Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS73 KAPX 201111
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAMBERS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
711 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AT FIRST LIGHT...WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS LAKE HURON TODAY. SPOTTY SHOWERS AND PATCHY
DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING.

HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN QUITE HIGH TODAY. OUR PRESENT SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN PERIODS OF DRIZZLE EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................93 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 800-2400 FT
                    AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (500).

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........88  91  97  100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT PDS PDS PDS PDS
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  DZL DZL DZL DZL
TEMP............46  47  49  51  53  54  54  54  53
RH..............93  96  93  89  86  83  83  80  80
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SMOKE DISP......100 100 100 100 100 100 200 400 500

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF DRIZZLE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN GOOD(400).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 99  99  99  98  95  92
WEATHER COV.....PDS PDS PDS PDS PDS PDS PDS PDS PDS PDS PDS PDS
WEATHER TYPE....DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL
TEMP............52  50  48  47  46  45  45  44  44  44  43  43
RH..............80  86  89  89  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  93
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
SMOKE DISP......500 500 500 500 400 400 500 500 500 500 400 400

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF ZOLTOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...WARNER VANDERHEUEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.CHAMB.02/APX






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