Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 261913
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
313 PM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances increase late tonight ahead of our next cold front,
continuing into Thursday. Heavy rain may lead to possible flash
flooding. Dry high pressure will build in behind the cold front
into Friday with a warming trend through the weekend and into
early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-271115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
313 PM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 90 90
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 2
Min/Max Temp 51 72 52 66
Max/Min RH (%) 99 73 100 67
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 N 11 G24
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 5 SE 8 SE 6 N 18 G30
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 1.29 1.44
Precip Duration 2 12 9
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 64/1000 1800 59/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 2
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 2900
Transport Wind (mph) S 20 N 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44000 72500
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 30 Fair 21 Fair 36 Fair
ADI Late 11 Poor 37 Fair 13 Gen Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 6 5
Max LVORI Late 7 4 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability D D D D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-271115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
313 PM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 70 90 90
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 2
Min/Max Temp 53 71 52 63
Max/Min RH (%) 97 78 100 61
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 SE 7 G17 E 6 N 13 G26
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 S 9 G18 N 8 G17 N 17 G29
Precip Amount 0.00 0.38 1.29 0.87
Precip Duration 5 12 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 63/1000 1900 55/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2100 3700
Transport Wind (mph) S 21 N 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44100 96200
ADI Early 32 Fair 31 Fair 22 Fair 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 12 Poor 38 Fair 14 Gen Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 7 5
Max LVORI Late 6 4 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability D D D D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-271115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
313 PM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 60 90 90
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3 2
Min/Max Temp 56 73 53 64
Max/Min RH (%) 99 83 100 63
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 6 SE 7 S 5 N 11 G26
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 S 9 G17 N 6 N 17 G29
Precip Amount 0.00 0.20 1.14 0.62
Precip Duration 6 12 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 65/1000 1900 57/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 4100
Transport Wind (mph) S 21 N 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 102500
ADI Early 26 Fair 29 Fair 21 Fair 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 12 Poor 37 Fair 15 Gen Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 8 5
Max LVORI Late 6 4 8 4
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability D D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-271115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
313 PM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 80 90 90
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 2
Min/Max Temp 55 73 52 63
Max/Min RH (%) 99 81 100 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 7 SE 7 NE 5 N 12 G26
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 S 8 N 7 N 16 G26
Precip Amount 0.03 0.43 1.21 0.49
Precip Duration 1 8 12 7
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 65/1100 1900 None
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 18 N 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39600 125000
ADI Early 38 Fair 27 Fair 18 Gen Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 14 Gen Poor 35 Fair 19 Gen Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 8 5
Max LVORI Late 6 4 8 4
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 4 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability D D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW