Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 210716
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
316 AM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure across the Great Lakes will control our
weather through the weekend. Scattered showers or thunderstorms
are possible today and Friday. Tropical Storm Jose off the Mid-
Atlantic coast should weaken, while Major Hurricane Maria moves
north and remains well offshore of the Carolinas Monday and Tuesday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate.

NCZ105>110-212330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
316 AM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          89           68           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         SE  3        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.05         0.04         0.00
Precip duration       1            1            1
Inversion             79/1000      1900         77/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        53           97           53
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7010                      6150
Transport wnd (mph)   N  3                      E  8
Ventilation rate      21030                     49200
ADI early             19 Gen poor  13 Gen poor  23 Fair
ADI late              22 Fair      2 Very poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            8
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-212330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
316 AM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          90           68           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         E  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        LGT/VAR      NE  4
Precip amount         0.05         0.04         0.00
Precip duration       1            2            0
Inversion             78/1000      1900         76/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        48           98           49
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7500                      6820
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  5                     NE  8
Ventilation rate      37500                     54560
ADI early             16 Gen poor  15 Gen poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              21 Fair      2 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            8
Max LVORI late        2            9            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 46 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-212330-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
316 AM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           30
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          88           69           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  3         S  3         N  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         LGT/VAR      E  6
Precip amount         0.05         0.05         0.03
Precip duration       1            1            1
Inversion             80/1000      1900         77/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        52           97           54
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6680                      6170
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  5                     E  8
Ventilation rate      33400                     49360
ADI early             17 Gen poor  14 Gen poor  24 Fair
ADI late              24 Fair      2 Very poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            6            8
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance
of precipitation 30 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-212330-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
316 AM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          90           68           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  3        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        LGT/VAR      NE  5
Precip amount         0.05         0.05         0.03
Precip duration       1            1            1
Inversion             79/1000      1900         77/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        48           98           52
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7210                      6550
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  5                     E  9
Ventilation rate      36050                     58950
ADI early             17 Gen poor  18 Gen poor  23 Fair
ADI late              29 Fair      2 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 45 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-212330-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
316 AM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          91           68           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW  3        E  3         NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  3        LGT/VAR      NE  5
Precip amount         0.04         0.04         0.00
Precip duration       1            1            0
Inversion             78/1000      1900         76/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        45           97           49
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7960                      7130
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  3                     NE  9
Ventilation rate      23880                     64170
ADI early             12 poor      19 Gen poor  27 Fair
ADI late              28 Fair      2 Very poor  43 Gen good
Max LVORI early       10           5            8
Max LVORI late        2            8            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with isolated showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 40 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

TRA



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