Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 202105
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
305 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Rain with a few embedded thunderstorms will push into the Mid-South
tonight ahead of a cold front. The front will stall over North
Mississippi and will begin lifting back to the north on Thursday
as a warm front. As a result, widespread rain will continue most
of the Mid-South through Thursday. Strong gusty winds will occur
ahead and behind the front.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-211130-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
305 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     100          100          100          50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        showers
Precip Amount (in)    1.27         1.07         0.96         0.14
Precip Dur (hrs)      11           12           12           2
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      46 (-19)     48 (-26)     39           53
RH % (24h Trend)      98 (+5)      87 (+18)     100          77
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                N 9-13                    NE 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 9-13 G19   NE 9-13 G19  NE 8-12      NE 3-7
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 310                       197
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1016                      645
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 396                       283
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1298                      927
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N 10                      NE  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                N 23                      NE 10
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3960                      1415
Category Day                       2                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              56                        60
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE 12                     E  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE 27                     E 12
Dispersion Index      42           50           24           16
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                  2            2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      0            0            1            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. East
winds around 5 mph becoming southeast after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 82 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds
around 5 mph becoming north after midnight.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-211130-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
305 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     90           100          100          70
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.51         1.44         1.27         0.32
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            12           12           9
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      54 (-10)     57 (-18)     44           56
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (-1)      87 (+18)     100          79
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                N 8-12 G17                N 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 9-13 G19   N 10-14 G19  NE 7-11      NE 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 302                       124
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                991                       407
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 364                       186
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1194                      611
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N 10                      NE  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                N 22                      NE  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3640                      558
Category Day                       2                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              62                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE 12                     SE  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE 27                     SE  9
Dispersion Index      35           46           23           9
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                  3            2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D            D
Stagnation Index      1            1            1            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the mid
50s. East winds around 5 mph becoming south after midnight.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
76 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 74 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-211130-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
305 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     90           100          100          60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.33         1.03         1.15         0.32
Precip Dur (hrs)      5            12           12           9
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      53 (-12)     56 (-20)     45           58
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (+12)     85 (+28)     99           76
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                N 7-11                    NE 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11 G17   N 8-12 G17   NE 6-10      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 269                       82
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                881                       269
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 390                       197
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1278                      646
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  8                     NE  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 18                     NE  7
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3120                      591
Category Day                       2                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              60                        65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               N 10                      SE  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               N 22                      SE  8
Dispersion Index      49           42           24           9
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                  2            2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      1            1            1            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph becoming south after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-211130-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
305 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     80           100          100          60
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.18         0.98         0.97         0.38
Precip Dur (hrs)      5            12           12           9
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      59 (-6)      61 (-15)     48           62
RH % (24h Trend)      92 (+7)      86 (+26)     100          77
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                NW 6-10                   NE 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11       N 7-11 G17   NE 5-9       Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 388                       58
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1274                      191
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 509                       165
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1671                      540
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  8                     NE  2
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 18                     NE  5
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4072                      330
Category Day                       3                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              65                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  9                     S  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE 20                     S  8
Dispersion Index      49           48           25           7
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                  2            2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            1            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the upper
50s. East winds around 5 mph becoming south after midnight.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-211130-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
305 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           100          100          80
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.09         0.90         0.83         0.40
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            12           12           12
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      64 (+1)      65 (-11)     51           65
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (0)       86 (+22)     100          79
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 5-9                     NE 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11 G18   N 7-11 G17   NE 4-8       Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 530                       507
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                1739                      1663
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 602                       579
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                1974                      1899
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  8                     S  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 17                     S  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4816                      1737
Category Day                       3                         1
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  9                      S  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 19                      S 16
Dispersion Index      44           50           20           28
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                  3            2            2            3
Stability             D            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
60. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy.
Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-211130-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
305 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           90           90           70
Precip Type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.01         0.51         0.61         0.33
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            12           12           9
Precip Begins         12 AM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      66 (+2)      71 (-6)      58           71
RH % (24h Trend)      92 (+2)      76 (+17)     100          74
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 4-8                     S 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 5-9        W 4-8        E 2-6        S 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1134                      1063
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3720                      3487
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1258                      1187
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4126                      3893
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  9                     SW  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 20                     SW 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  11322                     5935
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              72                        72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  8                      S  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 17                      S 15
Dispersion Index      41           71           38           52
LAL                   2            2            2            2
LASI                  2            2            2            3
Stability             D            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy.
Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

KRM



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