373
FXUS65 KFGZ 290521
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1021 PM MST Sun Apr 28 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Warm and dry conditions are expected through the week
with breezy afternoon winds. Low pressure passes to the north of
the area on Thursday, causing temperatures to cool slighty, but
they rebound nicely heading into the weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...Clearing skies this evening and overnight will be
mostly sunny Monday with temperatures near to just above normal
for springtime. Light westerly winds will become a bit breezy by
late morning, continuing through the afternoon. No updates needed
to the forecast at this time. The only necessity is to enjoy the
pristine weather this week.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /426 PM MST/...The trough continues to push off
to the east, leaving us with much drier and warming conditions.
As we go through the week, we will see a much more zonal flow
across the region. This will allow for temperatures to warm each
day, becoming around 5-10 degrees above the seasonal averages by
midweek. Nighttime temps will be on the cool side though as we
should have mostly clear skies. Winds will kick up each afternoon
with gusts between 20-30 mph across the forecast area. Winds will
become light and variable overnight. The light winds and clear
skies combined with the dry conditions will allow for good
radiational cooling to take place.

The only exception is a trough that dips down from the north on
Thursday. This trough remains mostly off to the north of the region
and does not have a ton of moisture associated with it. So aside
from an increase in some cloud cover and slightly cooler
temperatures, we won`t really even notice its passage.

Overall, looks to be a fairly quiet weather week for the region.

&&

.AVIATION...Monday 29/06Z through Tuesday 30/06Z...VFR continues
with light winds overnight. SW winds 10-20 kts after 17Z/Mon.

OUTLOOK...Tuesday 30/06Z through Thursday 02/06Z...VFR conditions
with SW winds 10-20 kts on Tuesday, increasing to 15-25 kts on
Wednesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Monday and Tuesday...Dry and mild with breezy
southwest winds 10 to 20 mph each afternoon. Afternoon RH values
between 10-25% with solid overnight recoveries.

Wednesday through Friday...Dry and warm conditions continue.
Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph on Wednesday with gusts to 40 mph.
Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph on Thursday with gusts to 30 mph.
Lighter southwest winds are forecast on Friday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Mazon/Meola
AVIATION...Meola
FIRE WEATHER...Meola

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff