Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 162030
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
430 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014

...DRY WITH LIGHT WINDS THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

.DISCUSSION...THE UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS OVER THE REGION WILL BE
WARMED BY STRONG SPRING SUNSHINE ON THURSDAY...RESULTING IN RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FALLING BELOW 25 PERCENT IN MOST LOCATIONS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THE NEARBY HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WINDS FROM BEING A
CONCERN. ON THE FLIP SIDE...THOUGH...THE TRANSPORT WINDS AND
DISPERSION INDICES WILL BE ON THE LOW SIDE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. OUR NEXT SHOT AT RAIN WILL COME ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EVENING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. HOWEVER...
MOISTURE WILL STILL BE QUITE LIMITED. THIS WILL KEEP THE PROBABILITY
OF RAIN LOW...AND MEAN RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT EVEN IF IT DOES
MANAGE TO OCCUR.

KYZ044-050-051-171330-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE
430 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....LOW 30S.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65 TO 70.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (41300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40 TO 45.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (41700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE TO 0.05 INCHES.

$$

KYZ052-058>060-069-104-106>109-111-112-114-116-171330-
ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-JACKSON-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-
MAGOFFIN-LEE-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MCKEE...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...BOONEVILLE...MANCHESTER
430 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MID 20S VALLEYS TO AROUND 35 ON THE RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER VALLEYS AND 5-10 DEGREES
                    WARMER RIDGES.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT VALLEYS AND 55-60 PERCENT RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT DRIER VALLEYS AND 20-25 PERCENT
                    DRIER RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 60S.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (37600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35 VALLEYS AND IN THE LOW 40S RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT VALLEYS AND 70-75 PERCENT RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER VALLEYS AND 10-15 PERCENT WETTER
                    RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65 TO 70.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (31200 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE TO 0.05 INCHES.

$$

KYZ088-110-113-115-117>120-171330-
HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...HINDMAN...HAZARD...
HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
430 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST LATE IN THE
                    NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27 VALLEYS AND AROUND 34 RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER VALLEYS AND 8 DEGREES WARMER
                    RIDGES.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-82 PERCENT VALLEYS AND 49-65 PERCENT RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER VALLEYS AND 28 PERCENT DRIER
                    RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 20 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (38000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35 VALLEYS AND IN THE LOWER 40S RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT VALLEYS AND 70-80 PERCENT RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE TO 0.05 INCHES.

$$

KYZ068-079-080-083>087-171330-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE
430 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 20S VALLEYS AND NEAR 35 RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER VALLEYS AND NEAR 10 DEGREES
                    WARMER RIDGES.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT VALLEYS AND 55-65 PERCENT RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER VALLEYS AND 10-15 PERCENT
                    DRIER RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65 TO 70.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (35600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35 VALLEYS AND IN THE LOWER 40S RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS AND 75-85 PERCENT RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE TO 0.05 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AT 5
TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
GREIF






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