Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 300956
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
556 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PASS ACROSS
THE REGION LATE TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...BRINGING PERIODS OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY. THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL DEPART SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT THE LINGERING HEAT AND
HUMIDITY WILL LEAD TO A SMALLER CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR STORM ON
LABOR DAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-084-104-106-108-111-
310300-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-WOLFE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...CAMPTON...BEATTYVILLE
556 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....105.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (104800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.23 - 0.47 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....81.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (80800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......80 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.42 - 0.75 INCHES.

$$

KYZ085>087-107-109-110-112>117-119-310300-
WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-JOHNSON-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-
PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...
PRESTONSBURG...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ
556 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....106.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (105800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 - 0.31 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....90.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (90000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.32 - 0.59 INCHES.

$$

KYZ088-118-120-310300-
HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARLAN...WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
556 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....95.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (95100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 - 0.18 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....97.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (97300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.36 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP





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