Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 021951
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
347 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE HAS BEGUN TO BUILD INTO THE REGION AND
WILL LINGER THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL
WARM UP INTO THE MID 60S TUESDAY WITH DRIER AIR DROPPING AFTERNOON RH
VALUES TO AROUND 40 PERCENT. A COLD FRONT WILL THE DROP THROUGH THE
REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-031400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
347 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    AND PATCHY FOG AFTER 1 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......NO CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST UP TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 6 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9380-9880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1770).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2 AM. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7-10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......220-420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3490-3990 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO NORTH AROUND
                    30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1180).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-031400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
347 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    AND PATCHY FOG AFTER 1 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 7 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8810-9310 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1410).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4-8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5720-6220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 25
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1740).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-031400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
347 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AND
                    FROST AFTER 1 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......NO CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20-30 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9160-9660 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1150).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL
                    1 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25-30 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6180-6680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1930).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

$$

HLO



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