Text Products for FWS Issued by PHI

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
000
FNUS71 KPHI 201841
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Long Pond Barrens -...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
241 PM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
No precipitation is expected Monday into Tuesday. On Monday, dry
northwesterly flow will result in minimum relative humidity values
near 30 percent. Poor mixing conditions and light and variable
winds are expected Monday night. By Tuesday, winds will be out of
the South, with minimum RH values near 40 percent.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (53500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (89400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................76 to 115.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............39  42  44  45  47  49  50  51  51
RH..............59  53  47  43  38  36  34  33  34
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  17  17  17  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 3.6 4.2 4.6 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.8 6.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.20  20  18  18  18  18  18  17  17
ADI.............76  84  91  98  105 112 113 114 115
Vrate kt-ft/1K..54  60  67  73  79  85  87  88  89
Ventrate Cat....FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind shift..........Starting NW, with direction becoming variable by
                    late evening
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 14 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 8 mph late in the evening, then shifting
                    to the south 8 to 9 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (50700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................70 early in the evening decreasing to 0 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   3   3   2   2   3   3   4   5   6   7   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  47  45  43  41  40  39  38  37  36  36  36
RH..............39  43  49  51  55  55  57  59  61  64  64  64
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   6   5   5   5   3   3   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.13  10  8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 2.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  12  8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9
ADI.............70  5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   1   0
Vrate kt-ft/1K..51  22  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0900.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind shift..........Direction may start vairable, but settle out
                    of the South by mid morning
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph mid morning.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL early in the morning.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 13 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5700 knot-ft) early in the morning.
ADI.................0 early in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  13  20  26  33  39  43  47  51  53  56  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Temp............37  39  39  43  46  50  52  54  56  57  57  58
RH..............64  64  64  57  55  50  48  45  43  42  43  42
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   7   9   12  13  14  14  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.7   8   10  13  15  18  21  22  23  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.9 1.2 M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.............0   0   0   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   9   13  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...Johnson
Requested by...Pat McElhenny
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411514.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pmcelhenny@tnc.org
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
