Wednesday also.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-041830-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
648 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....67-72.
* Below 7500 ft....75-80.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 10 mph
increasing to southwest around 20 mph in the
afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......10600 ft AGL increasing to 13700 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (243500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....39-43.
* Below 7500 ft....42-47.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....77-82.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 35 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (284600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
West winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ111-041830-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
648 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....81-85.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (251600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....49-53.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....84-88.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds around 15 mph
increasing to around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (275200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 80s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ112-041830-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
648 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....82-86.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........5-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds around 10 mph increasing
to southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL increasing to 14400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (295800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....50-55.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (275100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ113-041830-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
648 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....67-72.
* Below 7500 ft....71-76.
* 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....14-19 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. East winds around 15 mph shifting to
the southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8800 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (237000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....38-43.
* Below 7500 ft....45-50.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
* 24 hr trend......42 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....69-74.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....8-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 15 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (220300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
West winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ055-041830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
648 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....84-88.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........6-11 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 12800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (205100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-59.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........54-59 percent.
* 24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....86-90.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (195000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Patchy blowing dust in the afternoon. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
West winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. West winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ056-041830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
648 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 13700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (186500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....53-57.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........78-83 percent.
* 24 hr trend......51 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....84-89.
* Min humidity........6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (166300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. West
winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
West winds around 15 mph.
$$
Hefner