Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 270954
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
454 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...

An upper level disturbance will bring shower and thunderstorm
chances to the Mid South today, mainly across areas north of I-40.
Highs this afternoon will be in the middle to upper 80s.

An approaching cold front will be the focus for additional showers
and thunderstorms as a cold front moves south across the Mid South
tonight into Sunday.  Showers and thunderstorms will linger into
Memorial Day with the best chances occurring south of I-40. Slightly
cooler temperatures are expected for Sunday into Memorial Day.

Another cold front will move into the Lower Mississippi Valley by
the middle of next week and then stall out across the region
bringing continued shower and thunderstorm chances through the
remainder of next week.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-272315-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
454 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           80           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.16         1.24         0.14
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            11           3
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      87 (+6)      71 (+2)      82
RH % (24h Trend)      65 (+7)      96 (+3)      64
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 5-9                    SW 7-11
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 7-11      S 7-11       W 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1427                      849
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4681                      2785
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1513                      935
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4963                      3066
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  7                     W  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 15                     W 17
Vent Index (m2/s)     10591                     7480
Category Day          4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81                        76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  7                     W  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 16                     W 20
Dispersion Index      48           52           58
LAL                   3            5            5
LASI                  3            3            2
Stability             C            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around
5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-272315-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
454 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           70           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.04         1.02         0.21
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            8            3
Precip Begins         6 AM         7 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      88 (+7)      72 (+2)      84
RH % (24h Trend)      60 (+2)      94 (+5)      64
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 7-11                   SW 7-11 G17
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 8-12      S 6-10       SW 8-12
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1732                      1022
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   5681                      3353
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1793                      1084
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   5884                      3557
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  9                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 20                     SW 23
Vent Index (m2/s)     16137                     10840
Category Day          5                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  8                     SW  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 19                     SW 20
Dispersion Index      55           25           71
LAL                   3            5            5
LASI                  3            3            2
Stability             C            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds around
5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-272315-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
454 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           70           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.23         0.67         0.18
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            8            3
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      84 (-2)      71 (+4)      82
RH % (24h Trend)      67 (+27)     98 (+5)      66
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 4-8                    SW 7-11
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 4-8       S 4-8        SW 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    940                       1022
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   3085                      3354
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1061                      1144
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   3482                      3752
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  6                     SW  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 16
Vent Index (m2/s)     6366                      8008
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  7                     SW  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 16                     SW 20
Dispersion Index      39           23           61
LAL                   3            5            5
LASI                  3            3            3
Stability             C            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around
5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-272315-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
454 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           70           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.19         0.74         0.21
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            8            3
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      86 (+1)      72 (+5)      83
RH % (24h Trend)      65 (+22)     97 (+5)      65
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 5-9                    SW 7-11
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 6-10      S 4-8        SW 8-12
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1145                      943
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   3755                      3094
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1266                      1064
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4153                      3492
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  8                     SW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 17                     SW 20
Vent Index (m2/s)     10128                     9576
Category Day          4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78                        79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  8                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 17                     SW 22
Dispersion Index      39           29           61
LAL                   3            5            5
LASI                  2            3            3
Stability             C            D            C
Stagnation Index      2            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around
5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-272315-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
454 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           50           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.01         0.72         0.16
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            2            2
Precip Begins         6 AM         7 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends           1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      88 (+3)      72 (+4)      85
RH % (24h Trend)      60 (+11)     94 (+2)      64
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 6-10                   SW 7-11
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 8-12      S 5-9        SW 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1475                      958
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4839                      3142
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1547                      1029
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   5075                      3377
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  9                     SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 21                     SW 25
Vent Index (m2/s)     13923                     11319
Category Day          4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  8                     SW  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 18                     SW 20
Dispersion Index      53           28           73
LAL                   3            4            4
LASI                  2            3            2
Stability             C            E            C
Stagnation Index      2            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph
late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around
5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-272315-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
454 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           50           50
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.07         0.55         0.13
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            2
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      87 (+1)      72 (+6)      85
RH % (24h Trend)      60 (+22)     94 (+7)      62
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 4-8                    SW 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SW 5-9       SW 3-7       SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1315                      1203
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4313                      3946
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1439                      1327
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4722                      4352
Transport Wnd (m/s)   SW  9                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 20                     SW 22
Vent Index (m2/s)     12951                     13270
Category Day          4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77                        78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  SW  8                     SW  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  SW 17                     SW 19
Dispersion Index      39           30           55
LAL                   3            4            4
LASI                  2            3            3
Stability             B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph
late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph late
in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds around
5 mph.

$$



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