Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 261913
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
313 PM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances increase late tonight ahead of our next cold front,
continuing into Thursday. Heavy rain may lead to possible flash
flooding. Dry high pressure will build in behind the cold front
into Friday with a warming trend through the weekend and into
early next week.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-271115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
313 PM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            50           90           90
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          51           72           52           66
Max/Min RH (%)        99           73           100          67
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SE  5        SE  6        SE  6        N 11 G24
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   E  5         SE  8        SE  6        N 18 G30
Precip Amount         0.00         0.14         1.29         1.44
Precip Duration                    2            12           9
Precip Begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         64/1000      1800         59/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
DSI                                1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2200                      2900
Transport Wind (mph)               S 20                      N 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 44000                     72500
ADI Early             19 Gen Poor  30 Fair      21 Fair      36 Fair
ADI Late              11 Poor      37 Fair      13 Gen Poor  59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       5            7            6            5
Max LVORI Late        7            4            6            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            4 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            6 Rain       4 Rain
Turner Stability      D            D            D            D

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-271115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
313 PM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            70           90           90
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          53           71           52           63
Max/Min RH (%)        97           78           100          61
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SE  5        SE  7 G17    E  6         N 13 G26
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SE  6        S  9 G18     N  8 G17     N 17 G29
Precip Amount         0.00         0.38         1.29         0.87
Precip Duration                    5            12           7
Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         63/1000      1900         55/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
DSI                                1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2100                      3700
Transport Wind (mph)               S 21                      N 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 44100                     96200
ADI Early             32 Fair      31 Fair      22 Fair      52 Gen Good
ADI Late              12 Poor      38 Fair      14 Gen Poor  66 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            6            7            5
Max LVORI Late        6            4            7            4
Min VSBY Early        7            6 Rain       4 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            4 Rain       4 Rain
Turner Stability      D            D            D            D

Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-271115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
313 PM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            60           90           90
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            2
Min/Max Temp          56           73           53           64
Max/Min RH (%)        99           83           100          63
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SE  6        SE  7        S  5         N 11 G26
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SE  6        S  9 G17     N  6         N 17 G29
Precip Amount         0.00         0.20         1.14         0.62
Precip Duration                    6            12           7
Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         65/1000      1900         57/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
DSI                                1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2000                      4100
Transport Wind (mph)               S 21                      N 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 42000                     102500
ADI Early             26 Fair      29 Fair      21 Fair      51 Gen Good
ADI Late              12 Poor      37 Fair      15 Gen Poor  69 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            6            8            5
Max LVORI Late        6            4            8            4
Min VSBY Early        7            6 Rain       4 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            4 Rain       4 Rain
Turner Stability      D            D            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-271115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
313 PM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           80           90           90
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          55           73           52           63
Max/Min RH (%)        99           81           100          54
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SE  7        SE  7        NE  5        N 12 G26
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   SE  6        S  8         N  7         N 16 G26
Precip Amount         0.03         0.43         1.21         0.49
Precip Duration       1            8            12           7
Precip Begin          1 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         65/1100      1900         None
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
DSI                                1                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    2200                      5000
Transport Wind (mph)               S 18                      N 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 39600                     125000
ADI Early             38 Fair      27 Fair      18 Gen Poor  52 Gen Good
ADI Late              14 Gen Poor  35 Fair      19 Gen Poor  72 Good
Max LVORI Early       4            6            8            5
Max LVORI Late        6            4            8            4
Min VSBY Early        7            5 Rain       4 Rain
Min VSBY Late         6 Rain       4 Rain       4 Rain
Turner Stability      D            D            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...LEW


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