Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FNUS73 KBIS 242151
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Spot Forecast for Community Rx-Cannon Ball...BIA-ND-SRA
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
451 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 CDT on March 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Partly cloudy conditions expected at ignition time with
winds becoming southerly and increasing to between 15 and 20 mph.
Mixing heights will increase to around 2400ft AGL by late afternoon.
Expect temperatures in mid 40s around noon, with highs reaching into
the mid 50s. Rain showers are forecast well west of the prescribed
burn Saturday, but will gradually develop and propagate through
late Saturday night through Sunday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog after midnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 28.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast
                    8 to 10 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1100 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  8   7   5   10  11  16  22  23  22  23  31
Weather cov.....                                PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....                                FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............46  44  42  39  37  34  33  32  31  31  30  29
RH..............68  70  76  81  90  95  97  100 99  96  98  99
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   8   8   8   5   5   5   10  10  10  8   8
SDspl kt-ft/10009   12  9   5   1   1   1   3   3   3   2   2

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast to south and increasing to between
                    15 and 20 mph.
Mixing height.......300-2200 ft AGL increasing to 2100-2400 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph increasing to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor in the morning becoming good in the
                    afternoon. (2300-42500 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  37  46  43  40  54  56  60  57  53  50  52
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............28  28  29  32  36  40  44  48  51  53  54  54
RH..............100 100 98  92  83  77  66  59  53  48  47  49
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   10  11  12  12  13  14  15  15  14  14  12
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   12  12  12  16  16  16  20  20  20  21  21
SDspl kt-ft/10002   4   5   7   13  16  20  30  33  37  43  38

$$
Forecaster...SIMOSKO
Requested by...Jeff Casey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705162.0/BIS
.EMAIL Jeffrey.Casey@bia.gov


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