Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Salt Lake City, UT

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000
FNUS55 KSLC 202003
FWFSLC

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UTAH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
203 PM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

...WET INTO MONDAY...

.BROADCAST DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND...CONTINUING
INTO MONDAY ACROSS THE NORTH.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE RETURNS NORTH TODAY ACROSS SOUTHERN
UTAH...PROMPTING SCATTERED CONVECTION WHICH MAY BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IN ADDITION TO CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING DURING THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO
SPREAD INTO CENTRAL UTAH TONIGHT AND NORTHERN UTAH TOMORROW.
TOMORROW WILL SEE THE MOST WIDESPREAD CHANCE OF RAINFALL AS A
WEAKENING STORM SYSTEM CROSSES THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN. THIS PATTERN
WILL BRING MORE EXPANSIVE CLOUD COVER...RISING HUMIDITY LEVELS AND
COOLING TEMPERATURES. CONVECTION LINGERS MONDAY ACROSS THE NORTH AND
EAST...DECAYING FOR GOOD MONDAY EVENING.

A WARMING AND DRYING TREND WILL BEGIN MONDAY ACROSS THE SOUTH AND BE
IN PLACE ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK AS A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE AMPLIFIES OVERHEAD.

THERE REMAINS SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT LATE IN THE WEEK. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WITH STRONG GUSTY SOUTH
WINDS DEVELOPING...BEFORE CONVECTIVE CHANCES ONCE AGAIN INCREASE
NEXT WEEKEND.

***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***
***ALL WINDS ARE 20 FOOT...10-MINUTE AVERAGES***

UTZ478>480-211230-
FORECAST AREA 1...NORTHERN UTAH (NORTHERN UTAH IFC AREA)-
ZONE 478 SALT LAKE DESERT...ZONE 479 WASATCH MOUNTAINS...ZONE
480 UINTA MOUNTAINS-
203 PM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........IN THE VALLEYS...PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER)...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2400. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 2400. IN THE MOUNTAINS...PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (25-35 PCT CLOUD COVER)...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...54-64.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...41-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...53-63 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...67-77 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...NORTHEAST 15-20 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHEAST 20-30 MPH.
LAL.................4 IN THE VALLEYS AND 3 IN THE MOUNTAINS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS.
HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PCT CLOUD COVER). NUMEROUS
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    VALLEYS AND NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MOUNTAINS.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...71-79.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...56-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...28-37 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...36-45 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...SOUTH 15-20 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHEAST 25-35 MPH.
LAL.................4.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........IN THE VALLEYS...MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER)...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS...CLOUDY (95-100 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER)...WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...50-56.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...41-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...81-91 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...91-99 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH
                                   BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH
                                   AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTH 15-25 MPH INCREASING TO
                                   SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................4.
CWR.................50 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND 70 PERCENT IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........IN THE VALLEYS...MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45
                    PCT CLOUD COVER)...ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. IN
                    THE MOUNTAINS...CLOUDY (90-100 PCT CLOUD COVER)
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PCT
                    CLOUD COVER)...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...72-79.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...57-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...31-41 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...51-61 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......WEST 15-25 MPH.
LAL.................1 IN THE VALLEYS AND 2 IN THE MOUNTAINS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

=

$$

UTZ492>494-211230-
FORECAST AREA 2...WEST CENTRAL UTAH (RICHFIELD IFC AREA)-
ZONE 492 CENTRAL UTAH WEST DESERT...ZONE 493 CENTRAL UTAH
MOUNTAINS...ZONE 494 HENRY MOUNTAINS-
203 PM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PCT CLOUD COVER) UNTIL
                    2400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER). IN THE VALLEYS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...54-62.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...50-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...70-80 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...72-82 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH BECOMING
                                   NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    RIDGETOPS......EAST 15-25 MPH BECOMING 25-35
                                   MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................5.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PCT CLOUD COVER). NUMEROUS
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    VALLEYS AND NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MOUNTAINS.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...71-81.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...63-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...35-45 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...44-54 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH
                                   BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH IN
                                   THE AFTERNOON.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHEAST 25-35 MPH INCREASING
                                   TO SOUTH 10-20 MPH IN THE
                                   AFTERNOON.
LAL.................4.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PCT CLOUD COVER) UNTIL
                    2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER). IN THE VALLEYS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS. IN THE MOUNTAINS...SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...49-56.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...42-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...79-89 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...81-91 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH.
LAL.................4.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT CLOUD COVER) UNTIL
                    1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER). IN THE VALLEYS...ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200. IN THE MOUNTAINS...ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...71-81.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...62-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...23-33 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...32-42 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH IN THE
                                   MORNING BECOMING
                                   UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH BECOMING
                                   WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

=

$$

UTZ495>498-211230-
FORECAST AREA 3...SOUTHWEST UTAH (CEDAR CITY IFC AREA)-
ZONE 495 COLOR COUNTRY WEST DESERT...ZONE 496 COLOR COUNTRY
MOUNTAINS...ZONE 497 MOJAVE DESERT...ZONE 498 GRAND STAIRCASE-
203 PM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PCT CLOUD COVER) UNTIL
                    2400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER). IN THE VALLEYS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 3000 FEET...AROUND 69.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...56-66.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...45-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 3000 FEET...68-78 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...75-85 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...83-93 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......EAST 15-25 MPH BECOMING
                                   SOUTHEAST 20-30 MPH AFTER
                                   MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................5.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PCT CLOUD COVER). IN THE
                    VALLEYS...NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1200. IN THE MOUNTAINS...WIDESPREAD RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 3000 FEET...83-90.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...77-85.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...67-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 3000 FEET...29 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...30-40 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...47-57 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTH 20-30 MPH.
LAL.................4.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PCT CLOUD COVER). IN THE
                    VALLEYS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS...SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 3000 FEET...AROUND 63.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...52-62.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...39-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 3000 FEET...65-75 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...73-83 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...87-97 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......WEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................3 IN THE VALLEYS AND 4 IN THE MOUNTAINS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PCT CLOUD COVER).

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 3000 FEET...AROUND 90.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...76-86.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...64-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 3000 FEET...20 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 5000 FEET...22-29 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...32-42 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......WEST 10-20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

=

$$

UTZ488>491-211230-
FORECAST AREA 4...SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL UTAH (MOAB IFC AREA)-
ZONE 488 MANTI NATIONAL FOREST...ZONE 489 SAN RAFAEL SWELL...ZONE
490 COLORADO RIVER BASIN...ZONE 491 SOUTHEAST UTAH-
203 PM MDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT CLOUD COVER). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VALLEYS AND
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...60-70.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...47-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...58-68 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...70-80 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHEAST 25-35 MPH.
LAL.................4 IN THE VALLEYS AND 5 IN THE MOUNTAINS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PCT CLOUD COVER). IN THE
                    VALLEYS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200. IN THE MOUNTAINS...NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...75-85.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...62-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...32-42 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...48-58 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHEAST 25-35 MPH.
LAL.................5.
CWR.................30 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND 50 PERCENT IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PCT CLOUD COVER) UNTIL
                    2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT CLOUD
                    COVER). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE VALLEYS AND NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MOUNTAINS.

MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...56-66.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...45-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...78-88 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...85-95 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH.
LAL.................5.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND 40 PERCENT IN THE
                    MOUNTAINS.
HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT CLOUD COVER). IN THE
                    VALLEYS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 1200. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200. IN THE MOUNTAINS...SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 5000 FEET...73-83.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...62-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........NEAR 5000 FEET...29-39 PERCENT.
                    NEAR 8000 FEET...39-49 PERCENT.

20-FOOT WINDS.......SLOPE/VALLEY...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
                    RIDGETOPS......SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH.
LAL.................4.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.

=

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S IN THE VALLEYS AND
IN THE MID 40S IN THE MOUNTAINS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S IN THE
VALLEYS AND IN THE UPPER 60S IN THE MOUNTAINS. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...IN THE VALLEYS...CLEAR...LOWS IN THE MID 50S...HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. IN THE MOUNTAINS...MOSTLY CLEAR...LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S...HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE VALLEYS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S IN THE VALLEYS AND IN THE
UPPER 40S IN THE MOUNTAINS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S IN THE VALLEYS
AND IN THE LOWER 70S IN THE MOUNTAINS. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. IN THE VALLEYS...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S...HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
IN THE MOUNTAINS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S...HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SATURDAY...IN THE VALLEYS...PARTLY CLOUDY...LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S...HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. IN THE MOUNTAINS...MOSTLY CLOUDY...
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S...HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

.8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 28 TO SATURDAY OCTOBER 04
TEMPERATURE... BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION... NEAR NORMAL
=

$$

ROGOWSKI



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