Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 011656 CCA
FWLLOX

ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
945 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

ECC029-021045-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
945 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY OVER THE SANTA CLARITA
VALLEY TODAY...

A TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH IDAHO WILL DEPOSIT HIGH PRESSURE
FORMING COLD AIR INTO THE GREAT BASIN LATER TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...WHICH WILL BRING GUSTY OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL START TO FORM TODAY OVER
INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...WHICH COULD PRODUCE A FEW HOURS OF
CRITICAL CONDITIONS OVER THE SANTA CLARITA VALLEY AS HUMIDITIES
START TO DROP. THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND PUSH DOWN INTO THE
VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
VARIETY. MEANWHILE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
CALIFORNIA AND BRING HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE
REGION...WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
 LIKELY OVER MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY.
MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6 HOUR
DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW HOURS
OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT AND VERY
DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY
LOCALIZED...MOSTLY CONFINED TO SELECT INTERIOR VALLEY AND MOUNTAIN
LOCATIONS.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

...GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS IN THE HILLS THIS MORNING...

...MUCH WARMER AND DRIER TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

OFFSHORE WIND EVENT IS DEVELOPING AS EXPECTED WITH GUSTY NORTHEAST
WINDS CURRENTLY CONFINED TO THE NORTH AND EAST BAY HILLS. THESE
WINDS WILL PEAK DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND SOME OF THE WINDS WILL
MIX DOWN INTO THE EAST BAY VALLEYS THIS MORNING AS THE INVERSION
BREAKS. EXPECT MUCH WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER FROM THIS AFTERNOON AND
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MOST AREAS WILL WARM WELL INTO THE 80S AND 90S
WITH PERSISTENT BUT LIGHT OFFSHORE WINDS. IN ADDITION NIGHT TIME
HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL BE POOR AS A VERY DRY AIRMASS PUSHES OVER THE
REGION. CURRENTLY THE 10 HOUR FUEL STICKS ARE STILL FAIRLY MOIST BUT
THEY WILL QUICKLY DRY OUT BY THURSDAY WHILE THE LARGER FUELS REMAIN
IMPACTED BY THE LONG TERM DROUGHT.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-021045-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
945 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH AT LEAST
SATURDAY WITH BREEZY OFFSHORE FLOW...

A TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH IDAHO WILL DEPOSIT HIGH PRESSURE
FORMING COLD AIR INTO THE GREAT BASIN LATER TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...WHICH WILL BRING GUSTY OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL START TO FORM TODAY OVER
INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...WHICH COULD PRODUCE A FEW HOURS OF
CRITICAL CONDITIONS OVER THE SANTA CLARITA VALLEY AS HUMIDITIES
START TO DROP. THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND PUSH DOWN INTO THE
VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
VARIETY. MEANWHILE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
CALIFORNIA AND BRING HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE
REGION...WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
 LIKELY OVER MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY.
MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6 HOUR
DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW HOURS
OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT AND VERY
DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY
LOCALIZED...MOSTLY CONFINED TO SELECT INTERIOR VALLEY AND MOUNTAIN
LOCATIONS.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC031-021045-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
945 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

A TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH IDAHO WILL DEPOSIT HIGH PRESSURE
FORMING COLD AIR INTO THE GREAT BASIN LATER TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...WHICH WILL BRING GUSTY OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL START TO FORM TODAY OVER
INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...WHICH COULD PRODUCE A FEW HOURS OF
CRITICAL CONDITIONS OVER THE SANTA CLARITA VALLEY AS HUMIDITIES
START TO DROP. THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND PUSH DOWN INTO THE
VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
VARIETY. MEANWHILE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
CALIFORNIA AND BRING HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE
REGION...WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
 LIKELY OVER MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY.
MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6 HOUR
DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW HOURS
OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT AND VERY
DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY
LOCALIZED...MOSTLY CONFINED TO SELECT INTERIOR VALLEY AND MOUNTAIN
LOCATIONS.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC024-021045-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
945 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH AT LEAST
SATURDAY WITH BREEZY OFFSHORE FLOW...

A TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH IDAHO WILL DEPOSIT HIGH PRESSURE
FORMING COLD AIR INTO THE GREAT BASIN LATER TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...WHICH WILL BRING GUSTY OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL START TO FORM TODAY OVER
INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...WHICH COULD PRODUCE A FEW HOURS OF
CRITICAL CONDITIONS OVER THE SANTA CLARITA VALLEY AS HUMIDITIES
START TO DROP. THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND PUSH DOWN INTO THE
VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
VARIETY. MEANWHILE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
CALIFORNIA AND BRING HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE
REGION...WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
 LIKELY OVER MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY.
MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6 HOUR
DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW HOURS
OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT AND VERY
DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY
LOCALIZED...MOSTLY CONFINED TO SELECT INTERIOR VALLEY AND MOUNTAIN
LOCATIONS.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC032-021045-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
945 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

A TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH IDAHO WILL DEPOSIT HIGH PRESSURE
FORMING COLD AIR INTO THE GREAT BASIN LATER TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...WHICH WILL BRING GUSTY OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL START TO FORM TODAY OVER
INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...WHICH COULD PRODUCE A FEW HOURS OF
CRITICAL CONDITIONS OVER THE SANTA CLARITA VALLEY AS HUMIDITIES
START TO DROP. THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND PUSH DOWN INTO THE
VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
VARIETY. MEANWHILE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
CALIFORNIA AND BRING HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE
REGION...WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
 LIKELY OVER MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY.
MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6 HOUR
DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW HOURS
OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT AND VERY
DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY
LOCALIZED...MOSTLY CONFINED TO SELECT INTERIOR VALLEY AND MOUNTAIN
LOCATIONS.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


$$

ECC030-021045-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
945 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

...NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY OVER THE SANTA CLARITA
VALLEY TODAY...

A TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH IDAHO WILL DEPOSIT HIGH PRESSURE
FORMING COLD AIR INTO THE GREAT BASIN LATER TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...WHICH WILL BRING GUSTY OFFSHORE FLOW TO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. THESE NORTHEAST WINDS WILL START TO FORM TODAY OVER
INTERIOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY...WHICH COULD PRODUCE A FEW HOURS OF
CRITICAL CONDITIONS OVER THE SANTA CLARITA VALLEY AS HUMIDITIES
START TO DROP. THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND PUSH DOWN INTO THE
VALLEY AND COASTAL SECTIONS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE OF THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
VARIETY. MEANWHILE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
CALIFORNIA AND BRING HOT AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE
REGION...WITH HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT OVER MOST AREAS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
 LIKELY OVER MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON THURSDAY.
MOUNTAIN AND VALLEY AREAS HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO EXCEED THE 6 HOUR
DURATION THRESHOLDS...BUT SOME COASTAL AREAS SHOULD SEE A FEW HOURS
OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS WELL. SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES WILL HAVE ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS AS WELL WITH HOT AND VERY
DRY CONDITIONS...BUT WINDS WILL BE WEAKER AND VERY
LOCALIZED...MOSTLY CONFINED TO SELECT INTERIOR VALLEY AND MOUNTAIN
LOCATIONS.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HOTTER AND DRIER THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...BUT THE WINDS WILL WEAKEN EACH DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT LESS CERTAIN THAN THURSDAY DUE TO THE WEAKER WINDS.
REGARDLESS...TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL MAINTAIN A PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE CONCERN. COOLING
AND MOISTENING EXPECTED GRADUALLY NEXT WEEK.


$$










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