Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 182026
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
326 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Breezy conditions and rain will be likely tonight ahead
of a cold front. Drier weather returns on Sunday and Monday with
below normal temperatures expected.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192130-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
326 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      33-38 (-6)   37-42 (-21)  20-25        47-52
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+17)  55-60 (+12)  83-88        29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW 11 G25                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 18 G44    W 11 G24     W  8 G21     LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip duration       5
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            Continuing
Precip amount         0.51         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4500                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2400                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 18                      SW 10
Dispersion                         39 Fair                   11 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 14 G25                 SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 23 G44    W 14 G24     W 10 G21     S  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 30s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192130-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
326 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      31-36 (-7)   35-40 (-25)  20-25        46-51
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+13)  57-62 (+14)  79-84        30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW 14 G36                 W  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 19 G48    NW 14 G31    NW 11 G29    LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        snow/rain    NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           20           0            0
Precip duration       5            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 PM
Precip amount         0.55         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4900                      3400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2100                      600
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 24                     W 10
Dispersion                         42 Gen good               5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 18 G36                 W  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 24 G48    NW 18 G31    NW 14 G29    W  6

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 20s to mid 30s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 30s to lower 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-192130-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
326 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      30-35 (-8)   36-41 (-21)  21-26        47-52
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+10) 55-60 (+2)   79-84        29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW 10 G27                 W  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 24 G64    NW 10 G26    NW  9 G26    W  5
Precip type           snow/rain    snow         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           20           0            0
Precip duration       5            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   10 AM
Precip amount         0.89         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5300                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2200                      500
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 18                     W 12
Dispersion                         33 Fair                   4 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 13 G27                 W  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 30 G64    NW 14 G26    NW 11 G26    W  6

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 30s to lower 40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-192130-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
326 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      33-38 (-9)   40-45 (-19)  23-28        52-57
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+6)   47-52 (-6)   79-84        27-32
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW 10 G23                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 19 G47    NW 10 G22    N  8 G21     LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip duration       5
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.60         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2700                      1100
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 17                     NW  9
Dispersion                         41 Gen good               9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 12 G23                 NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 23 G47    NW 12 G22    N 10 G21     SW  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 30s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph shifting to the northwest after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-192130-
Nantahala National Forest-
326 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   41-46 (-17)  22-27        52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   44-49 (-20)  76-81        26-31
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G27                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G41    NW 11 G25    N  8 G23     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM
PRECIP END            4 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                2800                      1200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 10
DISPERSION                         49 Gen good               10 Poor
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G27                 NE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 22 G41    NW 14 G25    N 10 G23     S  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph shifting to the northwest after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192130-
East Tennessee District East-
326 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (-4)   40-45 (-22)  22-27        49-54
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+9)   51-56 (+4)   82-87        30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 11 G25                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 19 G44    W 11 G25     W  7 G19     LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           0            0            0
Precip duration       5
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.57         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      3000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2800                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)                W 18                      SW  8
Dispersion                         45 Gen good               10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 14 G25                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 24 G44    W 14 G25     W  8 G19     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 30s to lower 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
lower 50s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192130-
East Tennessee District West-
326 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (-7)   41-46 (-18)  23-28        50-55
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+9)   48-53 (-8)   84-89        30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 20 G46     NW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     100          0            0            0
Precip duration       3
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            4 AM
Precip amount         0.48         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      2900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2900                      1600
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 16                     S  9
Dispersion                         39 Fair                   13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 10 G20                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 25 G46     NW 11 G20    NW  6 G17    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-192130-
Cumberland District South-
326 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2017 /226 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017/

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (-10)  42-47 (-18)  24-29        53-58
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+7)   43-48 (-13)  81-86        29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  9 G21                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 20 G48     NW  9 G21    N  5 G17     LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     100          0            0            0
Precip duration       3
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            4 AM
Precip amount         0.33         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      2900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2900                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 16                     E  9
Dispersion                         42 Gen good               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 11 G21                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 26 G48     NW 11 G21    N  7 G17     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 50s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
West winds less than 10 mph shifting to the northwest after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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