Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KAMA 191055
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR ICE STORM RECOVERY...BORGER OEM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
455 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0600 CST ON JANUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT WINDS TODAY LESS THAN 10 MPH AND MAINLY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TO
START THE DAY, BUT WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG AROUND THE AREA, THAT WILL BURN UP BY LATE MORNING. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR. WINDS WILL BE
STRONGER TOMORROW OUT OF THE WEST ABOUT 10-15MPH.

.TODAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-39000 KNOT-FT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
LAL.................1.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............38     39     46     56     62     63
RH..............85     79     58     38     31     30
20 FT WIND......SW 7   SW 6   W 7    W 8    NW 8   NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      5      5      5
VRATE KT-FT/10000      4      10     22     33     20

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-1000 KNOT-FT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
LAL.................1.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 1 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     49     46     43     41     40
RH..............41     50     55     60     67     73
20 FT WIND......N 5    SW 5   S 6    SW 7   SW 8   SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.              10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5
VRATE KT-FT/10001      0      0      0      0      0

.FRIDAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3500-31500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (65000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO
                    EXCELLENT (120000-165000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (214500
                    KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (135000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (62500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
LAL.................1.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5000-6500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO
                    22 TO 28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 38 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............39     38     46     55     60     61
RH..............76     73     51     37     27     25
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 13   W 15   W 21   W 25   W 24
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     25     30     40     40
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3
VRATE KT-FT/10004      5      16     65     165    135

$$
FORECASTER...WEBER
REQUESTED BY...JASON WHISLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 1700453.2/AMA



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