Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 181001
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
401 AM CST WED JAN 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...

A WARM FRONT WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
SHOWERS WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA TODAY INTO THIS EVENING AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WITH EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
RECEIVING THE BEST CHANCES.

BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE MID-SOUTH.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-182330-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
401 AM CST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           80           80
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.02         0.40         0.58
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            11           12
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      49 (-1)      47 (+6)      58
RH % (24H TREND)      75 (+5)      98 (+6)      80
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   NE 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 3-7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    402                       106
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1318                      348
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    488                       192
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1600                      630
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   E  3                      S  4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      S  9
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     1464                      768
CATEGORY DAY          1                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 49                        59
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  4                      SE  5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  8                      SE 12
DISPERSION INDEX      14           6            10
LAL                   1            3            5
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-182330-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
401 AM CST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           90           90
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.12         0.57         0.71
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      6            11           12
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      52 (-3)      50 (+5)      62
RH % (24H TREND)      76 (+8)      95 (+3)      81
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 2-6                    LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 4-8        LGT/VAR      S 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    312                       358
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1024                      1173
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    374                       420
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1227                      1377
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   E  4                      SW  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      SW 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     1496                      3360
CATEGORY DAY          1                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 58                        65
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  5                      S  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E 12                      S 20
DISPERSION INDEX      15           8            36
LAL                   1            3            5
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             C            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-182330-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
401 AM CST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     10           70           90
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.31         0.86
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                   9            12
PRECIP BEGINS                      6 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      52 (-4)      48 (+6)      63
RH % (24H TREND)      69 (-2)      99 (+6)      83
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      E 2-6        SE 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    390                       173
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1280                      567
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    511                       293
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1677                      961
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   E  2                      S  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      S 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     1022                      1758
CATEGORY DAY          1                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 47                        64
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  2                      S  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  5                      S 19
DISPERSION INDEX      8            11           15
LAL                   1            3            5
LASI                  3            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-182330-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
401 AM CST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           70           90
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.02         0.41         0.95
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            9            12
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      54 (-4)      51 (+7)      65
RH % (24H TREND)      69 (0)       99 (+7)      81
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   SE 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 2-6        E 3-7        S 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    320                       295
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1050                      968
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    441                       416
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1447                      1366
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   E  3                      S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      S 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     1323                      3328
CATEGORY DAY          1                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 53                        66
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  3                      S 11
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  6                      S 23
DISPERSION INDEX      10           11           25
LAL                   1            3            5
LASI                  2            2            3
STABILITY             C            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
AROUND 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-182330-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
401 AM CST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     70           80           90
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.13         0.49         0.99
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      9            11           12
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      59 (+1)      55 (+6)      65
RH % (24H TREND)      66 (-10)     99 (+6)      78
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 2-6                    SE 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   E 4-8        SE 3-7       SW 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    221                       536
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   725                       1759
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    293                       608
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   960                       1994
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  4                     SW  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     SW 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     1172                      4864
CATEGORY DAY          1                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 62                        67
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  5                      SW 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E 11                      SW 22
DISPERSION INDEX      13           13           39
LAL                   1            3            5
LASI                  2            3            3
STABILITY             C            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-182330-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
401 AM CST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           60           90
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.04         0.27         1.18
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            6            12
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      61 (-1)      56 (+5)      67
RH % (24H TREND)      62 (-14)     100 (+7)     80
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   S 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      E 2-6        S 4-8
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    259                       335
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   849                       1099
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    383                       459
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1255                      1506
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  1                     SW  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  2                     SW 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     383                       2754
CATEGORY DAY          1                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61                        67
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  2                      S 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  4                      S 21
DISPERSION INDEX      13           10           21
LAL                   1            3            5
LASI                  2            2            3
STABILITY             B            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
AROUND 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

KRM


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