Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 200339 AAB
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Corral Creek Fire...UPDATED
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
939 PM MDT Sat Aug 19 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 MDT on August 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Mostly sunny skies and light winds will prevail in
the morning. As the airmass becomes unstable, it will cloud up
with isolated thunderstorms forming after noon. Gusty winds to 40
mph will be possible under and near the storms and showers. Brief
heavy rain and cloud to ground lightning will also accompany the
storms. On Monday, it will be slightly cooler with a little higher
relative humidities.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1200, then mostly
                    cloudy(60-65%). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........20-24%.
Wind (20 ft)........Upslope up to 5 mph until 1200, then west
                    5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL until 1000. 10300-11300 ft AGL
                    after 1200.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900. fair after 1200.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 0300, then partly
                    cloudy(55-60%). Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2100.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........63%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5-10 mph until 0300, then southwest
                    4-8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms until 2100.
Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL until 1900. Below 1000 FT AGL after
                    2100.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph until 2400, then southwest.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900. poor after 0200.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(50-60%) until 1200, then mostly
                    cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........25-29%.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1000. 8500-9500 ft AGL
                    after 1200.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800. good after 1600.
Haines Index........4 low.


Fire Weather Table for Corral Creek Fire.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

08/20-06 35  0  0 47 56  SW  3  3 5 1         1326   W  5  5902 P
08/20-07 32  0  0 49 52  SW  3  3 5 1         1475   W  5  6449 P
08/20-08 30  0  0 52 44 WSW  2  2 5 1         1625   W  5  6973 P
08/20-09 26  3  1 56 38 WSW  2  2 5 1         1774   W  5  7473 P
08/20-10 30  3  1 60 33 WSW  2  2 5 1         4644   W  5 20515 P
08/20-11 30  3  1 63 29  SW  3  3 5 1         7514   W  6 34736 P
08/20-12 35 21  4 66 26  SW  5  5 5 3        10384   W  6 50134  F
08/20-13 61 21  4 67 25 WSW  6  6 5 3        10864   W  6 50256  F
08/20-14 43 21  4 68 24   W  7  7 5 3        11344 WSW  5 50183  F
08/20-15 50 22  4 68 24   W  7  7 5 3        11824 WSW  5 49916  F
08/20-16 57 22  4 67 25 WSW  7  7 5 3        10933  SW  6 49834  F
08/20-17 61 22  4 66 27   S  7  7 5 3        10043   S  6 49153  F
08/20-18 66 14  3 64 29 SSE  6  6 5 2         9152   S  6 47873  F
08/20-19 66 14  3 61 34 SSE  7  7 4 2         6403   S  7 39404 P
08/20-20 67 14  3 58 39 SSE  7  7 4 2         3654 SSE  8 25860 P
08/20-21 67  9  2 55 45 SSE  7  7 3 1          905 SSE  9  6992 P
08/20-22 68  9  2 52 51 SSE  7  7 3 1          920   S  8  6473 P
08/20-23 68  9  2 51 54   S  6  6 3 1          934   S  7  5935 P
