Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 310826
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
426 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL STALL NEAR THE COAST THROUGH TONIGHT AND
THEN SLOWLY DISSIPATE EARLY NEXT WEEK. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK
WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE EXPECTED TODAY. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS UNFAVORABLE
AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST...TYPE 1-F...MAXIMUM WIND NEAR 1400 FT AGL...
DIRECTION SW...SPEED 18 MPH.
OTHERWISE...WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS
FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

NCZ105>110-010030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
426 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           60           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          92           72           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  3        SW  6        W  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  5        SW  5        S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.21         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2
INVERSION             79/0900      2000         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        53           100          48
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4930                      5360
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW  2
VENTILATION RATE      64090                     10720
ADI EARLY             13 GEN POOR  37 FAIR      12 POOR
ADI LATE              45 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-010030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
426 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           50           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            3            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          93           72           94
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  5         SW  3        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  3         SW  3        SW  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.19         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            2
INVERSION             78/0900      2000         78/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        45           99           36
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6170                      7390
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     N  2
VENTILATION RATE      80210                     14780
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       39 FAIR      36 FAIR
ADI LATE              44 GEN GOOD  2 VERY POOR  37 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-010030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
426 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        70           70           60
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   4            4            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          93           73           92
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  3        SW  6        W  3
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S  5         SW  4        S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.23         0.11
PRECIP DURATION       6            6            2
INVERSION             79/0900      2000         80/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        51           99           48
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5390                      5340
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      E  2
VENTILATION RATE      70070                     10680
ADI EARLY             10 POOR      39 FAIR      9 POOR
ADI LATE              50 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            8            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-010030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
426 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        80           70           50
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   5            4            3
MAX/MIN TEMP          94           72           95
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  5         SW  4        LGT/VAR
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.20         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2
INVERSION             78/0900      2000         79/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        43           99           34
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6830                      7480
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      N  3
VENTILATION RATE      47810                     22440
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  40 FAIR      41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              40 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  47 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27


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