Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 271904
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
204 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 27/18Z TAFS...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS TO START THIS TAF
CYCLE EXCEPT AT MLU WHERE SOME INTERMITTENT MVFR CIGS LINGER.
THESE SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIFT AND SCATTER INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH
ADDITIONAL HEATING/MIXING. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LESS
CONCENTRATED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SO HAVE HANDLED ALL SITES
WITH VCTS FOR NOW...WITH POSSIBLE AMENDMENTS WARRANTED LATER FOR
TSRA. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TO CONTINUE...WITH A PREDOMINANTLY
SOUTHERLY COMPONENT DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. EXPECT SOME LOW CIGS
AND FOG TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT WITH ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
A SFC INVERSION IN PLACE THROUGH LATE MORNING. /19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1127 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
CURRENT MODELS INDICATE WEAK RIDGING FOLLOWING LAST NIGHTS SHORT
WAVE. HOWEVER...WITH NEW CONVECTION INITIATING IN NORTHERN AND
SOUTHERN AREAS ATTM...WILL ALLOW THE HIGH CHANCE POPS TO REMAIN
IN THE FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON. TODAYS HIGHS IN THE 80S ALSO
LOOK GOOD...WITH CIRRUS THINNING RAPIDLY. NO CHANGES AT THIS TIME.
/14/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 757 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  86  71  85 /  40  40  20  50
MLU  70  85  70  86 /  30  40  20  40
DEQ  69  82  69  82 /  30  40  40  50
TXK  70  84  70  84 /  30  40  30  50
ELD  69  85  69  85 /  30  40  20  50
TYR  71  86  72  83 /  40  40  30  50
GGG  71  86  71  84 /  40  40  30  50
LFK  72  88  72  86 /  40  40  20  50

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19



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