Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 181909
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
309 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather will continue this afternoon with surface high pressure
in control. Dry conditions will persist into the beginning of the
weekend. Minimum RH values around 35 percent this afternoon will
increase slightly into the lower 40 percent range tomorrow. Gusty
southwest winds will continue with wind speeds of 20 to 30 mph.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-182115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
309 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........40 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3010-3510 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......120-320 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3920-4420 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming west
                    around 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (900).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........72-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-182115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
309 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2680-3180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3450-3950 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (870).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........69-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest
                    around 5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-182115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
309 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3020-3520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......160-360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3760-4260 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming west
                    around 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (700).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs around 70. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s.

$$

JVC



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