Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 292304
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEAD DOG SCHOOLYARD...CLEAR CREEK COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
504 PM MDT FRI JUL 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1653 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERE COULD BE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 2000 AND 0200...OTHERWISE
              LOOK FOR PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.  TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE 40S
              BY 2200.  WINDS WILL BE WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........65%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING THEN 20 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 0200.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600-9600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 2900-3900 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. FAIR AFTER 0200.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........23%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11100-12100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-25 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    VERY GOOD.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........58%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-9 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    WEST 5-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11900 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1600-2600 FT AGL AFTER
                    0100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2300.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........36%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 35 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 5.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 6500-7500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH AROUND 10
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. FAIR AFTER 1200.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DEAD DOG SCHOOLYARD.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/29-17 40 28  8 56 30  NW 13 21 3 4 WNW 23  9991 WNW 24212940     E
07/29-18 59 28  8 55 31  NW 13 21 3 4 WNW 24  9629 WNW 26218848     E
07/29-19 59 37 15 53 36  NW 13 21 3 4 WNW 24  8462 WNW 25181962     E
07/29-20 59 37 15 50 42  NW 13 21 3 4 WNW 23  7294 WNW 23147931    V
07/29-21 55 35 13 48 50 WNW 12 18 3 4 WNW 23  6126 WNW 22116756    V
07/29-22 50 35 13 46 53   W 10 16 3 4 WNW 23  5539 WNW 21 98957   G
07/29-23 36 32 11 45 58   W 10 16 2 4 WNW 23  4953 WNW 20 82560   G
07/30-00 24 24  5 44 60   W 10 16 2 3 WNW 23  4366 WNW 17 67564   G
07/30-01 24 17  3 43 62 WSW 10 16 2 3 WNW 24  3865 WNW 18 62310   G
07/30-02 32  9  2 42 65 WSW 10 16 3 1 WNW 25  3365   W 20 56412  F
07/30-03 20  9  2 42 65 WSW 12 18 3 1   W 26  2865   W 20 49869  F
07/30-04 20  9  2 41 62   W 12 18 3 1 WNW 25  2969   W 20 51903  F
07/30-05 21  9  2 40 65   W 12 18 4 1 WNW 25  3073   W 21 53953  F
07/30-06 19  8  2 41 60   W 10 16 4 1 WNW 25  3178 WNW 21 56018  F
07/30-07 19  8  2 43 53   W 12 18 4 1 WNW 25  3919 WNW 22 74308   G
07/30-08 19  8  2 47 45   W 12 18 5 1 WNW 26  4659 WNW 23 94576   G
07/30-09 19  8  2 51 38   W 13 21 5 1 WNW 26  5400 WNW 25116821    V
07/30-10 19  8  2 54 32 WNW 14 22 5 1 WNW 23  6834 WNW 22132560    V
07/30-11 19  8  2 56 29 WNW 15 24 5 1 WNW 20  8268 WNW 20141891    V
07/30-12 40 20  4 58 26 WNW 15 24 5 3 WNW 15  9702 WNW 17144813    V
07/30-13 40 20  4 59 24 WNW 15 24 4 3 WNW 14 10615 WNW 16148180    V
07/30-14 40 20  4 60 23 WNW 15 24 4 3 WNW 13 11529 WNW 15149778    V
07/30-15 40 20  4 61 23 WNW 14 22 3 3 WNW 12 12443 WNW 14149606    V
