Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KPSR 172019
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
119 PM MST Tue Oct 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Strong high pressure aloft over the area will slowly weaken
through the middle of middle of the week as a series of weak
disturbances pass by to the north of Phoenix. While temperatures
will stay well above seasonal normals through Thursday, and
minimum RH values well below 15 percent, there will be a slight
chance of mainly light showers over south central Arizona
Wednesday night through Thursday. An isolated afternoon
thunderstorm is also possible east of Phoenix on Thursday. Winds
will be light Wednesday but will become locally breezy from the
southwest Thursday afternoon, especially over Imperial County.

...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds...

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-180830-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
119 PM MST Tue Oct 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature.................63-73.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................20-39 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  evening becoming north after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening
  becoming west 5 to 15 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................93-99.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................8-13 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming west in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........5 or moderate potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9100 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 6 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
  light rain after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................62-72.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................25-42 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening
  becoming southeast after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent before midnight
  becoming 10 percent after midnight mainly east portion.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................90-96.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................12-17 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 or low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9600 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 13 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56-68. Highs 86-92. Southwest winds
10 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 55-65. Highs 84-89. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 55-66. Highs 90-95. North winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 57-67. Highs 93-98.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-69. Highs 93-100.

$$

AZZ133-180830-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
119 PM MST Tue Oct 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature.................51-67.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................33-59 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the evening
  becoming east after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................81-94.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................12-17 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 or low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of
  light rain after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................50-66.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................35-56 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the evening
  becoming east after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the
  evening becoming 15 to 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent in the evening becoming
  10 percent after midnight.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of
  rain in the morning. slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
  in the afternoon.
* Max Temperature.................78-92.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................15-21 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................10 percent.
* LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in
  the afternoon.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-65. Highs 77-89. Southwest winds
10 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 45-62. Highs 74-87. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 45-63. Highs 79-92. Northeast winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 47-64. Highs 80-94.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 48-64. Highs 80-94.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-180830-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
119 PM MST Tue Oct 17 2017 /119 PM PDT Tue Oct 17 2017/

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature.................63-71.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................17-28 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................94-99.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................8-13 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming west in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 or low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........4500 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 4 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................62-71.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................33-53 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................19 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................92-96.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................12-17 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 or low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........5700 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 8 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55-69. Highs 87-91. West winds 10 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 55-66. Highs 86-90. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 55-67. Highs 92-96. North winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 57-68. Highs 95-99.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-68. Highs 96-100.

$$

CAZ230-180830-
Joshua Tree National Park-
119 PM PDT Tue Oct 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature.................60-67.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Max Humidity....................25-33 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................13 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................83-92.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................12-17 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................59-65.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................34-41 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................77-90.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................15-23 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........5 or moderate potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-64. Highs 71-84. West winds 10 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-59. Highs 71-83. Northwest
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 49-61. Highs 78-89. North winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 51-62. Highs 82-94.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 52-62. Highs 84-94.

$$

CAZ232-180830-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
119 PM PDT Tue Oct 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature.................62-73.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................18-37 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................91-100.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................9-15 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming west in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 or very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................63-72.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................29-54 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................14 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................87-96.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................12-18 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........5 or moderate potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56-70. Highs 82-90. West winds 10 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 56-66. Highs 82-89. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 56-67. Highs 88-94. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 57-68. Highs 92-99.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-68. Highs 92-98.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Wednesday October 25th through Friday
October 27th: Above normal temperatures and below median
precipitation.



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