Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 101349
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
649 AM MST SAT DEC 10 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON DECEMBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAY AND TONIGHT...STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN COLORADO TODAY AND TONIGHT. MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE FOOTHILLS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MOUNTAIN AREAS
WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE WILL RECEIVE HEAVY SNOW OVERNIGHT.  HOWEVER...THE EASTERN
FOOTHILL SLOPES SHOULD REMAIN DRY AND BREEZY DUE TO DOWNSLOPING FLOW. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE MILD.  ASSUMED SNOW COVER WILL HELP KEEP HUMIDITY LEVELS RELATIVELY MOIST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1000, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
                    1200.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-42%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 14-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN 20-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400, THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1500, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600, THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 0300, THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 2300. CHANCE OF
                    SNOW AFTER 2000.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-92%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH UNTIL
                    0200, THEN 6-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW .

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1100, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(55-60%). CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100, THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-40.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-44%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1100, THEN 20-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1300, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500,
                    THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600, THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

12/10-08 25  5  1 27 75 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 68  1004 WSW 12 10244 P
12/10-09 28  6  1 32 65 WSW 12 20 3 1   W 71  1328 WSW 13 15050 P
12/10-10 31  8  2 39 53 WSW 14 22 3 1   W 74  1652 WSW 14 20589 P
12/10-11 33  9  2 45 45 WSW 16 25 3 1   W 76  1975 WSW 16 26861 P
12/10-12 36 10  2 49 39 WSW 18 30 3 1   W 69  2195 WSW 21 38759 P
12/10-13 38 12  2 50 38   W 21 33 2 1   W 62  2416   W 25 52442  F
12/10-14 43 13  3 49 39   W 23 37 2 1   W 55  2636   W 30 67911   G
12/10-15 43 17  3 48 41   W 25 40 2 1   W 49  2224   W 26 50930  F
12/10-16 42 22  4 45 46   W 26 43 2 1   W 45  1812   W 23 36307 P
12/10-17 41 26  6 43 51   W 28 44 2 1   W 40  1400   W 20 24044 P
12/10-18 42 26  6 41 56   W 28 44 2 1   W 43  1370   W 21 24999 P
12/10-19 43 26  6 39 62   W 25 41 2 1   W 45  1340   W 22 25891 P
12/10-20 44 26  6 37 67   W 24 39 2 1   W 47  1311   W 23 26720 P
12/10-21 48 26  6 36 68   W 23 37 2 1   W 46  1349   W 25 29306 P
12/10-22 51 26  6 35 68   W 22 36 2 1   W 45  1388   W 26 31995 P
12/10-23 55 28  8 35 67   W 21 33 2 1   W 45  1426   W 28 34786 P
12/11-00 56 28  8 34 70   W 18 29 2 1   W 49  1400   W 25 30813 P
12/11-01 56 28  8 34 71   W 15 24 2 1   W 53  1374   W 23 26963 P
12/11-02 57 28  8 33 75   W 13 21 2 1   W 58  1349   W 20 23236 P
12/11-03 63 28  8 32 78   W 10 16 2 1   W 56  1354   W 17 19792 P
12/11-04 74 28  8 31 80   W  8 14 2 1   W 55  1360   W 14 16319 P
