Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
000
FNUS52 KILM 240751
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
351 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Heavy rain in bouts of showers and thunderstorms, sometimes
numerous, will raise the risk for excessive rainfall and
possible flooding through mid week. A cold front will approach
from the north and should slip into the area later Tuesday night
and on Wednesday before stalling and then dissipating by
Thursday. The arrival of a stronger cold front this weekend
will bring numerous thunderstorms back into the eastern
Carolinas.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low.

NCZ105>110-250000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
351 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           50           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            3            4
Min/Max Temp          90           76           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW  8        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  9        SW  7        SW  7
Precip amount         0.07         0.14         0.46
Precip duration       2            2            5
Inversion             81/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        60           93           62
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3780                      4080
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 22                     SW 14
Ventilation rate      83160                     57120
ADI early             40 Fair      34 Fair      28 Fair
ADI late              55 Gen good  8 poor       36 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            4            6
Max LVORI late        1            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-250000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
351 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           50           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   4            3            4
Min/Max Temp          93           74           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        SW  7        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW  5        SW  5
Precip amount         0.08         0.09         0.43
Precip duration       2            2            5
Inversion             79/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        56           99           58
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3970                      4360
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 20                     SW 10
Ventilation rate      79400                     43600
ADI early             35 Fair      36 Fair      18 Gen poor
ADI late              52 Gen good  6 Very poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            5            8
Max LVORI late        1            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-250000-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
351 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           50           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          91           75           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8        SW  8        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW  6        SW  6
Precip amount         0.09         0.14         0.49
Precip duration       2            2            5
Inversion             81/0900      2000         81/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        58           95           63
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3850                      3920
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 16                     S  8
Ventilation rate      61600                     31360
ADI early             37 Fair      31 Fair      18 Gen poor
ADI late              43 Gen good  5 Very poor  21 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-250000-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
351 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           50           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          92           74           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        SW  6        SW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  5        SW  4
Precip amount         0.08         0.10         0.40
Precip duration       2            2            5
Inversion             79/0900      2000         80/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        57           99           59
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3930                      4060
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     S  7
Ventilation rate      58950                     28420
ADI early             34 Fair      31 Fair      13 Gen poor
ADI late              45 Gen good  4 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-250000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
351 AM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           50           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4
Min/Max Temp          93           74           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7        SW  7        SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  5        S  4
Precip amount         0.07         0.08         0.29
Precip duration       2            2            2
Inversion             78/0900      2000         79/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        53           99           56
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4120                      4650
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     SW  9
Ventilation rate      70040                     41850
ADI early             35 Fair      34 Fair      12 poor
ADI late              46 Gen good  5 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            5            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

27


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.