Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 030740
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
340 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM
EACH DAY.  THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. COOLER WEATHER IS ALSO EXPECTED THE REST OF THE
WORK WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
340 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-7)   45-50 (-8)   59-64
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-8)   95-100 (+4)  43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.12
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 14
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     NW  5        SW 10 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
340 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-8)   44-49 (-9)   58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   91-96 (+3)   43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         NW  6        W  8
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.03         0.08
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 17
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     W  9 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW  8 G17    W 10 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-040845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
340 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-9)   44-49 (-8)   58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   91-96 (+1)   38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW  6        W  9 G19
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           50
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.04         0.08
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 16
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W  9
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  7 G16    W 12 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-040845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
340 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-8)   46-51 (-9)   62-67
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   86-91 (-5)   38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  5        W  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.07
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 14
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  8 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     NW  6        W 11 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-040845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
340 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-5)   45-50 (-10)  62-67
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-7)   88-93 (-2)   37-42
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  5        W  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.07
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 15
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  8
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  7        W 10 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
340 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-8)   46-51 (-8)   62-67
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   95-100 (+5)  41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.09
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 16
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W  9 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  5         SW 11 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
340 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-9)   46-51 (-8)   64-69
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-8)   91-96 (+2)   38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.10
LAL                   2            1            2
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 15
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   61 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W  6 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     NW  6        W 11 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
340 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016 /240 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-6)   46-51 (-8)   65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-10)  92-97 (+3)   39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  5        W  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.08
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     W 14
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   64 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     W  6 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  6        W 11 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$



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