Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 281146
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
546 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017


.AVIATION...
South winds 5 knots this morning to increase to 10 to 15 knots
with higher gusts this afternoon. MVFR ceilings to persist
throughout much of the day before becoming low VFR around 28/21Z.
Ceilings to again fall to MVFR shortly after sunset with gusts
diminishing from 01/00Z to 01/06Z. Gusts to return after 01/06Z
with VCTS conditions possible across TYR/TXK/ELD ahead of an
approaching cold front. /05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 511 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Warm and breezy this morning with lower 60s North and lower 70s
South and generally mid 60s along I-20. Skies are cloudy with dew
points running a degree or two back making for some Gulf humidity
far inland. Radar trends have been meager area wide with most of
the overnight activity over deep East TX, Toledo Bend country up
into Northeast LA and remains such this early morning.

The SPC continues a slight risk for our extreme North from
Clarksville TX, to Texarkana and Magnolia and near El Dorado for
the afternoon. An Enhanced risk just grazes our Northern most
counties and not even fully. They believe isolated super cells may
develop out well ahead of the cold front this afternoon so we will
watch for that possibility.

Meanwhile. the cold front is due to arrive and shift the winds by
this time tomorrow. For today a lake wind advisory has been
issued for most of our area for the afternoon hours with some
higher gusts that will drop out after sunset, but overnight
sustained SW flow will remain around 10 to 15 MPH and then be
shifting early with still somewhat of a warm day for even early
March.

A 1032 MB high settles in for some chilly mornings and cool
afternoons to wrap the work week. The weather pattern settles a
good bit under a more zonal flow aloft and a slow general warming
trend with some more showers perhaps this weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  85  65  71  42 /  30  50  20   0
MLU  84  68  76  43 /  30  40  60   0
DEQ  80  54  65  33 /  40  60  10   0
TXK  81  59  66  39 /  40  60  20   0
ELD  82  63  70  38 /  40  50  40   0
TYR  82  59  67  40 /  40  50  10   0
GGG  84  61  69  41 /  40  50  20   0
LFK  86  66  75  42 /  20  40  40   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Lake Wind Advisory from noon today to 6 PM CST this evening for
     ARZ070.

LA...Lake Wind Advisory from noon today to 6 PM CST this evening for
     LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

OK...None.
TX...Lake Wind Advisory from noon today to 6 PM CST this evening for
     TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167.

&&

$$

05


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