Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 221156
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX...NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
556 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES
TODAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS. IF ANY RAIN
OCCURS...IT WILL BE LIGHT. WESTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.

IT WILL WARM THURSDAY AND BECOME VERY WARM FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT SETTLES OVER THE
REGION. WESTERLY WINDS MAY GUST TO 20 MPH AGAIN THURSDAY. DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........32%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7600-8600 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........77%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........21%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    WEST 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8000-9000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WEST WINDS 6-10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/22-05 42 19  4 47 74 NNW  8  8 3 1 WSW 22  1044  NW 17 16732 P
10/22-06 41 16  3 46 71 NNW  8  8 3 1 WSW 23   892  NW 15 11613 P
10/22-07 41 13  3 47 69 NNW  9  9 3 1 WSW 25  1401  NW 15 18066 P
10/22-08 41 10  2 48 63  NW  8  8 3 1   W 28  1910 WNW 15 24520 P
10/22-09 41  8  2 50 61  NW  8  8 3 1   W 30  2420 WNW 15 30973 P
10/22-10 40  7  1 53 52 WNW  8  8 3 1   W 32  4090 WNW 15 50769  F
10/22-11 39  7  1 56 45   W  7  7 2 1   W 36  5760   W 14 70565   G
10/22-12 38  6  1 59 39 WSW  9  9 2 1   W 38  7431   W 14 90361   G
10/22-13 37  7  1 61 36 WSW  9  9 2 1   W 39  8176   W 15104676    V
10/22-14 36  7  1 62 32 WSW  9  9 3 1   W 40  8921   W 15118991    V
10/22-15 35  8  2 62 32 WSW  9  9 3 1   W 41  9666   W 16133306    V
10/22-16 35  7  1 60 34 WSW  8  8 3 1   W 39  8319   W 14106061    V
10/22-17 35  5  1 58 37 WSW  7  7 3 1   W 37  6971   W 13 78816   G
10/22-18 35  4  1 55 43 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 33  5624   W 10 51571  F
10/22-19 34  4  1 51 49 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 32  3944   W  9 35225 P
10/22-20 33  4  1 48 55 WSW  3  3 2 1   W 30  2264   W  7 18878 P
10/22-21 32  3  1 46 61   W  3  3 2 1   W 29   583   W  5  2531 P
10/22-22 27  3  1 44 65   W  3  3 2 1   W 28   580   W  6  2634 P
10/22-23 23  2  0 43 65   W  5  5 2 1   W 26   577   W  6  2736 P
10/23-00 18  2  0 42 67   W  6  6 2 1   W 25   574   W  6  2839 P
10/23-01 19  2  0 41 69   W  6  6 2 1   W 25   570   W  6  3007 P
10/23-02 19  1  0 40 74   W  6  6 2 1   W 25   567   W  7  3176 P
10/23-03 20  1  0 40 77   W  6  6 2 1   W 26   564   W  7  3345 P
10/23-04 20  1  0 39 75   W  7  7 2 1   W 28   561   W  8  4088 P
10/23-05 20  0  0 39 73   W  7  7 2 1   W 29   558   W 10  4831 P
10/23-06 16  0  0 40 65   W  8 13 2 1   W 30   555   W 12  5574 P
10/23-07 16  0  0 42 60   W  8 13 3 1   W 29   670   W 14  8244 P
10/23-08 16  0  0 45 53   W  8 13 3 1   W 29   784   W 15 10914 P
10/23-09 16  0  0 49 46   W  8 13 4 1   W 28   899   W 17 13583 P
10/23-10 16  0  0 54 38   W  9 15 5 1   W 30  2556   W 21 54087  F
10/23-11 16  0  0 60 31   W 10 17 5 1   W 31  4214   W 23 94591   G
10/23-12 24  0  0 65 26 WSW 12 18 5 1   W 35  5871   W 26135095    V
10/23-13 24  0  0 69 23 WSW 12 20 4 1   W 39  7095   W 25156816     E
10/23-14 24  0  0 71 21 WSW 12 20 3 1   W 45  8320   W 25178537     E
