Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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845
FNUS53 KGRR 300702
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
302 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...RAIN THUNDERSTORMS AND WINDY INTO MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
PERIODS OF RAIN WITH Embedded THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THEN
A STRONG COLD FRONT COMES THROUGH DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS OF
MONDAY BRINGING IN STRONGER WINDS WITH PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS INTO
TUESDAY.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 INCHES OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO BE
COMMON PLACE BY MONDAY MORNING.



MIZ037>039-043>045-302030-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
302 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........76-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......41 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around 31
                    mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 30 mph decreasing to around 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.75-1.14 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 11 to 16 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.97-1.19 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1400, then rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around
                    29 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    3100-3600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) increasing to 1200 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.14 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-302030-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
302 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 43.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......47 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 29
                    mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.77-1.00 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.97-1.16 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1400, then rain
                    showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) increasing to 1200 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........around 0.13 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-302030-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
302 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Thunderstorms likely
                    until 1400. rain showers. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 13 to 18 mph. Gusts up to 29 mph
                    until midday.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 25 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.81-1.24 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Thunderstorms likely
                    until 2300. rain showers. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2300.
Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair) increasing to 700 (excellent)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........0.66-1.10 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to
                    around 32 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    5100-5600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph increasing to around 30
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1600-1800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.13 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-302030-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
302 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 29
                    mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 30 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.54-1.16 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers with
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.59-1.04 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1400. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 31 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2100-2200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.15 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-302030-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
302 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Thunderstorms until
                    1400. rain showers. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........75-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.28-1.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Thunderstorms likely
                    until 2300. rain showers. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2300.
Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
                    mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph increasing to south
                    around 20 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.41-0.86 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1700. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 18 to 23 mph with gusts to
                    around 33 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6700-7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2300-2600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 40s.
West winds 13 to 18 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds 6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds
5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 60. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.



$$



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