Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 240839
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
439 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

...Clearing skies today then rain-free through Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure and drier air will gradually build
into the region and bring a gradual clearing trend to northern
lower Michigan as we go through the day. Gustier northeast winds
will persist for a good part of the day...with diminishing winds
heading into tonight. Clear skies and cool temperatures for
tonight with excellent RH recovery.

Warmer temperatures will return for Tuesday through midweek. But
lighter winds and humidity values will remain safely away from
critical fire weather thresholds. Showers and thunderstorms
return for Wednesday.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-242100-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
439 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 0800.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier...except 32 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (940).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the west around
                    3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (370).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-242100-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
439 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 0800, then slight chance of rain
                    showers until 1100.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1300).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 58-63 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (280).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-242100-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
439 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0700.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (940).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0400.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 0700.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (390).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-242100-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
439 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0700.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (890).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0400.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 0700.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-242100-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
439 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0700. Chance of rain showers until 0800.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1180).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0400.
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 0700.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (310).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$





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