Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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000
FNAK51 PAFC 291459
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
659 AM AKDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR THE SUSITNA VALLEY...

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND RH VALUES IN
THE LOWER 20S WILL EXCEED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS TODAY.

THE UPPER RIDGE OVER WESTERN ALASKA CONTINUES TO RETREAT NORTH. THIS WILL
ALLOW AN UPPER TROUGH OVER CANADA TO SPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WEST ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THIS AFTERNOON. THE FAVORED AREAS FOR THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY WILL BE ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND ALONG THE TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DRIFT OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND MATANUSKA VALLEY
THIS EVENING. UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ON MONDAY WITH FAVORED
AREAS FOR LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE TALKEETNA
MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY THE KENAI MOUNTAINS.

THE SHIFT TO MORE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING GENERALLY MORE
CLOUD COVER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS MANY AREAS ON MONDAY.

AKZ101-300600-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
659 AM AKDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      20           20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   60-67 (+3)   44 (-2)      53-60
RH % (24H TREND)   32-45 (-3)   82 (+3)      37-48
20FTWND(MPH)       E 3-19       SE 5-17      SE 8-21
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   73 (-2)      48 (-1)      67
RH % (24H TREND)   31-38 (+5)   74 (-4)      31-38
20FTWND(MPH)       E 2-12       E 1-12       SE 3-17
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-300600-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
659 AM AKDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP      20           30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   58-67 (0)    45 (-1)      53-61
RH % (24H TREND)   29-39 (-2)   67-79 (+3)   31-40
20FTWND(MPH)       E 3-7        E 3-8        SE 4-9
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            2            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      20           20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   75 (-2)      48 (-2)      69
RH % (24H TREND)   30 (+1)      65-72 (-4)   32
20FTWND(MPH)       E 2-9        E 1-9        SE 3-10
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            2            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-300600-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
659 AM AKDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP      20           30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   62-69 (-2)   45 (-1)      56-64
RH % (24H TREND)   36-45 (+7)   77-84 (+8)   36-50
20FTWND(MPH)       E 3-7        SE 6-12      SE 5-11
CWR                0            10           0
LAL                1            1            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   59-68 (+1)   48 (-2)      54-63
RH % (24H TREND)   41-53 (+1)   87 (+12)     50-66
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 3-7       S 4-11       SE 3-8
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-300600-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
659 AM AKDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP      20           20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   57-64 (-1)   44 (-2)      47-56
RH % (24H TREND)   36-56 (+3)   81-92 (+10)  38-56
20FTWND(MPH)       E 4-9        E 5-10       E 8-12
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            2

REMARKS...ISOLATED WET THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            20           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   55-61 (0)    49 (-2)      47-54
RH % (24H TREND)   49-61 (-1)   83-93 (+11)  50-62
20FTWND(MPH)       E 1-5        E 2-6        E 4-8
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-300600-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
659 AM AKDT SUN MAY 29 2016

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      40           30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   60-67 (-2)   39-46 (-4)   57-63
RH % (24H TREND)   26-34 (+4)   59-69 (+5)   24-31
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 5-12      E 4-12       SE 2-7
CWR                20           20            0
LAL                2            2            1

REMARKS...ISOLATED WET THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-300600-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
659 AM AKDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP      20           30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   60-69 (-1)   43 (-2)      56-62
RH % (24H TREND)   25-32 (-4)   62-69 (-3)   29-39
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 8-20      NE 8-18      SE 4-8
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                2            2            2

REMARKS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      0            30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   76 (-1)      46 (-2)      69
RH % (24H TREND)   22-28 (+1)   67-77 (+2)   33
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 10-20      E 5-17       S 3-7
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            2            1

REMARKS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ171-300600-
KODIAK ISLAND-
INCLUDING...KODIAK CITY
659 AM AKDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP      30           30           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   53-60 (+1)   46 (-2)      46-55
RH % (24H TREND)   52-69 (-1)   87-97 (+4)   58-81
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 3-6       E 2-6        SE 8-13
CWR                0            10           20
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      30           30           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   53-59 (+1)   46 (-2)      53
RH % (24H TREND)   55-70 (+1)   93 (+3)      61-76
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 4-11      SE 4-11      E 8-15
CWR                0            10           20
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$



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