Text Products for FWS Issued by OKX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

000
FNUS71 KOKX 252116
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Sarnoff West Block F RX...NYS-DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
516 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

631-924-0383

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure builds in through today and remains over the area
through Saturday. For Friday, Light N-NE winds 5 mph or less to
begin the day will shift likely shift to the E around 5 mph mid
to late morning and then SE early afternoon and S middle to late
afternoon around 10 mph. S winds lighten in the evening and become
nearly calm at night.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........44 at ignition...Max 57.
RH..................65 percent at ignition...Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 2 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph early in the afternoon shifting to
                    the south late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the south 7 to
                    8 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /1000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /40300 knot-ft/.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   2   2   2   2   3   5   3   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............44  48  50  52  54  55  56  56  55  53
RH..............65  54  50  44  41  38  37  37  40  43
20 FT wind dir..010 030 050 060 090 130 150 160 180 190
20 FT wind spd..2   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.4   5   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.8 3.8 5.5 6.2 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.0 5.2
Transp wind dir.010 030 050 060 090 130 150 160 180 190
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   8   18  27  33  37  38  40  40  36
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  PR

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Patchy frost overnight.
                    Areas of frost overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 29.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 9 mph shifting to the north around 0
                    mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (26800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   7   5   6   5   4   3   3   2   2   3   5
Weather cov.....                        PTY ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....                        FST FST FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............51  48  44  42  40  39  38  36  35  32  29  29
RH..............48  56  68  73  82  82  85  89  96  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 000 000
20 FT wind spd..6   5   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   0   0
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   5   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 000 000
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   8   6   5   3   2   2   1   0   0
Vrate kt-ft/1K..27  13  2   0   0   1   1   1   1   0   0   0
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of frost
                    early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 58.
RH..................Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph with
                    gusts to around 17 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 1 to 10 mph increasing to 13 to 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (74500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   14  19  22  26  30  35  41  46  50  54  58
Weather cov.....ARS ARS
Weather type....FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............29  36  44  49  52  55  56  57  57  56  55  54
RH..............100 100 79  68  54  49  45  43  45  45  47  48
20 FT wind dir..190 210 220 220 200 190 200 200 200 200 210 210
20 FT wind spd..1   2   3   4   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   8
20 FT wind gust.2   4   5   6   6       7   14  16  16  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.3 1.6 3.2 4.6 5.0 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.2 3.6
Transp wind dir.190 210 220 220 210 200 200 210 210 210 220 220
Transp wind spd.1   5   7   8   9   10  13  15  17  20  21  21
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0   0   2   11  25  41  54  64  69  75  74  64
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...DS
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412499.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
