Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KTWC 111137
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for COBRE MINE RX...USFS AZ-CNF
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
437 AM MST Thu Apr 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on April 11.

.DISCUSSION...

Warm and dry across Southeast Arizona with above normal
temperature readings today and tomorrow. Minimum relative humidity
under 10 percent for the lower valleys today into Friday. Gusty
to breezy winds return Friday into the weekend as a dry system
moves through the region to the north. Localized areas could see
brief critical to near critical fire weather conditions on Friday,
but fire danger and ERCs are still low for this time of year.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....75-78 degrees.
Min humidity........9-12 percent.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 7
                    to 12 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 9 knots shifting to the south
                    around 11 knots in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....51-54 degrees.
Max humidity........22-25 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 9 knots.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....74-77 degrees.
Min humidity........11-14 percent.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 24 knots.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...SINGER
Requested by...BRIANNA PARISE
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410340.0/TWC
.DELDT 04/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aztdc@firenet.gov

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