Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 220829
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
329 AM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Mild January weather will prevail through Tuesday, ahead of an
approaching cold front. Light coastal showers later today, will
be followed by more widespread shower coverage Tuesday, with a
slight chance of a thunderstorm. Cooler air will move in during
the mid-week period, as high pressure builds from the west. A
cold front will approach next weekend, bringing a warming trend,
and a chance of showers Saturday night and Sunday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...High

NCZ087-096-099-230030-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
329 AM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          68           56           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         SW 13 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S  9         SW 15 G22
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.07
Precip duration                    2            2
Inversion             55/1100      1800         62/0800
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        48           97           42
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3670                      5570
Transport wnd (mph)   S 17                      SW 38
Ventilation rate      62390                     211660
ADI early             9 poor       7 poor       59 Gen good
ADI late              43 Gen good  11 poor      126 Very good
Max LVORI early       8            6            5
Max LVORI late        2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ105>110-230030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
329 AM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           60
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          68           56           72
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  4         SW 13 G20
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S  8 G20     SW 14 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.10
Precip duration                    1            2
Inversion             58/1100      1800         62/0800
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        49           93           52
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3250                      5070
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     SW 26
Ventilation rate      32500                     131820
ADI early             7 poor       4 Very poor  28 Fair
ADI late              33 Fair      10 poor      83 Good
Max LVORI early       9            6            5
Max LVORI late        3            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-230030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
329 AM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          68           57           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         SW 13
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S 10         SW 14 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.05
Precip duration                    2            2
Inversion             56/1100      1800         62/0800
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        52           97           44
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   2770                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      W 31
Ventilation rate      27700                     158100
ADI early             5 Very poor  8 poor       43 Gen good
ADI late              25 Fair      11 poor      88 Good
Max LVORI early       9            7            5
Max LVORI late        4            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
329 AM EST Mon Jan 22 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           50
Precip type           None         Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          69           56           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      S  6         SW 13
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S 11         SW 15 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.09         0.04
Precip duration                    2            1
Inversion             55/1100      1800         61/0800
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        47           99           39
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3330                      5250
Transport wnd (mph)   S 15                      SW 37
Ventilation rate      49950                     194250
ADI early             9 poor       9 poor       57 Gen good
ADI late              40 Fair      11 poor      121 Very good
Max LVORI early       7            6            5
Max LVORI late        2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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