Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 230902
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
402 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLE WARMTH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WORK WEEK, WITH NEAR RECORD HIGHS FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
LATE FRIDAY, BRINGING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS, SOME POSSIBLY STRONG
TO SEVERE, FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. MORE SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
402 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (+12)  47-52 (+4)   71-76
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (-11)  90-95 (-6)   42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G26
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8                     S 22
Dispersion            30 Fair                   83 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  5                      S  9 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5         SE  5        S 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to mid
50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Much colder. Lows in the 20s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
402 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+10)  47-52 (+4)   67-72
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (-20)  89-94 (-6)   45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G22    S 11 G27
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7300                      6900
Transport wnd (mph)   S  5                      S 18
Dispersion            20 Gen poor               64 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G22    S 14 G27

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to mid
50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s.
West winds 5 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Much colder. Lows in the 20s to
lower 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-241000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
402 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (+9)   47-52 (+4)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (-22)  89-94 (-6)   44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G26     S 13 G33
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    7000                      7100
Transport wnd (mph)   S  6                      S 25
Dispersion            16 Gen poor               87 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 13 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G26     S 17 G33

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the 20s to
lower 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to
upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-241000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
402 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+7)   49-54 (+5)   71-76
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (-19)  93-98 (-3)   43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  5                     S 10 G27
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         SE  6 G21    S 14 G31
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      6800
Transport wnd (mph)   S  9                      S 28
Dispersion            32 Fair                   111 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  6                     S 12 G27
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         SE  8 G21    S 17 G31

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the 20s to
lower 30s. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to 50s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper
60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-241000-
Nantahala National Forest-
402 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+7)   46-51 (+5)   70-75
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-20)  95-100 (+1)  45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G23
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SE  5 G15    S 11 G26
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      7300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S 23
DISPERSION            31 Fair                   101 Very good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  8 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9         SE  6 G15    S 14 G26

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the upper
20s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241000-
East Tennessee District East-
402 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+11)  47-52 (+3)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (-21)  93-98 (-2)   41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G22
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  5                     S 20
Dispersion            18 Gen poor               74 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s
to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Much colder. Lows in the 20s to
lower 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up
to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241000-
East Tennessee District West-
402 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      70-75 (+9)   50-55 (+3)   72-77
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (-20)  90-95 (-6)   44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G31
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5300                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8                     S 30
Dispersion            29 Fair                   116 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5         SE  5        S 17 G31

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s
to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 40s to upper 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the mid 20s
to lower 30s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-241000-
Cumberland District South-
402 AM EST Thu Feb 23 2017 /302 AM CST Thu Feb 23 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+6)   52-57 (+4)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (-16)  91-96 (-5)   47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  6 G15     S  5 G18     S 14 G31
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)   S 12                      S 30
Dispersion            34 Fair                   115 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G15     S  7 G18     S 17 G31

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the mid 20s
to lower 30s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TD/MA


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