Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 261043
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
543 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

...Low Humidity Expected this Afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure centered across the region will
gradually move east of the area by this evening and bring
dry weather with near normal temperatures. Relative humidities
should bottom out in the 20 to 30 percent range today,
but winds will be light. An upper disturbance will bring a chance
for showers late Sunday night into Monday, though unsettled weather is
expected through midweek. The best chances for a more widespread
and substantial rain will come Tuesday into Wednesday evening when
total rainfall for that period could reach or exceed one inch.

KYZ068-079-083-084-262130-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
543 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........19-27 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....35.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (35200 knot-ft).
ADI.................33.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 35.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........59-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......37 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 5 mph increasing to south 10
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....61.
Vent Rate...........Good (60800 knot-ft).
ADI.................19 increasing to 52 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-262130-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
543 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........22-28 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....46.
Vent Rate...........Fair (45700 knot-ft).
ADI.................44.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....31-36.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........57-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....65.
Vent Rate...........Good (65300 knot-ft).
ADI.................17 increasing to 49 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-262130-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
543 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........19-26 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....34.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (33800 knot-ft).
ADI.................45 decreasing to 32 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....30-36.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....65.
Vent Rate...........Good (65000 knot-ft).
ADI.................21 increasing to 53 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then a
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in
the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Colder. Showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Much cooler. Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers
in the morning. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Flurries possible in the morning. Highs in the
mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest late.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.

$$
JP


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