08/21-00 68  2  0 50 56   S  5  5 3 1          948   S  7  5378 P
08/21-01 65  2  0 49 58   S  3  3 3 1          841 SSW  7  4794 P
08/21-02 62  2  0 48 59 SSW  3  3 3 1          735  SW  7  4204 P
08/21-03 59  2  0 47 60 SSW  3  3 3 1          629 WSW  7  3610 P
08/21-04 57  2  0 46 61  SW  3  3 3 1          567   W  7  3204 P
08/21-05 56  2  0 45 63   W  5  5 3 1          506   W  7  2809 P
08/21-06 54  2  0 45 63   W  5  5 3 1          444   W  6  2425 P
08/21-07 52  2  0 46 62   W  5  5 3 1          577 WNW  7  3237 P
08/21-08 49  2  0 48 59 WNW  3  3 3 1          709 WNW  7  4090 P
08/21-09 47  8  2 51 54 WNW  3  3 3 1          842  NW  7  4984 P
08/21-10 51  8  2 55 46  NW  5  5 3 1         3267  NW  7 21176 P
08/21-11 56  8  2 59 39  NW  5  5 4 1         5692 NNW  8 40093  F
08/21-12 60 17  3 62 34 NNW  6  6 4 3         8117   N  9 61736   G
08/21-13 65 17  3 63 31 NNW  6  6 4 3         8649 NNW  9 66480   G
08/21-14 70 17  3 64 29 NNW  6  6 4 3         9181 NNW  9 71311   G
08/21-15 75 23  5 64 29   N  6  6 4 3         9713 NNW  9 76227   G
08/21-16 75 23  5 64 29   N  6  6 4 3         9131   N  9 77249   G
08/21-17 75 23  5 63 30 NNE  7  7 4 3         8549   N 10 77558   G
08/21-18 75 16  3 62 32 NNE  7  7 4 3         7966   N 12 77154   G
08/21-19 71 16  3 59 38  NE  7  7 4 3         6991 NNE 12 69634   G
08/21-20 66 16  3 56 46 ENE  7  7 4 3         6015  NE 12 61575   G
08/21-21 61 16  3 54 52 ENE  7  7 4 3         5040  NE 13 52979  F
08/21-22 58 16  3 52 59   E  7  7 4 3         3809 ENE 12 39041 P
08/21-23 55 16  3 51 63   E  7  7 3 3         2579   E 12 25752 P
08/22-00 51  9  2 50 66 ESE  7  7 3 1         1349 ESE 12 13111 P
08/22-01 50  9  2 48 69 ESE  7  7 3 1         1151 ESE 10 10652 P
08/22-02 49  9  2 47 70 ESE  6  6 3 1          953 ESE 10  8378 P
08/22-03 48  9  2 45 73  SE  6  6 3 1          756  SE  9  6288 P
08/22-04 48  9  2 44 77  SE  6  6 3 1          729  SE  8  4997 P
08/22-05 48  9  2 44 78  SE  5  5 3 1          702  SE  6  3785 P
08/22-06 49 17  3 44 79  SE  5  5 3 3          675  SE  5  2652 P
08/22-07 50 17  3 46 75  SE  5  5 3 3          905   S  3  3088 P
08/22-08 53 17  3 49 68 SSE  3  3 3 3         1136 WSW  3  3283 P
08/22-09 56 17  3 53 59 SSE  3  3 3 3         1367   W  2  3238 P
08/22-10 60 17  3 57 49 SSE  3  3 3 3         3871   W  3 10973 P
08/22-11 60 17  3 61 41   S  5  5 3 3         6374 WNW  3 21043 P
08/22-12 61 40 18 64 35   S  5  5 4 4         8878 WNW  5 33446 P
08/22-13 61 40 18 66 32   S  5  5 4 4         9218 WNW  5 36834 P
08/22-14 62 40 18 67 30   S  5  5 4 4         9558 WNW  5 40377  F
08/22-15 64 40 18 67 29   S  5  5 4 4         9898 WNW  5 44076  F
08/22-16 65 40 18 66 31 SSW  5  5 4 4         8957 WNW  6 42982  F
08/22-17 66 40 18 64 35 SSW  5  5 4 4         8015 WNW  6 41237  F
08/22-18 65 29  8 62 39 SSW  5  5 4 4         7074 WNW  6 38840 P
08/22-19 65 29  8 60 44 SSW  5  5   4
08/22-20 65 29  8 58 48 SSW  5  5   4
08/22-21 65 29  8 56 53 SSW  5  5   4
08/22-22 65 29  8 54 58 SSW  5  5   4
08/22-23 65 29  8 52 63 SSW  6  6   4
08/23-00 52  5  1 50 68 SSW  6  6   1
08/23-01 52  5  1 48 73 SSW  6  6   1
08/23-02 52  5  1 47 75  SW  6  6   1
08/23-03 52  5  1 45 79  SW  6  6   1
08/23-04 52  5  1 44 81  SW  6  6   1
08/23-05 52  5  1 44 80 WSW  6  6   1
08/23-06 39  6  1 45 76 WSW  6  6   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...MEIER
REQUESTED BY...Patrick Nelson
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714613.0/BOU


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