Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
523
FNUS52 KILM 031242
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
842 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move offshore this weekend with humid air
feeding onshore on southerly winds. A series of fronts will bring
increased potential for showers or storms Saturday through Monday,
followed by drier weather next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-040445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
842 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 86 62 82
Min/Max RH (%) 47 99 55
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 2000 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4700
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58000 61100
ADI Early 28 Fair 36 Fair 37 Fair
ADI Late 44 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 7
Max LVORI Late 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 6 Fog 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Fog 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-040445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
842 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 89 63 82
Min/Max RH (%) 39 100 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 2000 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7200 4600
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 59800
ADI Early 28 Fair 43 Gen Good 40 Fair
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 7 Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 6 Fog 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Fog 6 Rain
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-040445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
842 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 85 63 82
Min/Max RH (%) 49 99 58
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 2000 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 4400
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 57200
ADI Early 27 Fair 40 Fair 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 7
Max LVORI Late 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 6 Fog 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Fog 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-040445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
842 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 50
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 89 63 82
Min/Max RH (%) 40 100 58
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 2000 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7100 4100
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56800 53300
ADI Early 27 Fair 41 Gen Good 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 49 Gen Good 7 Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 4 Fog 6 Rain
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO