Text Products for FWS Issued by MPX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
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FNUS73 KMPX 241324
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Ney WMA...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
824 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For Ney WMA, skies will be mostly sunny today
with a few high clouds moving through from west to east midday.
This will allow highs today to be near 60. Dry conditions are
expected, with relative humidity values forecasted to be in the
low 60s this morning before dropping into the low 30s by the
afternoon. Winds will generally be light and southeasterly at
5-10 MPH.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........40 at ignition...Max 61.
RH..................64 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 6 to 7
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /12700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /39300 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 10 mph decreasing to 7 to 8 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............40  43  47  50  54  57  59  60  61  60  60  56
RH..............64  57  51  48  41  37  34  33  31  31  32  37
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   6   6   6   7   6   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  9   9   9   8   8   9   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.9 2.7 3.7 4.4 5.0 5.6 5.8 5.6 5.4 3.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   9   8
Haines index....3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Temperature.........Min 43.
RH..................Max 63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (38000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 9 to
                    15 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dye
Requested by...Jared Clausen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412250.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jared.Clausen@state.mn.us
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
