Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 191936
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
336 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

...Rain Saturday night into Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...Mild and dry weather will continue into the weekend.
Temperatures will be about 15 degrees above normal with highs mainly
70 to 75 Friday and Saturday. A chance of rain will start over the
West Central portion of the state Saturday night.

The rain is expected to spread across the rest of the state on
Sunday.  More rain will be possible again Monday night into Tuesday.
Temperatures are expected to remain warm through Monday, then we
should cool to highs in the 50s for Tuesday through Thursday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-200815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
336 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3100-3600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-200815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
336 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy frost
                    after 0500.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-200815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
336 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-200815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
336 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-200815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
336 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers until midday, then
showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds
8 to 13 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then a
chance of showers overnight. Lows around 50. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s. Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 50.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

$$



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