Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FNUS74 KAMA 140027
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESTATES FIRE...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
627 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1820 CST ON FEBRUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY AT THE BURN SITE AROUND 10 PM
OR JUST SHORTLY AFTER. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BURN
SITE AROUND 1 AM SWITCHING THE WIND AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST AND
THEN TO THE NORTH BY 3 AM. WINDS WILL INCREASE AND WILL GET GUSTY
BEHIND THE FRONT AND THEN THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
AND BECOME MORE EASTERLY AROUND 3 PM SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8
                    TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     54     48     44     41     38
RH..............26     36     44     49     55     64
20 FT WIND......S 16   S 15   S 14   SW 12  W 12   NW 14
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     20     15     15     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 8 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     36     45     54     59     60
RH..............69     67     43     30     24     22
20 FT WIND......N 16   N 15   N 15   NE 14  NE 12  E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     25     20     15     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...GOEHRING
REQUESTED BY...RFC TROY DUCHENEAUX
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160213.ESTAT.02/AMA


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