Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 211147
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Wapiti 2...COUNTY
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
447 AM MST Tue Feb 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM MST
THIS EVENING...

DISCUSSION...Today and tonight...
Strong west flow aloft will be forced down the east slopes of the
Rockies today and spread out across the Plains. Very warm
temperatures, strong west winds, and relative humidity values
around 10 percent mean that red flag warning conditions will
easily be met below 7500 feet MSL east of the mountains to the
Kansas border. Winds will be especially strong near the foothills
and along the Wynoming border. Any fire ignited during the day
today would quickly burn out of control given the critical fire
weather conditions expected through early evening.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........18%.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. West winds 16-26 mph with gusts to 50
                    mph.
Mixing height.......2800-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 35-50 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 0800, then good until 1000, then
                    very good.
Haines Index........6 high.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........42%.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. West winds 16-26 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph increasing to 50 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......2300-3300 ft AGL until 2000, then 1600-2200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 30-40 mph until 2300, then 45-55 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1800, then good until 2000,
                    then fair until 2200, then good until 0200,
                    then very good.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1100, then partly
                    cloudy(30-40%). Slight chance of rain after
                    1100.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........20%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 11-17 mph with gusts to 35 mph.
Mixing height.......2500-3500 ft AGL until 1000, then 6700-7700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 40-55 mph until 1100, then 35-40 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1000, then excellent.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Much colder. Snow likely and chance of rain. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs in the lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Colder. Snow likely. Lows around 17. Highs in the upper 20s.
Northwest winds 5-6 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows around 12. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds
5-6 mph.


Fire Weather Table for Wapiti 2.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

