Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 020747
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
347 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...VERY WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT...LIKELY TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. COOLER CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED
THROUGH MID WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-022130-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
347 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL
                    NOON...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 7 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7740-8240 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2590).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 9 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8270-8770 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1480).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-022130-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
347 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL
                    NOON...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 3 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7790-8290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (3060).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 9 AM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-022130-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
347 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM UNTIL
                    7 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5950-6450 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 35
                    MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2260).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......780-980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 9 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8120-8620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1690).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

$$

SF



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