10/23-15 24  0  0 71 21 WSW 12 18 2 1 WNW 48  9544   W 24200258     E
10/23-16 24  0  0 70 22 WSW 10 17 2 1 WNW 49  8532   W 24178262     E
10/23-17 24  0  0 67 25 WSW  9 15 2 1 WNW 48  7520   W 24156266     E
10/23-18 29  0  0 64 28 WSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 47  6507   W 24134270    V
10/23-19 29  0  0 60 32 WSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 48  4592   W 21 92857   G
10/23-20 29  0  0 55 39   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 48  2677   W 18 51443  F
10/23-21 29  0  0 52 43   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 48   762   W 15 10030 P
10/23-22 29  0  0 50 46   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 47   713   W 16  9801 P
10/23-23 29  0  0 49 48   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 46   665   W 16  9572 P
10/24-00 19  0  0 48 50   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 45   616   W 17  9343 P
10/24-01 19  0  0 48 49   W  8 14 3 1 WNW 44   609   W 18  9673 P
10/24-02 19  0  0 48 48 WNW  9 14 2 1   W 44   602   W 20 10003 P
10/24-03 19  0  0 47 49 WNW  9 15 2 1   W 44   595 WNW 20 10334 P
10/24-04 19  0  0 47 48 WNW  9 15 2 1   W 46   596 WNW 20 10415 P
10/24-05 19  0  0 46 50 WNW  9 15 3 1 WNW 48   596 WNW 21 10497 P
10/24-06 12  0  0 46 49 WNW  9 15 3 1 WNW 49   596 WNW 21 10579 P
10/24-07 12  0  0 47 47   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 51   810 WNW 20 13960 P
10/24-08 12  0  0 50 43   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 51  1024 WNW 20 17341 P
10/24-09 12  0  0 54 37   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 49  1237   W 20 20723 P
10/24-10 12  0  0 59 31   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 49  3135   W 22 67483   G
10/24-11 12  0  0 65 26 WSW 10 16 2 1 WNW 49  5033   W 24114243    V
10/24-12  8  0  0 69 22 WSW 10 16 2 1 WNW 49  6931   W 26161003     E
10/24-13  8  0  0 72 20 WSW 10 16 2 1 WNW 49  7469   W 26168133     E
10/24-14  8  0  0 73 19  SW  9 16 2 1 WNW 51  8007   W 25175262     E
10/24-15  8  0  0 73 19  SW  9 15 2 1 WNW 51  8544   W 24182391     E
10/24-16  8  0  0 71 20  SW  9 14 2 1 WNW 49  8013   W 23161302     E
10/24-17  8  0  0 69 22 SSW  8 14 2 1 WNW 49  7481   W 22140213    V
10/24-18  6  1  0 66 24 SSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 47  6949   W 20119124    V
10/24-19  6  1  0 62 28 SSW  8  8 2 1 WNW 45  4882   W 15 80273   G
10/24-20  6  1  0 58 32  SW  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2815 WNW  9 41422  F
10/24-21  6  1  0 54 38 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 39   748 WNW  3  2570 P
10/24-22  6  1  0 51 43 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 37   698  NW  3  2164 P
10/24-23  6  1  0 49 47   W  6  6 2 1   W 35   647 NNW  3  1758 P
10/25-00  3  1  0 48 50   W  6  6 2 1   W 33   597 NNW  2  1352 P
10/25-01  3  1  0 48 50   W  6  6 2 1   W 33   607   N  2  1193 P
10/25-02  3  1  0 47 51   W  6  6 2 1   W 33   616  NE  2  1035 P
10/25-03  3  1  0 47 51 WNW  6  6 2 1   W 33   625   CALM   876 P
10/25-04  3  1  0 46 52 WNW  6  6 2 1   W 33   631 ENE  2  1037 P
10/25-05  3  1  0 45 54 WNW  6  6 3 1   W 32   636   E  2  1198 P
10/25-06  6  0  0 45 53 WNW  6  6 3 1   W 32   641 ESE  2  1359 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...MEIER
REQUESTED BY...JEFF CRANDALL  RXB2
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141022.SOAPS.01/BOU



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