Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 230752
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
352 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE DRY WEATHER AND LIGHT WINDS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. VERY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 80S IN THE
THUMB TO THE MID 90S WELL INLAND. HUMIDITY WILL BE LOWER TODAY
HOWEVER...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE 30S.
SLIGHTLY LOWER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AS CLOUDS AND
HUMIDITY INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. A
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE EARLY IN THE DAY, WITH
ANOTHER ROUND POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY BUT
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL DESPITE A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY NIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-232115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
352 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8730-9230 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (870).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 4 AM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8340-8840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1560).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-232115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
352 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7660-8160 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (850).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 7 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7560-8060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1440).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-232115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
352 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9040-9540 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (940).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 7 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8170-8670 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1480).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.

$$

RBP


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