Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 252234 AAA
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
434 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY...WITH CONTINUED SOUTHERLY
WINDS. GULF MOISTURE WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT... WHICH WILL SUPPORT
PERIODS OF SHOWERS SHOWERS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY...
BEHIND A PACIFIC COLD FRONT. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE APPEARS
LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY.



ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-261115-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
434 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            50           80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.12         0.25
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                2            12
PRECIP BEGINS                                   6 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      37 (+4)      56 (+6)      46           54
RH % (24H TREND)      97 (0)       60 (+2)      98           79
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                S 6-10                    S 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 6-10       S 8-12       S 4-8        NW 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 440                       569
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1442                      1867
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 525                       655
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1724                      2149
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                S  7                      N  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      N  7
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3675                      1965
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              55                        58
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               S  9                      W  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               S 21                      W 10
DISPERSION INDEX      12           22           20           12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            3            2            2
STABILITY             E            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-261115-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
434 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            50           80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.10         0.32
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                2            12
PRECIP BEGINS                                   6 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (+5)      58 (+7)      48           56
RH % (24H TREND)      95 (-3)      59 (+1)      99           82
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                S 6-10                    S 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 5-9        S 7-11       SE 5-9       E 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 498                       341
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1634                      1118
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 560                       403
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                1838                      1322
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                S  7                      N  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      N  3
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3920                      806
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              59                        62
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               S 10                      S  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               S 21                      S  9
DISPERSION INDEX      11           29           17           12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            3            2            2
STABILITY             E            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
69 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-261115-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
434 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            30           80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.02         0.31
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                1            12
PRECIP BEGINS                                   12 AM        CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      35 (+1)      56 (+8)      43           53
RH % (24H TREND)      95 (+1)      54 (-6)      95           75
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                S 5-9                     S 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 4-8        S 6-10       S 3-7        S 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 529                       155
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1736                      509
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 651                       276
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                2136                      906
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                S  6                      SE  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SE  5
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3906                      552
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              55                        58
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               S  8                      SW  6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               S 18                      SW 13
DISPERSION INDEX      11           28           11           10
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            2            2
STABILITY             E            D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-261115-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
434 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            40           80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.04         0.32
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                2            12
PRECIP BEGINS                                   6 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      37 (+1)      58 (+7)      45           56
RH % (24H TREND)      94 (+4)      52 (+1)      94           75
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                S 4-8                     S 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 4-8        S 5-9        S 4-8        SE 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 494                       189
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1622                      621
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 617                       310
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                2023                      1018
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                S  6                      SE  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SE  3
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3702                      620
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              56                        60
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               S  8                      S  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               S 17                      S 15
DISPERSION INDEX      10           25           13           12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            2            2
STABILITY             E            E            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-261115-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
434 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            50           80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.07         0.32
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                2            12
PRECIP BEGINS                                   6 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      37 (+6)      59 (+8)      48           58
RH % (24H TREND)      96 (-2)      56 (+4)      98           80
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                S 4-8                     SE 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 3-7        S 5-9        SE 4-8       SE 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 637                       200
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2091                      655
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 709                       271
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                2326                      890
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                S  6                      SE  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SE  5
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  4254                      542
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              58                        66
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               S  8                      S  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               S 17                      S 15
DISPERSION INDEX      10           25           14           12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            3            2            2
STABILITY             E            E            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-261115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
434 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            40           80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.04         0.25
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                2            12
PRECIP BEGINS                                   6 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      36 (+3)      58 (+7)      45           58
RH % (24H TREND)      95 (0)       52 (-1)      93           73
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                S 3-7                     SE 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 2-6        S 4-8        SE 3-7       S 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 594                       137
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                1949                      448
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 718                       260
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                2355                      854
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                S  4                      SE  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SE  7
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  2872                      780
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              54                        62
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               S  6                      S  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               S 13                      S 18
DISPERSION INDEX      13           19           14           13
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            2            2
STABILITY             D            E            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

GW/PWB



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