Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 241755
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR BARBOUR FORKS FIRE...CLEAR CREEK COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1155 AM MDT THU JUL 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1135 MDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA...WITH FAIRLY WEAK FLOW ALOFT. THERE IS PLENTY OF MOISTURE
AVAILABLE FOR A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700-10700 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 7700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    1900...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........70%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300.
CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 1900...THEN 3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    2300...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1500-2400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2300.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........24%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 15 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11800-12800 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 0900.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 8-9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BARBOUR FORKS FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/24-11 65 20  4 77 32   W 12 17 4 3 WNW  3  9455   W 12 82506   G
07/24-12 68 31 10 78 30   W 10 16 3 4  NW  3 11808 WNW  9 92710   G
07/24-13 71 33 12 78 29   W 10 17 3 4 WNW  6 11287   W 12106442    V
07/24-14 75 35 13 78 29   W 12 17 3 4   W  9 10767   W 13120175    V
07/24-15 76 35 13 77 30   W 12 18 3 4 WSW 12 10247   W 15133907    V
07/24-16 77 35 13 75 33   W 10 17 3 4 WSW 14  8998   W 16125226    V
07/24-17 77 35 13 73 38   W 10 16 3 4 WSW 16  7749   W 17116544    V
07/24-18 73 29  8 70 44   W  9 15 3 4 WSW 18  6500   W 20107862    V
07/24-19 70 24  5 68 48   W  9 14 3 3 WSW 15  5249   W 20 88421   G
07/24-20 66 18  4 65 53   W  9 14 3 3   W 12  3998   W 21 68981   G
07/24-21 62 16  3 62 58   W  9 15 3 3   W  8  2747   W 21 49540  F
07/24-22 62 10  2 60 63   W  9 15 3 2   W 10  2381   W 21 42751  F
07/24-23 62  7  1 58 67   W 10 16 4 1  NW 13  2014   W 21 35963 P
07/25-00 41  5  1 57 69   W 10 16 4 1 NNW 15  1648   W 21 29174 P
07/25-01 41  5  1 56 70   W 12 18 4 1 NNW 13  1589   W 21 27958 P
07/25-02 41  5  1 55 69   W 13 20 4 1 NNW 12  1529   W 20 26743 P
07/25-03 42  5  1 54 69   W 13 21 4 1 NNW  9  1469   W 20 25527 P
07/25-04 42  5  1 53 69   W 13 20 4 1  NW  8  1502   W 20 25079 P
07/25-05 42  5  1 52 69   W 12 18 3 1  NW  8  1534   W 18 24630 P
07/25-06 42  2  0 54 64   W 10 16 3 1  NW  7  1566   W 17 24182 P
07/25-07 42  2  0 60 53   W  9 15 3 1 WNW  7  4446   W 16 55618  F
07/25-08 42  2  0 68 42   W  9 14 3 1 WNW  7  7326   W 15 87055   G
07/25-09 49  2  0 75 34   W  8 13 3 1 WNW  7 10206   W 14118491    V
07/25-10 52  2  0 79 29   W  7  7 3 1   W  9 11235   W 13128087    V
07/25-11 55  5  1 81 26   W  7  7 4 1   W 13 12264   W 13137682    V
07/25-12 62 32 11 81 25   W  7  7 4 4   W 15 13294   W 13147278    V
07/25-13 62 32 11 82 24   W  7  7 4 4   W 14 13122   W 13138571    V