12/11-05 79 39 17 29 85   W  7  7 2 1   W 53  1365   W 10 12816 P
12/11-06 79 39 17 29 82   W  6  6 2 1   W 61  1706   W 12 17495 P
12/11-07 79 39 17 29 78   W  6  6 2 1   W 68  2046   W 13 22767 P
12/11-08 79 39 17 30 72   W  7  7 2 1   W 76  2386   W 14 28480 P
12/11-09 79 39 17 30 70   W  8 13 2 1   W 74  2811   W 17 40812  F
12/11-10 79 39 17 30 69   W  9 14 2 1   W 73  3236   W 20 55339  F
12/11-11 58 17  3 32 63   W 10 16 2 1   W 71  3660   W 23 72061   G
12/11-12 58 17  3 35 53   W 10 17 2 1   W 73  4223   W 24 89029   G
12/11-13 58 17  3 38 43   W 10 17 2 1   W 74  4786   W 25107568    V
12/11-14 58 17  3 38 40   W 10 16 2 1   W 75  5349   W 28127676    V
12/11-15 58 17  3 35 45   W 10 17 2 1 WNW 76  4320   W 24 89374   G
12/11-16 58 17  3 32 51   W 12 18 3 1 WNW 77  3292   W 21 57620  F
12/11-17 43 14  3 28 60   W 12 18 3 1 WNW 78  2263   W 16 32412 P
12/11-18 43 14  3 26 63   W 12 18 3 1   W 78  2111   W 16 29908 P
12/11-19 43 14  3 26 60   W 10 17 3 1   W 78  1958   W 16 27449 P
12/11-20 43 14  3 26 57   W 10 16 3 1   W 78  1806   W 16 25038 P
12/11-21 43 14  3 25 59   W 10 16 3 1   W 78  1816   W 17 26631 P
12/11-22 43 14  3 23 65   W 10 16 3 1   W 77  1826   W 17 28239 P
12/11-23 28 16  3 22 68   W 10 16 3 1   W 77  1836   W 18 29864 P
12/12-00 28 16  3 22 66   W 10 17 3 1   W 79  1947   W 20 33770 P
12/12-01 28 16  3 22 63   W 12 17 2 1   W 81  2059   W 21 37915 P
12/12-02 28 16  3 22 62   W 12 18 2 1   W 83  2171   W 22 42300  F
12/12-03 28 16  3 22 64   W 12 20 2 1   W 84  2311   W 22 43475  F
12/12-04 28 16  3 22 66   W 13 20 2 1   W 85  2452   W 21 44461  F
12/12-05 41 15  3 22 68   W 13 21 2 1   W 87  2592   W 20 45257  F
12/12-06 41 15  3 21 70   W 12 20 2 1 WNW 86  2573   W 20 44974  F
12/12-07 41 15  3 21 68   W 12 17 2 1 WNW 86  2555   W 20 44691  F
12/12-08 41 15  3 22 65   W 10 16 2 1 WNW 85  2536   W 21 44407  F
12/12-09 41 15  3 25 60   W 10 17 2 1 WNW 86  3930   W 26 91440   G
12/12-10 41 15  3 30 51   W 12 18 2 1 WNW 86  5324   W 33154522     E
12/12-11 44 11  2 34 45   W 13 21 2 1   W 86  6718   W 40233654     E
12/12-12 44 11  2 36 41   W 13 21 2 1   W 87  6873   W 40238705     E
12/12-13 44 11  2 37 38   W 13 21 2 1 WNW 87  7028   W 40243741     E
12/12-14 44 11  2 37 37   W 13 21 2 1 WNW 89  7182   W 40248763     E
12/12-15 44 11  2 35 39   W 13 20 2 1 WNW 89  6366   W 38210350     E
12/12-16 44 11  2 33 42   W 12 20 2 1 WNW 89  5550   W 36174538     E
12/12-17 37  8  2 31 45   W 12 18 2 1 WNW 89  4733   W 35141326    V
12/12-18 37  8  2 29 48   W 10 17 2 1 WNW 87  3992   W 29101186    V
12/12-19 37  8  2 27 53   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 85  3251   W 24 67733   G
12/12-20 37  8  2 25 57 WSW  9 15 3 1 WNW 84  2510   W 18 40968  F
12/12-21 37  8  2 24 60 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 81  2073   W 16 29269 P
12/12-22 37  8  2 23 62 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 77  1635   W 14 19494 P
12/12-23 40 11  2 22 65 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 74  1198   W 12 11644 P
12/13-00 40 11  2 22 64 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 73  1155   W 10 10560 P
12/13-01 40 11  2 23 60 WSW  8  8 2 1   W 71  1111   W 10  9526 P
12/13-02 40 11  2 22 62 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 70  1068   W  9  8541 P
12/13-03 40 11  2 21 65   W  8 13 2 1   W 71  1054   W  9  8792 P
12/13-04 40 11  2 19 72   W  8  8 2 1   W 74  1040   W 10  9034 P
12/13-05 49 17  3 18 77   W  7  7 2 1   W 75  1027   W 10  9266 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...DANKERS
REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603674.12/BOU


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