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000
FNUS72 KMLB 171154
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Blue Spring State Park_BSP-01 and BSP-02...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
754 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure over Florida starts to shift south today, but dry
conditions continue into at least the weekend. Southeasterly winds
around 5 mph increase to around 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
possible in the afternoon, which combined with Min RH values 35-40
pct will result in sensitive fire weather conditions. Winds settle
down to around 5 mph late in the evening and overnight while
veering to southerly, but could become light and variable at
times. Light south to southeasterly winds Thursday, with Min RHs
35-40 pct again. Afternoon smoke dispersion will be Very Good
today, and Fair Thursday.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400-1400 ft AGL increasing to 4200-4700 ft AGL
late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 54.
LVORI...............Decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  33  30  30  28  26  21  14  12  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............63  69  74  78  81  84  85  86  87  86
RH..............100 87  74  60  54  49  45  42  39  40
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   8   9   10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.                    14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.4 2.3 3.1 3.5 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   8   10  12  12  12  10  10  9   9
Dispersion idx..4   15  31  45  50  55  55  56  53  51
LVORI...........9   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    south around 5 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............Increasing to 7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........15     27     25     38     59     60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............84     76     70     67     66     64
RH..............43     60     76     87     90     93
20 ft wind......SE 10  E 9    SE 8   S 6    S 6    S 6
20 ft wind gust.14
Mix hgt (ft)....4000   500    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SE 10  E 12   SE 12  SE 10  S 9    S 8
Dispersion idx..47     8      7      5      6      5
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      5      6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-1100 ft AGL increasing to 4600-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 38.
LVORI...............Decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........60        45        29        24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............63        69        83        88
RH..............97        81        51        40
20 FT wind......SE 3      SE 5      S 6       SE 6
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1100      3100      4600
Transport wind..S 6       S 5       S 6       SE 7
Dispersion idx..3         7         23        39
LVORI...........8         4         2         1

$$
Forecaster...Haley
Requested by...Dustin Allen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411198.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Dustin.L.Allen@FloridaDEP.gov