07/25-14 62 39 17 82 25   W  8  8 3 4   W 14 12951   W 12129864    V
07/25-15 71 39 17 82 25   W  8 13 3 4   W 14 12779   W 10121158    V
07/25-16 71 39 17 80 28   W  8 13 3 4   W 14 12062   W 12119018    V
07/25-17 71 39 17 78 30   W  8 13 3 4   W 14 11346   W 12116879    V
07/25-18 74 32 11 75 34   W  8 13 3 4   W 14 10629   W 13114740    V
07/25-19 74 32 11 72 38   W  8 14 3 4   W 13  8430   W 15 99234   G
07/25-20 74 32 11 68 44 WSW  9 14 3 4 WNW 12  6230   W 17 83729   G
07/25-21 63 17  3 65 48 WSW  9 15 3 3 WNW 12  4030   W 20 68224   G
07/25-22 57 17  3 62 53 WSW  9 15 3 3 WNW 14  3245   W 18 53524  F
07/25-23 51 17  3 60 56 WSW 10 15 3 3 WNW 17  2460   W 17 38824 P
07/26-00 39  0  0 59 57 WSW 10 16 3 1 WNW 21  1675   W 16 24124 P
07/26-01 39  0  0 58 59 WSW 10 16 3 1 WNW 23  1654   W 17 24752 P
07/26-02 39  0  0 57 60   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 24  1634   W 18 25381 P
07/26-03 34  0  0 55 64   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 26  1613   W 18 26009 P
07/26-04 34  0  0 53 67   W 10 15 3 1 WNW 25  1614   W 17 24806 P
07/26-05 34  0  0 51 70   W 10 15 3 1   W 25  1615   W 17 23604 P
07/26-06 30  1  0 52 66   W  9 14 3 1   W 25  1617   W 16 22401 P
07/26-07 30  1  0 57 56   W  8  8 3 1   W 25  4286   W 17 71882   G
07/26-08 30  1  0 65 44   W  7  7 3 1   W 25  6956   W 18121363    V
07/26-09 38  1  0 72 35   W  6  6 3 1 WNW 26  9625   W 21170845     E
07/26-10 43  1  0 77 28   W  6  6 3 1   W 24 10592   W 20175071     E
07/26-11 47  5  1 79 25 WNW  7  7 3 1   W 22 11559 WNW 18179298     E
07/26-12 55 24  5 80 23 WNW  7  7 3 3   W 20 12526 WNW 17183524     E
07/26-13 55 24  5 81 23  NW  7  7 3 3 WNW 20 12714 WNW 16174295     E
07/26-14 55 24  5 81 24 NNW  7  7 4 3 WNW 18 12903 WNW 15165065     E
07/26-15 58 24  5 80 26 NNW  7  7 4 3 WNW 17 13092 WNW 14155836     E
07/26-16 58 24  5 79 26 NNW  7  7 4 3 WNW 17 12204 WNW 14151323     E
07/26-17 58 24  5 77 27 NNW  7  7 3 3 WNW 17 11316 WNW 15146811    V
07/26-18 54 21  4 74 28 NNW  7  7 3 3 WNW 17 10428 WNW 16142299    V
07/26-19 54 21  4 70 32  NW  7  7 3 3 WNW 17  8049 WNW 15107925    V
07/26-20 54 21  4 66 37 WNW  7  7 3 3  NW 17  5671 WNW 14 73550   G
07/26-21 54 21  4 63 42   W  7  7 3 3  NW 17  3292   W 14 39175 P
07/26-22 54 21  4 61 46 WSW  6  6 3 3  NW 15  2848   W 13 31718 P
07/26-23 54 21  4 59 50  SW  6  6 3 3 WNW 14  2403   W 12 24261 P
07/27-00 31  6  1 58 53  SW  6  6 3 1 WNW 12  1959   W 10 16804 P
07/27-01 31  6  1 56 57  SW  6  6 3 1 WNW 12  1798   W  9 14282 P
07/27-02 31  6  1 54 62  SW  6  6 3 1   W 12  1636   W  8 11759 P
07/27-03 31  6  1 52 66 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 12  1475   W  7  9237 P
07/27-04 31  6  1 50 71 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 12  1473   W  6  8057 P
07/27-05 31  6  1 49 74 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 12  1470   W  6  6877 P
07/27-06 30  3  1 51 69   W  5  5 3 1   W 12  1468   W  5  5697 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RJK
REQUESTED BY...CHIEF BABEON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140724.BARBO.01/BOU



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