02/21-09 12  2  0 54 31   W 31 49 5 1   W 39  2180   W 45 84625   G
02/21-10 18  2  0 58 26   W 31 49 5 1   W 37  2593   W 45100262    V
02/21-11 23  2  0 61 22   W 31 49 5 1   W 33  3005   W 45115777    V
02/21-12 23  2  0 64 20   W 29 46 5 1   W 31  3377   W 43123372    V
02/21-13 22  2  0 65 18   W 25 41 6 1 WSW 29  3748   W 40129494    V
02/21-14 22  2  0 66 18   W 22 35 6 1  SW 26  4119   W 38134143    V
02/21-15 23  3  1 66 18   W 21 33 6 1  SW 30  3838   W 39129221    V
02/21-16 23  3  1 64 20 WSW 21 33 5 1  SW 35  3558 WSW 40123682    V
02/21-17 24  3  1 62 21 WSW 20 31 5 1  SW 39  3277 WSW 41117526    V
02/21-18 24  3  1 59 24 WSW 18 30 5 1 WSW 41  2728 WSW 37 87717   G
02/21-19 24  3  1 55 26 WSW 17 28 5 1 WSW 44  2179 WSW 32 61981   G
02/21-20 24  2  0 52 31 WSW 17 28 5 1 WSW 46  1630 WSW 29 40320  F
02/21-21 22  2  0 51 32 WSW 20 31 5 1 WSW 47  1825 WSW 33 53304  F
02/21-22 19  2  0 50 33   W 23 37 5 1 WSW 48  2021 WSW 39 68033   G
02/21-23 17  4  1 50 33   W 26 43 5 1   W 51  2216 WSW 44 84506   G
02/22-00 19  7  1 49 34   W 30 48 5 1 WSW 44  2198   W 48 91453   G
02/22-01 20  9  2 48 37   W 31 49 5 1 WSW 37  2181   W 52 98279   G
02/22-02 22 12  2 47 40   W 32 52 5 1 WSW 31  2163   W 56104982    V
02/22-03 24 11  2 47 40   W 30 48 5 1  SW 31  2178   W 56105682    V
02/22-04 27 10  2 46 42   W 26 43 5 1  SW 30  2194   W 55105362    V
02/22-05 28  8  2 46 42   W 21 33 5 1  SW 30  2209   W 55105028    V
02/22-06 28  8  2 45 41   W 20 31 5 1  SW 32  2322   W 53105743    V
02/22-07 28  8  2 44 41   W 18 30 5 1 WSW 35  2435   W 51106005    V
02/22-08 28  8  2 45 38   W 17 28 5 1 WSW 38  2548   W 48105814    V
02/22-09 28  8  2 47 35   W 16 25 4 1 WSW 46  3754   W 45146075    V
02/22-10 28  8  2 52 29   W 15 23 4 1 WSW 54  4961 WSW 41180007     E
02/22-11 35 11  2 55 25   W 14 22 3 1 WSW 63  6167 WSW 39207610     E
02/22-12 35 11  2 58 22   W 14 23 3 1 WSW 63  6763 WSW 38224036     E
02/22-13 35 11  2 59 20   W 15 24 2 1 WSW 63  7359 WSW 38239822     E
02/22-14 35 11  2 59 20   W 15 24 2 1 WSW 63  7955 WSW 37254968     E
02/22-15 35 11  2 59 20   W 14 22 2 1 WSW 63  7802 WSW 37248603     E
02/22-16 35 11  2 57 23   W 12 17 2 1 WSW 63  7649 WSW 37242295     E
02/22-17 56 40 18 55 25   W  9 15 2 1 WSW 63  7495 WSW 36236044     E
02/22-18 56 40 18 52 28 WNW  8 14 2 1 WSW 56  5833 WSW 30152652     E
02/22-19 56 40 18 48 32  NW  8 14 2 1 WSW 48  4170 WSW 24 86951   G
02/22-20 56 40 18 44 36 NNW  8 13 2 1 WSW 41  2507   W 18 38943 P
02/22-21 56 40 18 41 43 NNW  7  7 2 1 WSW 45  2507 WNW 14 31011 P
02/22-22 56 40 18 39 48   N  6  6 2 1 WSW 48  2507   N 10 23080 P
02/22-23 75 47 23 37 54 NNE  5  5 2 1 WSW 52  2507 NNE  7 15150 P
02/23-00 75 47 23 35 58  NE  5  5 2 1 WSW 48  2637  NE  7 14595 P
02/23-01 75 47 23 34 58  NE  5  5 2 1  SW 46  2768   E  6 13907 P
02/23-02 75 47 23 32 61 ENE  5  5 2 1  SW 43  2898   E  6 13086 P
02/23-03 75 47 23 31 64 ENE  5  5 2 1  SW 37  2710   E  5 11550 P
02/23-04 75 47 23 30 68 ENE  6  6 2 1  SW 32  2522   E  5 10110 P
02/23-05 92 64 44 29 72 ENE  6  6 2 1  SW 28  2333   E  5  8764 P
02/23-06 92 64 44 28 73  NE  5  5 2 1  SW 24  2396   E  3  7792 P
02/23-07 92 64 44 28 70   N  3  3 2 1  SW 21  2459 ESE  3  6756 P
02/23-08 92 64 44 29 66   N  2  2 2 1 WSW 17  2522 ESE  2  5656 P
02/23-09 92 64 44 31 62   N  2  2 2 1 WSW 20  3113 SSE  2  6881 P
02/23-10 92 64 44 33 60 NNE  3  3 3 1 WSW 22  3705  SW  2  8066 P
02/23-11 98 62 41 35 56 NNE  5  5 3 1   W 23  4296 WSW  2  9212 P
02/23-12 98 62 41 35 55 NNE  5  5 3 1   W 24  4663   W  5 18102 P
02/23-13 98 62 41 35 53   N  6  6 3 1   W 25  5031   W  7 28269 P
02/23-14 98 62 41 34 54   N  6  6 3 1   W 25  5398 WNW  8 39712 P
02/23-15 98 62 41 32 59   N  6  6 3 1   W 24  4705 WNW  9 37665 P
02/23-16 98 62 41 31 63   N  7  7 3 1   W 23  4011 NNW 10 34717 P
02/23-17 97 63 42 30 66   N  7  7 3 1   W 22  3317 NNW 10 30866 P
02/23-18 97 63 42 29 67   N  7  7 3 1   W 20  3258   N 10 28253 P
02/23-19 97 63 42 28 68   N  6  6 3 1   W 17  3199   N  9 25715 P
02/23-20 97 63 42 26 71   N  6  6 3 1   W 15  3140 NNE  8 23251 P
02/23-21 97 63 42 25 73   N  6  6 3 1   W 15  3148 NNE  8 22241 P
02/23-22 97 63 42 24 75 NNW  5  5 3 1   W 15  3156 NNE  8 21225 P
02/23-23 95 43 20 23 77 NNW  5  5 3 1   W 15  3165 NNE  7 20203 P
02/24-00 95 43 20 22 79 NNW  5  5 3 1   W 14  3256 NNE  8 21992 P
02/24-01 95 43 20 22 76 NNW  6  6 3 1   W 13  3347 NNE  8 23849 P
02/24-02 95 43 20 21 77 NNW  6  6 3 1   W 13  3438 NNE  8 25774 P
02/24-03 95 43 20 19 83 NNW  6  6 3 1   W 14  3400 NNE  9 25973 P
02/24-04 95 43 20 17 89 NNW  6  6 3 1 WNW 16  3362 NNE  9 26161 P
02/24-05 75 29  8 17 88 NNW  6  6 3 1  NW 17  3323 NNE  9 26339 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...SCHLATTER
REQUESTED BY...Seth McKinney
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702456.1/BOU


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