Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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000
FNUS75 KABQ 171550
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BARRANCO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
950 AM MDT FRI OCT 17 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
CLOUD COVER AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THE NEXT 48
HOURS. A WEAK BACK DOOR FRONT CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS WILL START TO IMPACT THE FIRE AREA DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. LOOK FOR SOME WIND SHIFTS WITH THIS FRONTAL
PUSH BUT THE SPEEDS WILL GENERALLY BE LESS THAN 10 MPH. WIND FLOW
WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY ON SATURDAY. A FEW PASSING...GENERALLY LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WETTING RAIN
IS NOT LIKELY AT THIS TIME. THE LOW LEVEL OR RADIATION INVERSION
SHOULD BREAK BY NOON TODAY. A MUCH WEAKER INVERSION IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT DESPITE THE BACK DOOR COLD FRONT. AFTERNOON MIXING
HEIGHTS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL TODAY AND TREND ABOVE NORMAL ON
SATURDAY.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0920 MDT 10/17/14
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-72.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 27-32 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH BECOMING EAST
                       5 TO 7 MPH BETWEEN 1200 TO 1300 AND THEN
                       BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH DURING
                       THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...7500 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..EAST 9 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/63722 KNOT-FT AT 1600 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/22963 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       GOOD/63722 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE
                       OF PASSING RAIN SHOWERS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44-48.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 68-73 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........EASTERLY WIND 5 TO 8 MPH.
   VENTILATION TREND...FAIR/54000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING AND
                       POOR/3500 KNOT-FT LATE-EVENING.

FOR SATURDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63-69.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 42-47 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTHEAST 8 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MAX MIXING HEIGHT...9500 FT AGL.
   MAX TRANSPORT WIND..SOUTHEAST 14 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/114000 KNOT-FT AT 1500 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...POOR/33367 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING AND
                       VERY GOOD/114000 KNOT-FT MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...32/50

$$

REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141017.BARRA.01/ABQ






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