Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Upton, NY
000
FNUS71 KOKX 150932
FWSOKX
Spot Forecast for Line Road West RX...NYS-DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
532 AM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
631-924-0383
.DISCUSSION...
Expect gusty west winds to develop today with a drier airmass
and afternoon minimum RH values of 30 to 40 percent. Lighter
winds will be on tap Tuesday along with slightly drier air.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of rain
showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 72.
RH..................67 percent at ignition...Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 4 mph at ignition...otherwise
Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph with gusts
to around 21 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 15 mph increasing to 29 to 32 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /5800 knot-ft/ at ignition.
Max...excellent /80700 knot-ft/ increasing to
excellent (132500 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16 13 10 16 22 28 31 34 37
Weather cov..... SCH
Weather type.... RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............60 63 66 68 70 71 72 71 70
RH..............67 60 52 49 45 42 39 39 41
20 FT wind dir..250 270 290 280 280 280 280 280 280
20 FT wind spd..4 4 5 6 7 8 8 7 7
20 FT wind gust.6 8 10 13 17 19 20 20 21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.4 2.3 3.8 5.4 6.5 6.8 6.5 5.5
Transp wind dir.250 270 280 280 280 280 280 280 280
Transp wind spd.10 15 20 24 29 31 32 31 29
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 17 40 81 133 174 189 174 136
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR GD VGD EXL EXL EXL VGD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
clear (0-10 percent). Slight chance of rain
showers early in the evening.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent early in
the evening.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph with gusts to around
18 mph early in the evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 23 mph decreasing to 8 to 12
mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (76100 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
night.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41 46 50 43 35 28 26 24 21 15 9 3
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............66 63 59 56 54 52 51 50 50 47 46 45
RH..............47 54 64 72 74 80 77 77 74 76 76 79
20 FT wind dir..280 300 310 320 340 350 340 330 330 330 320 310
20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4
20 FT wind gust.18 14 10 10 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3
Transp wind dir.290 300 310 320 340 350 340 330 330 330 320 310
Transp wind spd.23 16 12 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..76 26 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 1 1 2
Ventrate Cat....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...DW
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410746.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov