Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44
000
FXUS63 KICT 180507
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1107 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 256 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

Powerful shortwave is currently lifting across the Appalachians
with northwest flow aloft in place across the Plains. At the
surface, high pressure is centered over the Southern Mississippi
Valley with lee troughing in place over eastern CO/eastern NM.

Area will stay between a compact impulse over southern Canada and
another wave diving south into northern Mex. Not much is expected
to change for Thu as surface high remains over southern
Mississippi Valley with warming southwest surface flow over the
southern/central Plains. On Fri, upper flow will transition from
northwest to westerly as our next shortwave approaches the
southern CA coast. This setup will continue to promote a warming
trend through Fri with highs in the 50s likely.

For Sat, shortwave will track into the desert southwest allowing
return flow to further increase across the Plains as low pressure
continues to deepen over eastern CO. This will keep the warming
trend going and also start to increase low level moisture,
especially across the southern Plains.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 256 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

Both 12z runs of the ECMWF and GFS remain fairly consistent with
the track of our system to affect the Plains this weekend. They
track it across the desert southwest Sat night, out into the high
Plains by Sun morning, and across central/northern KS Sun into Sun
evening. This would again place the best chance for accumulating
winter precip for area generally along and north of I-70 and
into eastern Nebraska. Still doesn`t look like a significant cool
down behind this wave with 40s possible Mon for the areas not
covered in snow.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1107 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

Little change to the previous forecast with VFR conditions
expected to prevail thru Thursday evening. Light to moderate
south to southwest winds expected with generally clear skies.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    15  46  23  54 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      14  48  24  55 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          13  45  24  52 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        15  44  25  52 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   16  47  24  54 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         14  53  24  59 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      15  54  24  60 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          14  46  25  55 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       12  47  23  54 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     15  44  24  51 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         13  41  24  51 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            13  40  23  50 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    14  42  24  51 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RBL
LONG TERM...RBL
AVIATION...KED



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.