07/30-16 40 20  4 61 24 WNW 13 21 3 3 WNW  9 12265 WNW 12124703    V
07/30-17 40 20  4 61 24  NW 12 18 3 3 WNW  7 12087 WNW  9100460    V
07/30-18 53 21  4 57 29  NW 10 16 3 3 WNW  5 11909 WNW  7 76878   G
07/30-19 53 21  4 55 34  NW  8 13 3 3 WNW  6 10349 WNW  8 72136   G
07/30-20 53 21  4 52 42 WNW  6  6 3 3   W  8  8789   W  8 65787   G
07/30-21 53 21  4 50 48   W  5  5 3 3 WSW  9  7229   W  9 55184  F
07/30-22 53 21  4 48 54   W  5  5 3 3 WSW  9  5932   W  9 45463  F
07/30-23 53 21  4 46 58 WSW  5  5 2 3   W  8  4636   W  9 35665 P
07/31-00 35 19  4 46 58 WSW  6  6 2 1   W  8  3339   W  9 25790 P
07/31-01 35 19  4 45 58 WSW  6  6 3 1   W  7  2761   W  8 19973 P
07/31-02 35 19  4 45 55 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW  6  2183   W  8 14722 P
07/31-03 35 19  4 44 55 WSW  7  7 4 1 WNW  6  1605   W  7 10038 P
07/31-04 35 19  4 43 57 WSW  7  7 4 1 NNW  5  1571 WNW  7  8863 P
07/31-05 35 19  4 43 57   W  6  6 3 1 NNE  3  1537 WNW  6  7730 P
07/31-06 53 23  5 44 55   W  6  6 3 3  NE  2  1503  NW  5  6638 P
07/31-07 53 23  5 47 50   W  7  7 3 3 ENE  2  3941   W  5 15508 P
07/31-08 53 23  5 52 42   W  7  7 2 3   E  2  6379 SSW  3 22032 P
07/31-09 53 23  5 55 38   W  8 13 2 3 ESE  3  8817   S  3 26209 P
07/31-10 53 23  5 57 36   W  7  7 2 3 ESE  5  8928   S  5 36411 P
07/31-11 53 23  5 58 36   W  7  7 2 3 ESE  6  9038 SSE  6 46856  F
07/31-12 87 58 35 58 37   W  6  6 2 5 ESE  7  9149 SSE  7 57546  F
07/31-13 87 58 35 57 40   W  6  6 2 5  SE  7  8370 SSE  8 54651  F
07/31-14 87 58 35 56 42 WNW  7  7 2 5 SSE  8  7591   S  8 51382  F
07/31-15 87 58 35 55 45 WNW  7  7 2 5   S  9  6812   S  8 47740  F
07/31-16 87 58 35 55 46   W  6  6 2 5   S 10  6430   S  9 54057  F
07/31-17 87 58 35 54 49   W  6  6 2 5 SSW 13  6049 SSW 12 59309  F
07/31-18 87 48 24 52 54   W  5  5 2 4  SW 14  5668  SW 13 63495   G
07/31-19 87 48 24 50 60   W  5  5 2 4 WSW 14  5368 WSW 13 56946  F
07/31-20 87 48 24 48 65   W  5  5 2 4   W 13  5068   W 12 50753  F
07/31-21 87 48 24 46 71 WNW  5  5 2 4 WNW 12  4768 WNW 10 44916  F
07/31-22 87 48 24 45 74   W  5  5 2 4 WNW 12  4403   W 10 39744 P
07/31-23 87 48 24 44 77   W  6  6 2 4   W 10  4038   W 10 34859 P
08/01-00 74 25  5 44 76   W  6  6 2 1   W 10  3673   W  9 30262 P
08/01-01 74 25  5 44 76   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 12  3447 WNW 10 31967 P
08/01-02 74 25  5 43 78   W  7  7 2 1  NW 14  3221  NW 12 33204 P
08/01-03 74 25  5 43 76   W  7  7 2 1 NNW 15  2995 NNW 13 33973 P
08/01-04 74 25  5 42 77 WNW  8 13 2 1 NNW 17  2972 NNW 15 39207 P
08/01-05 74 25  5 42 75  NW  8 14 2 1   N 20  2950   N 17 44359  F
08/01-06 55 25  5 43 70  NW  9 15 2 4   N 23  2928   N 20 49429  F
08/01-07 55 25  5 47 60  NW  9 15 2 4   N 22  4028   N 18 65459   G
08/01-08 55 25  5 51 52  NW  9 15 2 4   N 22  5129   N 18 80097   G
08/01-09 55 25  5 55 45  NW  9 15 2 4   N 21  6229   N 17 93342   G
08/01-10 55 25  5 58 41  NW  9 15 2 4   N 18  6820   N 15 91297   G
08/01-11 55 25  5 59 40 NNW  9 15 2 4   N 16  7410 NNW 14 87368   G
08/01-12 79 60 38 59 40   N  9 15 2 5   N 13  8000 NNW 12 81554   G
08/01-13 79 60 38 58 42   N  9 15 2 5   N 12  8392 NNW 10 77607   G
08/01-14 79 60 38 57 44 NNE  9 15 2 5   N  9  8784 NNW  9 72918   G
08/01-15 79 60 38 56 45 NNE  9 15 2 5   N  8  9175 NNW  8 67487   G
08/01-16 79 60 38 55 47  NE  9 14 2 5   N  6  8925 NNW  7 54693  F
08/01-17 79 60 38 54 48 ENE  8 14 2 5   N  5  8675 NNW  6 42513  F
08/01-18 76 44 21 52 52 ENE  8 13 2 4   N  2  8425 NNW  5 30947 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RPK
REQUESTED BY...JOHN KYLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20160729.DEADD.01/BOU



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