Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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799
FNUS55 KPSR 272022
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
122 PM MST TUE SEP 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TUESDAY AFTERNOON, WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH INTO
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THEN OUT OF THE REGION BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING. INCREASED CLOUDS AND HUMIDITY FROM MEXICO WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THIS PERIOD. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES
OR LIGHT SHOWERS IS FORECAST TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WITH A
BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL ARIZONA THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANOTHER WEATHER DISTURBANCE.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 PERCENT. LIGHT
WINDS UNDER 12 MPH, EXCEPT NEAR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. FAIR
OVERNIGHT RECOVERY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-280830-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
122 PM MST TUE SEP 27 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY BLOWING
  DUST IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................68-78.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................53-63 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................13 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................88-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................24-29 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10700 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHEAST 11 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................69-79.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................49-61 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS . SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................24-29 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......11400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 7 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 67-77. HIGHS 90-95. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 65-75. HIGHS 90-95. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-71. HIGHS 88-93. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-70. HIGHS 87-91.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 59-69. HIGHS 86-90.

$$

AZZ133-280830-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
122 PM MST TUE SEP 27 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF
  THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS . SLIGHT CHANCE
  OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................54-69.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................57-74 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-90.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................27-40 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................58-71.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................57-75 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
  THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-90.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................27-38 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 52-70. HIGHS 77-91. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-70. HIGHS 78-91. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-69. HIGHS 77-90. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-69. HIGHS 77-89.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-68. HIGHS 77-88.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-280830-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
122 PM MST TUE SEP 27 2016 /122 PM PDT TUE SEP 27 2016/

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................69-73.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................53-63 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................19 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................91-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................23-28 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........12300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........EAST 2 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................70-74.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................46-57 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................92-96.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................21-26 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 2 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............MARGINAL.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 69-73. HIGHS 93-97. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 65-73. HIGHS 93-97. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 59-70. HIGHS 89-93. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 59-66. HIGHS 88-92.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 60-66. HIGHS 87-91.

$$

CAZ230-280830-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
122 PM PDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................59-69.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................52-67 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-89.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................25-35 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................60-70.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................44-60 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-91.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................23-32 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-69. HIGHS 80-91. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-69. HIGHS 79-91. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 50-64. HIGHS 75-86. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 50-63. HIGHS 75-86.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 72-84.

$$

CAZ232-280830-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
122 PM PDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................69-73.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................50-61 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................13 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.WEDNESDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................88-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................21-27 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................70-74.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................44-57 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-96.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................20-25 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 69-74. HIGHS 89-96. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 65-73. HIGHS 89-96. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 60-69. HIGHS 85-92. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-67. HIGHS 85-91.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 59-67. HIGHS 83-89.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 5TH THROUGH FRIDAY OCTOBER
7TH...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.



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