Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FNUS73 KABR 291341
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK RX...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
841 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL FAVOR A NORTHEAST DIRECTION TODAY AND BE ON THE BREEZY
SIDE BY LATE MORNING. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING WITH
SOME INCREASING CLOUDS LATER TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT IGNITION
TIME WILL BE CLOSE TO 50 PERCENT...THEN DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT
BY LATE AFTERNOON. NO SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
SINCE THE MAIN FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS ALREADY PASSED THROUGH THE
BURN SITE EARLIER THIS MORNING.

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 4800-5800 FT AGL AFTER
                    1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 24 TO 31 MPH UNTIL 1600...THEN 19 TO
                    24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD (86000-106000).
CWR.................ZERO.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........36  36  36  33  29  25  23  22
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............77  81  83  85  87  88  88  87
RH..............48  42  38  36  34  31  31  32
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..18  18  17  17  17  17  17  16
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT CLOUD).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 16 TO 25 MPH UNTIL 0400...THEN 11 TO 16
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR (2700-3400).
CWR.................ZERO.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........20  20  19  19  18  16  15  15  15  15  18  21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............85  81  77  72  70  68  67  66  64  62  60  59
RH..............35  39  45  55  59  65  68  70  75  81  87  87
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..15  13  10  8   8   8   9   8   7   6   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.20  15  15  10  10  10  15  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...TMT
REQUESTED BY...FUELS SPECIALIST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160829.BEARC.01/ABR



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